Alcoa Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AA -- USA Stock  

USD 27.81  1.19  0.04%

Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Alcoa Corporation is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alcoa buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Alcoa positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alcoa available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Alcoa buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Alcoa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AlcoaBuy Alcoa


Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Alcoa Corporation has a risk adjusted performance of (0.17), jensen alpha of (0.25), total risk alpha of (0.23), sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of (0.22)
Macroaxis buy, hold, or sell recommendation module can be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Alcoa. Our buy, hold, or sell suggestion engine makes use of analyzes the corporation potential to grow using all fundamental data market data available at the time. To make sure Alcoa is not overpriced, please confirm all Alcoa fundamentals including its Shares Owned by Insiders, Price to Sales and the relationship between Current Valuation and Price to Earning . Given that Alcoa has Price to Earning of 51.46X, we suggest you validate Alcoa Corporation market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Alcoa Thematic Classifications

Steel Works Etc IdeaSteel Works Etc
USA Equities from Steel Works Etc industry as classified by Fama & French
Aluminum IdeaAluminum
Aluminum production

Alcoa Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.32Value At Risk5.15
Potential Upside7.73Standard Deviation3.72
 Return Density 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Simplex Trading LlcPut Options7301.9 M
Simplex Trading LlcCall Options6491.7 M
State Of Alaska Department Of RevenueCommon Shares19.8 K527 K
Personal Capital Advisors CorpCommon Shares13.2 K352 K
Cerebellum Gp LlcCommon Shares4.8 K128 K
Moody National Bank Trust DivisionCommon Shares97126 K
Endurance Wealth Management IncCommon Shares61316 K
Accurate Investment Solutions IncCommon Shares60216 K
Central Trust CoCommon Shares56315 K

Alcoa Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=1.56
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.07

Alcoa Volatility Alert

Alcoa Corporation exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.31 and kurtosis of 4.17. However, we advise investors to further study Alcoa Corporation technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Alcoa to competition

Alcoa Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAlcoaPeer Average
Return On Equity7.83% (15.17)%
Return On Asset8.28% (15.64)%
Profit Margin(0.09)% (5.50)%
Operating Margin22.39% (10.91)%
Current Valuation8.2B152.14B
Shares Outstanding186.49M1.43B
Shares Owned by Insiders6.42% 6.91%
Number of Shares Shorted5.47M3.24M
Price to Earning51.46X40.69X
Price to Book1.06X14.44X
Price to Sales0.42X17.81X
Gross Profit2.59B21.75B
Net Income(12M)517.71M
Cash and Equivalents1.02B3.89B
Cash per Share5.48X5.17X
Total Debt1.82B7.36B
Debt to Equity25.00% 0.72%
Current Ratio1.40X3.30X
Book Value Per Share27.97X13.64X
Cash Flow from Operations1.45B1.25B
Short Ratio1.67X2.09X
Earnings Per Share(0.07)X2.30X
Price to Earnings To Growth2.38X1.22X
Number of Employees14.6K10.67K
Market Capitalization5.52B29.78B
Total Asset16.41B126.86B
Retained Earnings8.83B38.24B
Working Capital162M3.58B
Current Asset2.57B36.8B
Current Liabilities2.4B33.34B
   Alcoa exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Alcoa Market Momentum

Alcoa Alerts

Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alcoa generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Alcoa has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company generated yearly revenue of 13.23B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (12M) with gross profit of 2.59B.

Latest Analysts View

Alcoa Current Analysts Recommendations

Target Median Price47.00
Target Mean Price45.71
Recommendation Mean1.90
Target High Price60.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions14
Target Low Price31.00
Check also Alcoa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool. Please also try Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and etfs managed around the world.