American Airlines Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides American Airlines Group Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding American Airlines positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of American Airlines Group Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from American Airlines buy-and-hold prospective. Check also American Airlines Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
American Airlines Group Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 58.16  0.1  0.17%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding American Airlines Group Inc is 'Sell'.
For the selected time horizon American Airlines Group Inc has a mean deviation of 1.18, standard deviation of 1.6, variance of 2.57, downside variance of 0.5562, semi variance of (0.21) and expected short fall of (1.65)
Macroaxis buy, hold, or sell suggestion module provides unbiased buy, hold, or sell recommendation that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on American Airlines Group Inc. Our buy, hold, or sell suggestion engine ##verb4## current market data to analyse the corporation potential to grow from the prospective of investors risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure American Airlines is not overpriced, please confirm all American Airlines Group fundamentals including its Current Valuation, Price to Book, Cash and Equivalents, as well as the relationship between Shares Owned by Institutions and Gross Profit . Given that American Airlines Group has Price to Earning of 15.02 times, we suggest you validate American Airlines Group Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.56Value At Risk0.99
Potential Upside3.63Standard Deviation1.6
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Schwab Charles Investment Management IncCommon Shares1.6 M82.8 M
Bank Of MontrealCommon Shares482.2 K25.1 M
Frontier Capital Management Co LlcCommon Shares393.3 K20.5 M
Gateway Investment Advisers LlcCommon Shares363.3 K18.9 M
Oregon Public Employees Retirement FundCommon Shares193.9 K10.1 M
Winslow Asset Management IncCommon Shares177.7 K9.2 M
Nisa Investment Advisors LlcCommon Shares130.7 K6.8 M
Simplex Trading LlcCall Options4.5 K1.4 M

American Airlines Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.66
β
Beta against DOW=0.47
σ
Overall volatility
=1.7
Ir
Information ratio =0.2

American Airlines Volatility Alert

American Airlines Group Inc exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.45 and kurtosis of 1.65. However, we advice investors to further investigate American Airlines Group Inc to make sure all market statistics is disseminated and is consistent with investors' estimations about American Airlines upside potential.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare American Airlines to competition
FundamentalsAmerican AirlinesPeer Average
Return On Equity46.77 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset5.83 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin4.71 % (5.5) %
Operating Margin11.66 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation46.75 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding478.5 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders41.99 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions6.83 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted26.36 M3.24 M
Price to Earning15.02 times40.69 times
Price to Book7.09 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.67 times17.81 times
Revenue41.39 B9.85 B
Gross Profit30.3 B21.75 B
EBITDA6.79 B1.41 B
Net Income1.95 B517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents5.77 B3.89 B
Cash per Share12.05 times5.17 times
Total Debt24.68 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity625.2 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio0.65 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share8.23 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations4.93 B1.25 B
Short Ratio6.07 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share3.88 times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth2.16 times1.22 times
Number of Employees121.8 K10.67 K
Beta1.20.34
Market Capitalization27.92 B29.78 B
Total Asset48.41 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings1.64 B38.24 B
Working Capital(3.62 B)3.58 B
Current Asset9.98 B36.8 B
SellBuy
Sell

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
   Acquisition by Codina Armando M of 168 shares of American Airlines subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.1635
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(1.15)
Mean Deviation1.18
Downside Deviation0.7458
Coefficient Of Variation286.73
Standard Deviation1.6
Variance2.57
Information Ratio0.1951
Jensen Alpha0.6617
Total Risk Alpha(0.3)
Sortino Ratio0.4197
Treynor Ratio(1.16)
Maximum Drawdown5.74
Value At Risk(0.99)
Potential Upside3.63
Downside Variance0.5562
Semi Variance(0.21)
Expected Short fall(1.65)
Skewness1.45
Kurtosis1.65

Current Valuation

American Airlines Current Valuation Analysis
American Airlines Group Inc is rated third in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Airlines industry is presently estimated at about 225.93 Billion. American Airlines totals roughly 46.75 Billion in current valuation claiming about 21% of stocks in Airlines industry.