Ginnie Mae Fund Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BGNCX Fund  USD 8.88  0.02  0.23%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ginnie Mae Fund is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Ginnie Mae buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BGNCX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Ginnie Mae's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Ginnie Mae's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
8.88
Hype Value
8.88
Market Value
8.88
Naive Value
8.83
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Ginnie Mae Fund given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Ginnie Mae. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Ginnie Mae Fund, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Ginnie Mae Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual funds such as Ginnie and provide practical buy, sell, or hold recommendation based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Ginnie Mae Fund. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Execute Ginnie Mae Buy or Sell Advice

The Ginnie recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ginnie Mae Fund. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ginnie Mae Fund or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ginnie Mae's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Ginnie MaeBuy Ginnie Mae
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Ginnie Mae Fund has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), Jensen Alpha of (0.07), Total Risk Alpha of (0.12) and Treynor Ratio of (0.07)
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Ginnie Mae. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the fund's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. Use Ginnie Mae three year return and last dividend paid to ensure your buy or sell decision on Ginnie Mae Fund is adequate.

Ginnie Mae Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Ginnie Mae Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Ginnie Mae Fund generated five year return of -2.0%
This fund holds about 12.42% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Ginnie Mae Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Ginnie Mae's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ginnie Mae's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ginnie Mae daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ginnie Mae Fund price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ginnie Mae returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ginnie Mae.
Mean Return
-0.01
Value At Risk
-0.79
Potential Upside
0.57
Standard Deviation
0.41
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ginnie Mae historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Ginnie Mae Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ginnie Mae or American Century Investments sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ginnie Mae's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ginnie fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.36

Ginnie Mae Volatility Alert

Ginnie Mae Fund exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.52 and kurtosis of 0.24. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ginnie Mae's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ginnie Mae's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Ginnie Mae Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Ginnie Mae's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ginnie Mae's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ginnie Mae and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ginnie Mae or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ginnie Mae's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ginnie Mae by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Ginnie Mae to competition
FundamentalsGinnie MaePeer Average
Annual Yield0 %0.29 %
Year To Date Return3.66 %0.39 %
One Year Return(1.21) %4.15 %
Three Year Return(4.29) %3.60 %
Five Year Return(1.63) %3.24 %
Ten Year Return1.72 %1.79 %
Net Asset464.47 M4.11 B
Minimum Initial Investment2.5 K976.16 K
Last Dividend Paid0.010.65
Cash Position Weight12.42 %10.61 %
Bond Positions Weight87.58 %11.24 %

Ginnie Mae Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ginnie . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Ginnie Mae Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Ginnie Mae Fund? Buying financial instruments such as Ginnie Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Ginnie Mae in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Asset Allocation ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Asset Allocation ETFs theme has 135 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Asset Allocation ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Ginnie Mae Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Ginnie Mae Fund information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ginnie Mae's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

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When running Ginnie Mae's price analysis, check to measure Ginnie Mae's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ginnie Mae is operating at the current time. Most of Ginnie Mae's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ginnie Mae's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ginnie Mae's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ginnie Mae to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Ginnie Mae's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ginnie Mae is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ginnie Mae's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.