Blackberry Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BB Stock  USD 2.75  0.09  3.38%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding BlackBerry is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides BlackBerry buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BB positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of BlackBerry's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting BlackBerry's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
3.33
Target Price
5.25
Hype Value
2.77
Market Value
2.75
Naive Value
2.57
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell BlackBerry given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards BlackBerry. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for BlackBerry, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out BlackBerry Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade BlackBerry Stock refer to our How to Trade BlackBerry Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as BlackBerry and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards BlackBerry. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute BlackBerry Buy or Sell Advice

The BlackBerry recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on BlackBerry. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in BlackBerry or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute BlackBerry's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell BlackBerryBuy BlackBerry
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

UnstableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon BlackBerry has a Mean Deviation of 2.62, Standard Deviation of 3.8 and Variance of 14.41
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on BlackBerry. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure BlackBerry is not overpriced, please confirm all BlackBerry fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, price to book, and the relationship between the current valuation and number of shares shorted . Please also double-check BlackBerry price to earning to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

BlackBerry Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

BlackBerry generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BlackBerry has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company generated the yearly revenue of 656 M. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (734 M) with gross profit of 467 M.
BlackBerry reports about 295 M in cash with (263 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.11.
Latest headline from investorplace.com: 3 Promising Stocks Poised to Ride the Auto Industrys Megatrends Higher

BlackBerry Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of BlackBerry's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of BlackBerry's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of BlackBerry daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use BlackBerry price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of BlackBerry returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for BlackBerry.
Mean Return
-0.33
Value At Risk
-6.79
Potential Upside
4.96
Standard Deviation
3.80
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of BlackBerry historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

BlackBerry Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as BlackBerry is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BlackBerry backward and forwards among themselves. BlackBerry's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase BlackBerry's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Hawk Ridge Management Llc2023-09-30
4.5 M
Jane Street Group, Llc2023-09-30
2.6 M
Great West Life Assurance Co2023-12-31
2.6 M
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2023-09-30
2.5 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
2.3 M
Royal Bank Of Canada2023-12-31
2.1 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
2.1 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
1.9 M
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2023-12-31
1.5 M
Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd2023-12-31
46.7 M
Primecap Management Company2023-12-31
34.8 M
Note, although BlackBerry's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

BlackBerry Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory23M46M5M(4M)(4.6M)(4.4M)
Capital Expenditures45M49M44M39M41M41.8M

BlackBerry Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to BlackBerry or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that BlackBerry's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a BlackBerry stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.61
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.21
σ
Overall volatility
3.94
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

BlackBerry Volatility Alert

BlackBerry exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.07 and kurtosis of 6.19. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure BlackBerry's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact BlackBerry's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

BlackBerry Implied Volatility

BlackBerry's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BlackBerry stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BlackBerry's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BlackBerry stock will not fluctuate a lot when BlackBerry's options are near their expiration.

BlackBerry Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing BlackBerry's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze BlackBerry's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between BlackBerry and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as BlackBerry or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of BlackBerry's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BlackBerry by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare BlackBerry to competition
FundamentalsBlackBerryPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.53-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0292-0.14
Profit Margin(0.68) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.02) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.59 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding585.65 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.66 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions52.39 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted46.38 M4.71 M
Price To Earning50.47 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.95 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.94 X11.42 X
Revenue656 M9.43 B
Gross Profit467 M27.38 B
EBITDA515 M3.9 B
Net Income(734 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents295 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.11 X5.01 X
Total Debt419 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.40 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.82 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.41 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(263 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio6.72 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.99) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.13 X4.89 X
Target Price4.05
Number Of Employees3.18 K18.84 K
Beta1.09-0.15
Market Capitalization1.61 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.68 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(2.03 B)9.33 B
Working Capital14 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 296571 shares by V Watsa of BlackBerry subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

BlackBerry Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as BlackBerry . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About BlackBerry Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell BlackBerry? Buying financial instruments such as BlackBerry Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total601M419M726M510.3M
Total Assets2.6B1.7B3.9B4.8B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having BlackBerry in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Emerging Markets ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Emerging Markets ETFs
Emerging Markets ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Emerging Markets ETFs theme has 21 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Emerging Markets ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether BlackBerry offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of BlackBerry's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Blackberry Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Blackberry Stock:
Check out BlackBerry Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade BlackBerry Stock refer to our How to Trade BlackBerry Stock guide.
Note that the BlackBerry information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other BlackBerry's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

Complementary Tools for BlackBerry Stock analysis

When running BlackBerry's price analysis, check to measure BlackBerry's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BlackBerry is operating at the current time. Most of BlackBerry's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BlackBerry's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BlackBerry's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BlackBerry to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is BlackBerry's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BlackBerry. If investors know BlackBerry will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BlackBerry listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.99)
Revenue Per Share
1.425
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.036
Return On Assets
(0.03)
Return On Equity
(0.53)
The market value of BlackBerry is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BlackBerry that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BlackBerry's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BlackBerry's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BlackBerry's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BlackBerry's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BlackBerry's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BlackBerry is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BlackBerry's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.