Air Lease Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Air Lease Corporation buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Air Lease positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Air Lease Corporation available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Air Lease buy-and-hold prospective. Check also Air Lease Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Investment Horizon


Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Air Lease Corporation -- USA Stock  

USD 44.14  1.07  2.48%

Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Air Lease Corporation is 'Cautious Hold'.
For the selected time horizon Air Lease Corporation has a mean deviation of 0.8731, semi deviation of 0.3054, standard deviation of 1.18, variance of 1.39, downside variance of 0.7267 and semi variance of 0.0933
Air Lease buy, hold, or sell suggestion module can be used to check and cross-verify current buy, hold, or sell recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the organization potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Air Lease is not overpriced, please confirm all Air Lease fundamentals including its Price to Earning, Cash and Equivalents, Cash Flow from Operations, as well as the relationship between Revenue and Debt to Equity . Given that Air Lease has Number of Shares Shorted of 6.67 M, we suggest you validate Air Lease Corporation market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.34Value At Risk-1.0924
Potential Upside2.4843Standard Deviation1.1782
 Return Density 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Douglas Lane Associates LlcCommon Shares1.8 M76.3 M
Selz Capital LlcCommon Shares1 M43.9 M
Vontobel Asset Management IncCommon Shares873.1 K37.2 M
Graybill Bartz Assoc LtdCommon Shares113.2 K4.8 M
Denali Advisors LlcCommon Shares99.4 K4.2 M
Leith Wheeler Investment Counsel LtdCommon Shares45.2 K1.7 M
Advisory Services Network LlcCommon Shares24.2 K1 M
Central Trust CoDebt30 K46 K

Air Lease Greeks

Alpha over DOW
= 0.4 
βBeta against DOW=(0.49) 
Overall volatility
= 1.09 
 IrInformation ratio = 0.16 

Air Lease Volatility Alert

Air Lease Corporation has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of -0.69, Maximum Drawdown of 5.01 and kurtosis of 0.98. However, we advice all investors to further analyze Air Lease Corporation to make certain all market information is desiminated and is consistent with the current expectations about Air Lease upside potential.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Air Lease to competition
FundamentalsAir LeasePeer Average
Return On Equity11.14 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset3.89 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin25.64 % (5.5) %
Operating Margin59.77 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation13.46 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding103.21 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders34.01 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions0.31 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted6.67 M3.24 M
Price to Earning12.54 times40.69 times
Price to Book1.25 times14.44 times
Price to Sales3.03 times17.81 times
Revenue1.47 B9.85 B
Gross Profit1.42 B21.75 B
Net Income376.13 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents239.71 M3.89 B
Cash per Share2.32 times5.17 times
Total Debt9.3 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity261.4 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio0.95 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share34.47 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations1.01 B1.25 B
Short Ratio8.18 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share3.43 times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth0.92 times1.22 times
Number of Employees7410.67 K
Market Capitalization4.45 B29.78 B
Total Asset12.36 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings791.53 M38.24 B
Working Capital174.93 M3.58 B
Current Asset1.24 B36.8 B
Current Liabilities1.07 B33.34 B
Cautious Hold


Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Air Lease exotic insider transaction detected [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.0836
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.68)
Mean Deviation0.8731
Semi Deviation0.3054
Downside Deviation0.8525
Coefficient Of Variation342.84
Standard Deviation1.18
Information Ratio0.1643
Jensen Alpha0.4019
Total Risk Alpha(0.3)
Sortino Ratio0.227
Treynor Ratio(0.69)
Maximum Drawdown5.01
Value At Risk(1.09)
Potential Upside2.48
Downside Variance0.7267
Semi Variance0.0933
Expected Short fall(1.1)

Current Valuation

Air Lease Current Valuation Analysis
Air Lease Corporation is rated second in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Business Services industry is presently estimated at about 316.27 Billion. Air Lease holds roughly 13.46 Billion in current valuation claiming about 4% of stocks in Business Services industry.