ARCHER (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

8SW1 Stock  EUR 0.06  0.03  29.10%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding ARCHER LTD REG is 'Not Rated'. Macroaxis provides ARCHER buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ARCHER positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of ARCHER's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting ARCHER's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
0.0
Hype Value
0.0
Market Value
0.0614
Naive Value
0.053
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell ARCHER LTD REG given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards ARCHER. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for ARCHER LTD REG, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out ARCHER Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as ARCHER and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards ARCHER LTD REG. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute ARCHER Buy or Sell Advice

The ARCHER recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ARCHER LTD REG. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ARCHER LTD REG or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ARCHER's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ARCHERBuy ARCHER
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon ARCHER LTD REG has a Mean Deviation of 3.83, Semi Deviation of 3.11, Standard Deviation of 6.12, Variance of 37.42, Downside Variance of 13.75 and Semi Variance of 9.7
We provide trade recommendation to complement the latest expert consensus on ARCHER LTD REG. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available right now. To make sure ARCHER LTD REG is not overpriced, please confirm all ARCHER LTD REG fundamentals, including its operating margin, shares owned by insiders, and the relationship between the profit margin and shares outstanding .

ARCHER Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

ARCHER LTD REG is way too risky over 90 days horizon
ARCHER LTD REG has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
ARCHER LTD REG appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
ARCHER LTD REG has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
ARCHER LTD REG has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 815.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 138.8 M.
About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

ARCHER Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of ARCHER's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ARCHER's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ARCHER daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ARCHER LTD REG price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ARCHER returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ARCHER.
Mean Return
0.60
Value At Risk
-5.33
Potential Upside
8.68
Standard Deviation
6.12
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ARCHER historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

ARCHER Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ARCHER or Energy sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ARCHER's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ARCHER stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.41
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.43
σ
Overall volatility
6.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

ARCHER Volatility Alert

ARCHER LTD REG is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. ARCHER LTD REG is a penny stock. Although ARCHER may be in fact a good investment, many penny stocks are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in ARCHER LTD REG. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on ARCHER instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

ARCHER Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing ARCHER's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ARCHER's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ARCHER and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ARCHER or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ARCHER's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ARCHER by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare ARCHER to competition
FundamentalsARCHERPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.25-0.31
Return On Asset0.0272-0.14
Profit Margin(0.02) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Shares Outstanding148.76 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders47.48 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions0.57 %39.21 %
Price To Earning1.54 X28.72 X
Revenue815.5 M9.43 B
Gross Profit138.8 M27.38 B
EBITDA88.9 M3.9 B
Net Income(56 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents23.7 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.16 X5.01 X
Total Debt647.4 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity436.80 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.44 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.36 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations43.5 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.05) X3.12 X
Number Of Employees4.6 K18.84 K
Beta1.58-0.15
Market Capitalization47.53 M19.03 B

ARCHER Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ARCHER . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About ARCHER Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell ARCHER LTD REG? Buying financial instruments such as ARCHER Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having ARCHER in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Heavy Metals Thematic Idea Now

Heavy Metals
Heavy Metals Theme
Companies involved in mining, production, and distribution of various industrial metals and minerals. The Heavy Metals theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Heavy Metals Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out ARCHER Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

Complementary Tools for ARCHER Stock analysis

When running ARCHER's price analysis, check to measure ARCHER's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ARCHER is operating at the current time. Most of ARCHER's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ARCHER's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ARCHER's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ARCHER to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between ARCHER's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ARCHER is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ARCHER's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.