Africa Oil Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AOIFF Stock | USD 1.70 0.04 2.30% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Africa Oil Corp is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Africa Oil buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AOIFF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Africa Oil's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Africa Oil's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 1.73 | Hype Value 1.74 | Market Value 1.7 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Africa Oil Corp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Africa Oil. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Africa Oil Corp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Africa |
Execute Africa Oil Buy or Sell Advice
The Africa recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Africa Oil Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Africa Oil Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Africa Oil's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Africa Oil Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Africa Oil Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Africa Oil Corp may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Africa Oil Corp has accumulated about 191.04 M in cash with (10.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.4. | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Africa Oil Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Africa Oil's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Africa Oil's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Africa Oil daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Africa Oil Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Africa Oil returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Africa Oil.
| Mean Return | -0.07 | Value At Risk | -3.26 | Potential Upside | 3.11 | Standard Deviation | 2.21 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Africa Oil historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Africa Oil Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Africa Oil or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Africa Oil's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Africa pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Africa Oil Volatility Alert
Africa Oil Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.72 and kurtosis of 2.42. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Africa Oil's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Africa Oil's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Africa Oil Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Africa Oil's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Africa Oil's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Africa Oil and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Africa Oil or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Africa Oil's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Africa Oil by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Africa Oil to competition |
| Fundamentals | Africa Oil | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0153 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 1.23 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.18) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 838.86 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 460.59 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 15.71 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 4.20 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 5.80 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.81 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 6.07 X | 11.42 X |
| Gross Profit | 226.88 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 208.99 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 190.72 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 191.04 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.40 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 23.19 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.03 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 18.58 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.20 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (10.21 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.37 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 18 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.58 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 994.18 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 991.62 M | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 25.2 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |
| Net Asset | 991.62 M | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.05 |
Africa Oil Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Africa . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10544.75 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.29) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.76 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.74 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.08) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) |
About Africa Oil Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Africa Oil Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Africa Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having Africa Oil in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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An experimental equal-weighted decomposition of large high potential stocks based on Macroaxis scoring framework. The Giant Impact theme has 44 constituents at this time.
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Check out Africa Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Africa Oil Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Africa Oil's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Complementary Tools for Africa Pink Sheet analysis
When running Africa Oil's price analysis, check to measure Africa Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Africa Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Africa Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Africa Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Africa Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Africa Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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