BrasilAgro Companhia (Brazil) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AGRO3 Stock  BRL 26.02  0.18  0.70%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding BrasilAgro Companhia is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides BrasilAgro Companhia buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AGRO3 positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of BrasilAgro Companhia's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting BrasilAgro Companhia's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
25.4
Hype Value
25.84
Market Value
26.02
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell BrasilAgro Companhia given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards BrasilAgro Companhia. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for BrasilAgro Companhia, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out BrasilAgro Companhia Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as BrasilAgro and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards BrasilAgro Companhia. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute BrasilAgro Companhia Buy or Sell Advice

The BrasilAgro recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on BrasilAgro Companhia. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in BrasilAgro Companhia or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute BrasilAgro Companhia's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell BrasilAgro CompanhiaBuy BrasilAgro Companhia
Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon BrasilAgro Companhia has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0268, Jensen Alpha of 0.0168, Total Risk Alpha of (0.15), Sortino Ratio of (0.03) and Treynor Ratio of 0.1379
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on BrasilAgro Companhia. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure BrasilAgro Companhia is not overpriced, please confirm all BrasilAgro Companhia fundamentals, including its operating margin, shares outstanding, and the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

BrasilAgro Companhia Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

BrasilAgro Companhia Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of BrasilAgro Companhia's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of BrasilAgro Companhia's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of BrasilAgro Companhia daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use BrasilAgro Companhia price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of BrasilAgro Companhia returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for BrasilAgro Companhia.
Mean Return
0.05
Value At Risk
-1.96
Potential Upside
2.21
Standard Deviation
1.44
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of BrasilAgro Companhia historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

BrasilAgro Companhia Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to BrasilAgro Companhia or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that BrasilAgro Companhia's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a BrasilAgro stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.29
σ
Overall volatility
1.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

BrasilAgro Companhia Volatility Alert

BrasilAgro Companhia has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.03 and kurtosis of 3.82. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure BrasilAgro Companhia's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact BrasilAgro Companhia's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

BrasilAgro Companhia Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing BrasilAgro Companhia's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze BrasilAgro Companhia's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between BrasilAgro Companhia and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as BrasilAgro Companhia or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of BrasilAgro Companhia's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BrasilAgro Companhia by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare BrasilAgro Companhia to competition
FundamentalsBrasilAgro CompanhiaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.2-0.31
Return On Asset0.1-0.14
Profit Margin0.14 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.19 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.77 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding98.81 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders44.60 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions26.39 %39.21 %
Price To Earning8.16 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.17 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.01 X11.42 X
Revenue1.37 B9.43 B
Gross Profit774.96 M27.38 B
EBITDA787.98 M3.9 B
Net Income520.1 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents388.11 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.92 X5.01 X
Total Debt560.2 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.39 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.61 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share20.76 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations205.18 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share4.59 X3.12 X
Target Price39.01
Number Of Employees1618.84 K
Beta0.36-0.15
Market Capitalization2.7 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.35 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings97 M9.33 B
Working Capital131 M1.48 B
Current Asset243 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities112 M7.9 B
Z Score2.48.72

BrasilAgro Companhia Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as BrasilAgro . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About BrasilAgro Companhia Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell BrasilAgro Companhia? Buying financial instruments such as BrasilAgro Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having BrasilAgro Companhia in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Check out BrasilAgro Companhia Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the BrasilAgro Companhia information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other BrasilAgro Companhia's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between BrasilAgro Companhia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BrasilAgro Companhia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BrasilAgro Companhia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.