Alcoa Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AA -- USA Stock  

USD 16.91  0.57  3.26%

Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Alcoa Corporation is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alcoa buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Alcoa positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alcoa available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Alcoa buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Alcoa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AlcoaBuy Alcoa

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Alcoa Corporation has a risk adjusted performance of (0.19), jensen alpha of (0.39), total risk alpha of (0.27), sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of (0.34)
Our buy or sell advice tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Alcoa and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Alcoa is not overpriced, please confirm all Alcoa fundamentals including its Shares Owned by Insiders, Price to Sales and the relationship between Current Valuation and Price to Earning . Given that Alcoa has Price to Earning of 23.58X, we suggest you validate Alcoa Corporation market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Alcoa Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alcoa generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
The company generated yearly revenue of 12.16B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (579M) with gross profit of 3.32B.

Alcoa current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price28.00
Target Mean Price29.42
Recommendation Mean2.50
Target High Price44.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions12
Target Low Price20.00

Alcoa Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.54Value At Risk4.52
Potential Upside3.55Standard Deviation2.71
 Return Density 

Alcoa Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=1.63
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.17

Alcoa Volatility Alert

Alcoa Corporation exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.34 and kurtosis of 0.37. However, we advise investors to further study Alcoa Corporation technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Alcoa to competition

Alcoa Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAlcoaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.70% (0.31)%
Return On Asset5.94% (0.14)%
Profit Margin(4.76)% (1.27)%
Operating Margin18.14% (5.51)%
Current Valuation6.55B16.62B
Shares Outstanding185.52M571.82M
Shares Owned by Insiders6.07% 10.09%
Number of Shares Shorted7.44M4.71M
Price to Earning23.58X28.72X
Price to Book0.69X9.51X
Price to Sales0.28X11.42X
Gross Profit3.32B27.38B
Net Income(579M)570.98M
Cash and Equivalents834M2.7B
Cash per Share4.49X5.01X
Total Debt1.98B5.32B
Debt to Equity28.80% 48.70%
Current Ratio1.51X2.16X
Book Value Per Share26.38X1.93K
Cash Flow from Operations880.75M971.22M
Short Ratio2.09X4.00X
Earnings Per Share(3.12)X3.12X
Price to Earnings To Growth5.99X4.89X
Number of Employees14K18.84K
Market Capitalization3.4B19.03B
Total Asset16.41B29.47B
Retained Earnings48.79M9.33B
Working Capital162M1.48B
Current Asset2.57B9.34B
Current Liabilities2.4B7.9B
   Alcoa exotic insider transaction detected [view details]