The Aes Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AES Stock | USD 17.37 0.24 1.40% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding The AES is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides AES buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AES positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of AES's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting AES's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 14.16 | Target Price 22.6 | Hype Value 17.13 | Market Value 17.37 | Naive Value 15.9 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell The AES given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards AES. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for The AES, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
AES |
Execute AES Buy or Sell Advice
The AES recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on The AES. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in The AES or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AES's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
AES Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from cnbc.com: Here are the 8 best password managers of May 2024 |
AES Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of AES's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AES's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AES daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use The AES price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AES returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AES.
| Mean Return | 0.06 | Value At Risk | -4.09 | Potential Upside | 3.88 | Standard Deviation | 2.24 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AES historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
AES Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as AES is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading The AES backward and forwards among themselves. AES's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase AES's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Massachusetts Financial Services Company | 2023-12-31 | 9.4 M | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2023-12-31 | 8.4 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 7.6 M | M&g Investment Management Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 7 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 6.2 M | Clearbridge Advisors, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 6.2 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 6.1 M | Ci Investments Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.2 M | Electron Capital Partners, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 5.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 87.8 M | Capital World Investors | 2023-12-31 | 71.3 M |
AES Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 28M | (20M) | (93M) | (417M) | 306M | 321.3M | |
| Change In Cash | (431M) | 255M | (343M) | 603M | (114M) | (108.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 61M | 855M | (214M) | (1.8B) | (4.7B) | (4.5B) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 324M | 208M | (134M) | 2.5B | 1.7B | 1.8B | |
| Dividends Paid | 362M | 381M | 401M | 422M | 444M | 578.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.4B | 1.9B | 2.1B | 4.6B | 7.7B | 8.1B | |
| Net Income | 478M | 152M | (951M) | (505M) | 242M | 232.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.6B | 1.8B | 1.5B | 2.1B | 1.8B | 1.4B | |
| Depreciation | 1.0B | 1.1B | 1.1B | 1.1B | 1.1B | 903.9M | |
| Investments | (428M) | (358M) | (330M) | (5.8B) | (7.7B) | (7.3B) | |
| Change Receivables | 73M | 48M | (170M) | (532M) | (478.8M) | (454.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 165M | (166M) | (5M) | 617M | 709.6M | 745.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | 982M | 1.4B | 2.6B | 2.0B | 2.3B | 2.5B |
AES Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AES or Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AES's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AES stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
AES Volatility Alert
The AES currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.02 and Jensen Alpha of -0.12. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AES's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AES's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.AES Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing AES's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AES's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AES and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AES or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AES's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AES by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare AES to competition |
| Fundamentals | AES | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0285 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0336 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 44.42 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 710.81 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.50 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 87.75 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 13.81 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 430.16 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 7.26 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.95 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 12.67 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.55 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (189 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 242 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.37 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.33 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 27.09 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 4.07 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.29 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.46 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 3.03 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.12 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.34 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.25 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 22.03 | |
| Number Of Employees | 9.6 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.09 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 12.18 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 44.8 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.39 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (3.08 B) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Paul Freedman of 15408 shares of AES subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
AES Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AES . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About AES Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell The AES? Buying financial instruments such as AES Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 18.7B | 23.5B | 27.1B | 18.8B | Total Assets | 33.0B | 38.4B | 44.8B | 33.3B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having AES in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Long Short Funds Thematic Idea Now
Long Short Funds
Funds or Etfs that are designed to hedge away market risk by investing in combination of bonds, stocks, derivative instruments as well as short positions to maximize returns irrespective of market conditions. The Long Short Funds theme has 48 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Long Short Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out AES Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the AES information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AES's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Complementary Tools for AES Stock analysis
When running AES's price analysis, check to measure AES's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AES is operating at the current time. Most of AES's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AES's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AES's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AES to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AES's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AES. If investors know AES will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AES listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.46) | Dividend Share 0.67 | Earnings Share 0.34 | Revenue Per Share 18.936 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of AES is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AES that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AES's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AES's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AES's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AES's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AES's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AES is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AES's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.