Alaska Air (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ALK Stock | EUR 42.58 0.35 0.83% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alaska Air Group is 'Not Rated'. Macroaxis provides Alaska Air buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ALK positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Alaska Air's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Alaska Air's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 0.0 | Hype Value 0.0 | Market Value 42.58 | Naive Value 40.69 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Alaska Air Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Alaska Air. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Alaska Air Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Alaska |
Execute Alaska Air Buy or Sell Advice
The Alaska recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alaska Air Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alaska Air Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alaska Air's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Alaska Air Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Alaska Air Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company has accumulated 1.88 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 88.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Alaska Air Group has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Alaska Air until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Alaska Air's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Alaska Air Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Alaska to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Alaska Air's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 83.0% of Alaska Air shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Alaska Air Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Alaska Air's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alaska Air's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alaska Air daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alaska Air Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alaska Air returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alaska Air.
| Mean Return | 0.45 | Value At Risk | -2.14 | Potential Upside | 3.75 | Standard Deviation | 1.86 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alaska Air historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Alaska Air Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alaska Air or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alaska Air's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alaska stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.46 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Alaska Air Volatility Alert
Alaska Air Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.42 and kurtosis of -0.42. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alaska Air's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alaska Air's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Alaska Air Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Alaska Air's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alaska Air's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alaska Air and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alaska Air or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alaska Air's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alaska Air by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Alaska Air to competition |
| Fundamentals | Alaska Air | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0152 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0158 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.01 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 6.27 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 127.54 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.39 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 82.89 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 13.04 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.48 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.58 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 9.65 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.36 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 588 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 58 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.63 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 13.20 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.88 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 88.60 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.63 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 29.92 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.42 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.43 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 77.93 | |
| Number Of Employees | 22.92 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.52 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 5.73 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 14.19 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 1.8 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | |
| Five Year Return | 1.29 % | |
| Net Asset | 14.19 B |
Alaska Air Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alaska . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 42.58 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 42.58 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.18 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.35 |
About Alaska Air Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Alaska Air Group? Buying financial instruments such as Alaska Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Alaska Air Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
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