Alcoa Buy or Sell Recommendation

    Macroaxis provides Alcoa Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Alcoa positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alcoa Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Alcoa buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Alcoa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

    Investment Horizon

      

    Risk Tolerance

      
    Symbol
    Execute Advice
    Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Alcoa Inc is 'Strong Hold'.
    For the selected time horizon Alcoa Inc has a risk adjusted performance of (0.03), jensen alpha of (0.18), total risk alpha of (0.21), sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of (0.12)
    Macroaxis buy, hold, or sell suggestion module can be used to complement Alcoa buy, hold, or sell recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the organization potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Alcoa is not overpriced, please confirm all Alcoa Inc fundamentals including its Profit Margin, Shares Owned by Insiders, Price to Book, as well as the relationship between Current Valuation and Number of Shares Shorted . Given that Alcoa Inc has Number of Shares Shorted of 5.01 M, we suggest you validate Alcoa Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

    Returns Distribution Density

    Mean Return-0.15Value At Risk-2.5141
    Potential Upside2.0749Standard Deviation1.7737
     Return Density 
          Distribution 

    Institutional Investors

    Security TypeSharesValue
    Group One Trading LpCall Options340.3 K11.7 M
    Group One Trading LpPut Options138.9 K4.8 M
    City Financial Investment Co LtdCommon Shares30 K1 M
    Arrowstreet Capital Limited PartnershipCommon Shares72.1 K2 M

    Alcoa Greeks

    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =(0.18) 
    βBeta against DOW= 1.34 
    σ
    Overall volatility
    = 1.71 
     IrInformation ratio =(0.10) 

    Alcoa Volatility Alert

    Alcoa Inc exhibits ver low volatility with skewness of -0.91 and kurtosis of 0.98. However, we advise investors to further study Alcoa Inc technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
        
     Better Than Average     
        
     Worse Than Average Compare Alcoa to competition
    FundamentalsAlcoaPeer Average
    Return On Equity23.80 % (15.17) %
    Return On Asset(0.05) % (15.64) %
    Profit Margin(0.08) % (5.50) %
    Operating Margin4.31 % (10.91) %
    Current Valuation20.47 B152.14 B
    Shares Outstanding184.24 M1.43 B
    Shares Owned by Insiders0.13 % 6.91 %
    Shares Owned by Institutions62.50 % 18.37 %
    Number of Shares Shorted5.01 M3.24 M
    Price to Earning177.20 times40.69 times
    Price to Book1.01 times14.44 times
    Price to Sales0.62 times17.81 times
    Revenue11.2 B9.85 B
    Gross Profit2.16 B21.75 B
    EBITDA1.45 B1.41 B
    Net Income(863 M)517.71 M
    Cash and Equivalents557 M3.89 B
    Cash per Share1.32 times5.17 times
    Total Debt225 M7.36 B
    Debt to Equity0.16 times0.72 times
    Current Ratio1.64 times3.30 times
    Book Value Per Share31.89 times13.64 times
    Cash Flow from Operations875 M1.25 B
    Short Ratio1.03 times2.09 times
    Earnings Per Share0.19 times2.30 times
    Price to Earnings To Growth(0.21) times1.22 times
    Number of Employees16 K10.67 K
    Beta0.690.34
    Market Capitalization6.07 B29.78 B
    Total Asset16.41 B126.86 B
    Retained Earnings8.83 B38.24 B
    Working Capital162 M3.58 B
    Current Asset2.57 B36.8 B
    SellBuy
    Strong Hold

    Hype Condition

    Current Valuation

    Odds of Distress

    Economic Sensitivity

    Analyst Consensus

    Piotroski F Score

    Financial Leverage

       Acquisition by Mary Citrino of 3775 shares of Alcoa subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
    Risk Adjusted Performance(0.03)
    Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.11)
    Mean Deviation1.4
    Coefficient Of Variation(1,165)
    Standard Deviation1.77
    Variance3.15
    Information Ratio(0.10)
    Jensen Alpha(0.18)
    Total Risk Alpha(0.21)
    Treynor Ratio(0.12)
    Maximum Drawdown5.07
    Value At Risk(2.51)
    Potential Upside2.07
    Skewness(0.91)
    Kurtosis0.9774

    Current Valuation

    Alcoa Current Valuation Analysis
    Alcoa Inc is rated third in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Non-ferrous Metals Production And Products industry is presently estimated at about 78.94 Billion. Alcoa totals roughly 20.47 Billion in current valuation claiming about 26% of all equities under Non-ferrous Metals Production And Products industry.