Axogen Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AXGN Stock | USD 7.03 0.18 2.50% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Axogen Inc is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Axogen buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Axogen positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Axogen's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Axogen's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 9 | Target Price 14 | Hype Value 7.03 | Market Value 7.03 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Axogen Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Axogen. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Axogen Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Axogen |
Execute Axogen Buy or Sell Advice
The Axogen recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Axogen Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Axogen Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Axogen's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Axogen Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Axogen Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Axogen Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 159.01 M. Net Loss for the year was (21.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 114.44 M. | |
| Axogen Inc currently holds about 58.03 M in cash with (5.72 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.37. | |
| Axogen Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AxoGen Stock Crosses Above 200 Day Moving Average of 7.18 - MarketBeat |
Axogen Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Axogen's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Axogen's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Axogen daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Axogen Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Axogen returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Axogen.
| Mean Return | -0.19 | Value At Risk | -3.72 | Potential Upside | 3.86 | Standard Deviation | 3.13 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Axogen historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Axogen Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Axogen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Axogen Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Axogen's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Axogen's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Tocqueville Asset Management L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 769.9 K | Silvercrest Asset Management Group Llc | 2023-12-31 | 756.2 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 579.3 K | Deutsche Bank Ag | 2023-12-31 | 578.6 K | D. E. Shaw & Co Lp | 2023-09-30 | 575.4 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 521.7 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 382.3 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 353.1 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 331.3 K | Arrowmark Colorado Holdings, Llc (arrowmark Partners) | 2023-12-31 | 5.2 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 3.3 M |
Axogen Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (3.8M) | (910K) | (7.5M) | (3.7M) | (6.1M) | (5.8M) | |
| Change In Cash | 11.4M | 13.9M | (16.6M) | (17.5M) | 15.5M | 16.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (141.5M) | (32.2M) | (41.8M) | (37.3M) | (20.6M) | (19.6M) | |
| Depreciation | 2.9M | 3.5M | 4.7M | 4.9M | 5.6M | 5.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 2.5M | 232K | 831K | 2.0M | 28.2M | 29.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 121.6M | 22.6M | 28.4M | 21.3M | 14.9M | 15.7M | |
| Net Income | (29.1M) | (23.8M) | (27.0M) | (28.9M) | (21.7M) | (20.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 41.7M | 55.6M | 39.0M | 21.5M | 37.0M | 38.9M | |
| Net Borrowings | 29K | 35M | 15.0M | (12K) | (13.8K) | (13.1K) | |
| Change To Netincome | 11.8M | 10.7M | 14.3M | 16.7M | 19.2M | 20.2M | |
| Investments | 27.3M | 5.6M | 3.8M | 18.1M | 18.3M | 19.2M |
Axogen Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Axogen or Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Axogen's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Axogen stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Axogen Volatility Alert
Axogen Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.41 and kurtosis of 7.28. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Axogen's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Axogen's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Axogen Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Axogen's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Axogen's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Axogen and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Axogen or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Axogen's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Axogen by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Axogen to competition |
| Fundamentals | Axogen | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.22 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0684 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.14) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.07) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 344.99 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 43.69 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.05 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 77.40 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.73 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (47.07) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.29 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.98 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 159.01 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 114.44 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (15.91 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (21.72 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 58.03 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.37 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 69.29 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.71 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.52 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.22 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (5.72 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.81 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.51) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 13.67 | |
| Number Of Employees | 426 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.02 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 307.12 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 196.83 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (281.3 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 57.57 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 35.05 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 716 shares by Erick DeVinney of Axogen at 7.68 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Axogen Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Axogen . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Axogen Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Axogen Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Axogen Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 67.5M | 67.4M | 69.3M | 72.8M | Total Assets | 208.0M | 195.4M | 196.8M | 206.7M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Axogen in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Axogen Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Axogen Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Axogen's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
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When running Axogen's price analysis, check to measure Axogen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axogen is operating at the current time. Most of Axogen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axogen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axogen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axogen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Axogen's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axogen. If investors know Axogen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Axogen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.51) | Revenue Per Share 3.708 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.187 | Return On Assets (0.07) | Return On Equity (0.22) |
The market value of Axogen Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Axogen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Axogen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Axogen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Axogen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Axogen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Axogen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Axogen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axogen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.