Saul Centers Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BFS Stock  USD 38.12  0.86  2.31%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Saul Centers is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Saul Centers buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BFS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Saul Centers' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Saul Centers' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
39.43
Target Price
41
Hype Value
38.13
Market Value
38.12
Naive Value
36.65
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Saul Centers given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Saul Centers. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Saul Centers, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Saul Centers Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Saul Stock please use our How to Invest in Saul Centers guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Saul and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Saul Centers. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Saul Centers Buy or Sell Advice

The Saul recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Saul Centers. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Saul Centers or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Saul Centers' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Saul CentersBuy Saul Centers
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Saul Centers has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), Jensen Alpha of (0.26), Total Risk Alpha of (0.38) and Treynor Ratio of (0.04)
Saul Centers recommendation module can be used to check and cross-verify current trade recommendation provided by analysts inspecting the firm's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Saul Centers is not overpriced, please validate all Saul Centers fundamentals, including its cash flow from operations, current asset, and the relationship between the cash per share and beta . Given that Saul Centers has a price to earning of 34.04 X, we advise you to double-check Saul Centers market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Saul Centers Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Saul Centers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Saul Centers has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 31st of January 2024 Saul Centers paid $ 0.59 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Saul Centers, Inc. Shares Sold by Citigroup Inc. - Defense World

Saul Centers Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Saul Centers' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Saul Centers' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Saul Centers daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Saul Centers price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Saul Centers returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Saul Centers.
Mean Return
-0.05
Value At Risk
-2.63
Potential Upside
2.31
Standard Deviation
1.43
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Saul Centers historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Saul Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Saul Centers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Saul Centers backward and forwards among themselves. Saul Centers' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Saul Centers' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
126.6 K
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
113.5 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
104.8 K
Norges Bank2023-12-31
85.3 K
Cary Street Partners Investment Advisory Llc2023-12-31
66.5 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
60 K
Brown Advisory Holdings Inc2023-12-31
59.7 K
Lsv Asset Management2023-12-31
56.9 K
Lazard Asset Management Llc2023-12-31
54.2 K
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2023-12-31
2.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
2.1 M
Note, although Saul Centers' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Saul Centers Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(673K)13.0M(12.3M)(1.3M)(4.9M)(4.6M)
Free Cash Flow115.4M78.4M118.4M140.2M117.7M123.6M
Depreciation46.3M51.1M50.3M49.0M48.4M32.7M
Other Non Cash Items46.0M49.6M51.0M(171K)15.2M22.8M
Dividends Paid61.0M60.6M62.2M66.7M(67.9M)(64.5M)
Capital Expenditures90.5M52.4M21.9M56.5M55.9M19.0M
Net Income64.2M50.3M61.6M65.4M52.7M37.7M
End Period Cash Flow13.9M26.9M14.6M13.3M8.4M11.9M
Change To Inventory3.8M(339K)17.8M(5.4M)(6.3M)(5.9M)
Change Receivables339K(17.8M)5.4M2.4M2.8M2.9M
Net Borrowings67.7M58.1M(11.6M)73.2M65.9M43.0M
Change To Netincome4.0M359K4.3M62K71.3K67.7K
Investments(135.7M)(56.2M)(55.9M)(116.9M)(179.6M)(170.7M)

Saul Centers Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Saul Centers or Diversified REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Saul Centers' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Saul stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.26
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.62
σ
Overall volatility
1.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Saul Centers Volatility Alert

Saul Centers exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.38 and kurtosis of 0.2. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Saul Centers' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Saul Centers' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Saul Centers Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Saul Centers' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Saul Centers' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Saul Centers and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Saul Centers or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Saul Centers' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Saul Centers by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Saul Centers to competition
FundamentalsSaul CentersPeer Average
Return On Equity0.13-0.31
Return On Asset0.0386-0.14
Profit Margin0.20 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.45 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.48 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding23.98 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders46.30 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions46.92 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted124.44 K4.71 M
Price To Earning34.04 X28.72 X
Price To Book5.60 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.97 X11.42 X
Revenue257.74 M9.43 B
Gross Profit181.34 M27.38 B
EBITDA166.61 M3.9 B
Net Income52.69 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents13.28 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.47 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.39 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.21 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.15 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share6.78 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations117.73 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.44 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.73 X3.12 X
Target Price41.0
Number Of Employees13218.84 K
Beta1.05-0.15
Market Capitalization1.28 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.99 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(288.82 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(290.24 M)1.48 B
Current Asset65.74 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by B Saul of 8600 shares of Saul Centers at 37.8031 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Saul Centers Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Saul . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Saul Centers Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Saul Centers? Buying financial instruments such as Saul Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total1.1B1.2B1.4B716.6M
Total Assets1.7B1.8B2.0B997.6M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Saul Centers in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Broad Sovereign ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Broad Sovereign ETFs
Broad Sovereign ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Broad Sovereign ETFs theme has 14 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Broad Sovereign ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Saul Centers is a strong investment it is important to analyze Saul Centers' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Saul Centers' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Saul Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Saul Centers Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Saul Stock please use our How to Invest in Saul Centers guide.
Note that the Saul Centers information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Saul Centers' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

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Is Saul Centers' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Saul Centers. If investors know Saul will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Saul Centers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.145
Dividend Share
2.36
Earnings Share
1.73
Revenue Per Share
10.694
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.07
The market value of Saul Centers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Saul that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Saul Centers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Saul Centers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Saul Centers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Saul Centers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Saul Centers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Saul Centers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Saul Centers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.