Adecoagro Sa Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AGRO Stock | USD 11.14 0.12 1.09% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Adecoagro SA is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Adecoagro buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AGRO positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Adecoagro's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Adecoagro's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 11.98 | Target Price 13.04 | Hype Value 11.14 | Market Value 11.14 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Adecoagro SA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Adecoagro. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Adecoagro SA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Adecoagro |
Execute Adecoagro Buy or Sell Advice
The Adecoagro recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Adecoagro SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Adecoagro SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Adecoagro's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Adecoagro Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Adecoagro Beats Stock Market Upswing What Investors Need to Know |
Adecoagro Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Adecoagro's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Adecoagro's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Adecoagro daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Adecoagro SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Adecoagro returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Adecoagro.
| Mean Return | 0.16 | Value At Risk | -3.35 | Potential Upside | 2.42 | Standard Deviation | 1.91 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Adecoagro historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Adecoagro Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Adecoagro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Adecoagro SA backward and forwards among themselves. Adecoagro's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Adecoagro's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 855.4 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 798.7 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 695.4 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 674.9 K | Amundi | 2023-12-31 | 659.2 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 626.9 K | Mirae Asset Global Investments (korea) Co Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 442.7 K | Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 429.8 K | Cubist Systematic Strategies, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 399 K | Route One Investment Co, Lp | 2023-09-30 | 13 M | Jennison Associates Llc | 2023-12-31 | 5.4 M |
Adecoagro Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (17.0M) | (40.5M) | (95.2M) | 41.8M | (35.8M) | (37.6M) | |
| Change In Cash | 16.6M | 46.0M | (136.5M) | 30.9M | 109.1M | 114.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 56.1M | 80.1M | 135.7M | 139.8M | 192.8M | 202.4M | |
| Depreciation | 219.6M | 182.7M | 218.1M | 254.4M | 272.8M | 286.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 92.2M | 141.9M | 111.4M | 56.9M | (45.9M) | (43.6M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 266.0M | 177.0M | 213.0M | 230.2M | 242.1M | 211.7M | |
| Net Income | 342K | 1.1M | 130.7M | 108.6M | 226.3M | 237.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 290.3M | 336.3M | 199.8M | 230.7M | 339.8M | 226.6M | |
| Investments | (248.7M) | (121.9M) | (175.2M) | (299.3M) | (69.2M) | (72.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 19.8M | 14.6M | (182.1M) | 91.2M | 82.1M | 86.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 118.9M | 159.2M | 161.7M | 94.3M | 108.5M | 118.2M |
Adecoagro Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Adecoagro or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Adecoagro's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Adecoagro stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Adecoagro Volatility Alert
Adecoagro SA currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.04 and Jensen Alpha of 0.05. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Adecoagro's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Adecoagro's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Adecoagro Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Adecoagro's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Adecoagro's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Adecoagro and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Adecoagro or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Adecoagro's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Adecoagro by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Adecoagro to competition |
| Fundamentals | Adecoagro | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.19 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0407 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.17 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.08 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.16 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 106.01 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 74.68 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 755.98 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 5.59 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.93 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.91 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.3 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 231.9 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 402.73 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 226.29 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 159.36 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.46 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.23 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.17 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.80 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 11.60 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 434.91 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.70 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.37 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.06 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 13.67 | |
| Beta | 1.12 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.18 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.16 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 418.79 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 407.99 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 472.72 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 323.77 M | 7.9 B |
Adecoagro Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Adecoagro . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Adecoagro Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Adecoagro SA? Buying financial instruments such as Adecoagro Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 1.1B | 1.3B | 1.2B | 800.7M | Total Assets | 2.6B | 3.1B | 3.2B | 2.1B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Adecoagro in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Aggressive Funds Thematic Idea Now
Aggressive Funds
Funds or Etfs that attempt to achieve high capital gains by investing in companies with high growth potential and above average risk. The Aggressive Funds theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aggressive Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Adecoagro Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
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When running Adecoagro's price analysis, check to measure Adecoagro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adecoagro is operating at the current time. Most of Adecoagro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adecoagro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adecoagro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adecoagro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Adecoagro's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adecoagro. If investors know Adecoagro will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Adecoagro listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 25.14 | Earnings Share 1.37 | Revenue Per Share 12.129 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.29) | Return On Assets 0.0407 |
The market value of Adecoagro SA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Adecoagro that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Adecoagro's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Adecoagro's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Adecoagro's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Adecoagro's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Adecoagro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Adecoagro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Adecoagro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.