Alcoa Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AA -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Alcoa Corporation is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Alcoa buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Alcoa positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alcoa available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Alcoa buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Alcoa Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AlcoaBuy Alcoa
Strong Hold

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Alcoa Corporation has a risk adjusted performance of 0.083, jensen alpha of 0.053, total risk alpha of (0.22), sortino ratio of 0.0754 and treynor ratio of 0.149
Macroaxis buy, hold, or sell recommendation module can be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Alcoa. Our buy, hold, or sell suggestion engine makes use of analyzes the corporation potential to grow using all fundamental data market data available at the time. To make sure Alcoa is not overpriced, please confirm all Alcoa fundamentals including its Shares Owned by Insiders, Price to Sales and the relationship between Current Valuation and Price to Earning . Given that Alcoa has Price to Earning of 23.58 , we suggest you validate Alcoa Corporation market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Alcoa Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alcoa has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
The company generated yearly revenue of 11.34 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (794 M) with gross profit of 3.32 B.
Latest headline from High-Quality Value Hiding In Plain Sight - Alcoa Corporation, - News Planets

Alcoa current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price25.00
Target Mean Price25.33
Recommendation Mean2.60
Target High Price30.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions12
Target Low Price20.00

Alcoa Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.32Value At Risk3.95
Potential Upside6.23Standard Deviation3.15
 Return Density 

Alcoa Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=2.11
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.06

Alcoa Volatility Alert

Alcoa Corporation currently demonstrates below average downside deviation of 2.52. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.05. However, we do advice investors to further question Alcoa Corporation expected returns to make sure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Alcoa to competition

Alcoa Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsAlcoaPeer Average
Return On Equity(0.0428) (0.31) 
Return On Asset0.0421 (0.14) 
Profit Margin(0.07) (1.27) 
Operating Margin15.38 (5.51) 
Current Valuation7.24 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding185.57 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders6.07 10.09 
Number of Shares Shorted7.16 M4.71 M
Price to Earning23.58 28.72 
Price to Book0.90 9.51 
Price to Sales0.33 11.42 
Revenue11.34 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.32 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.74 B3.9 B
Net Income(794 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents841 M2.7 B
Cash per Share4.53 5.01 
Total Debt1.96 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity30.60 48.70 
Current Ratio1.48 2.16 
Book Value Per Share38.89 1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations681.37 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.57 4.00 
Earnings Per Share(4.29) 3.12 
Price to Earnings To Growth1.74 4.89 
Number of Employees14 K18.84 K
Market Capitalization3.69 B19.03 B
Total Asset16.41 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings48.79 M9.33 B
Working Capital162 M1.48 B
Current Asset2.57 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities2.4 B7.9 B
   Payment of 4952 shares by Jeffrey Heeter of Alcoa subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Alcoa Market Momentum