Blackbaud Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BLKB Stock | USD 78.38 0.80 1.01% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Blackbaud is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Blackbaud buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BLKB positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Blackbaud's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Blackbaud's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 77.22 | Target Price 77.4 | Hype Value 78.27 | Market Value 78.38 | Naive Value 81.78 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Blackbaud given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Blackbaud. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Blackbaud, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Blackbaud |
Execute Blackbaud Buy or Sell Advice
The Blackbaud recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Blackbaud. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Blackbaud or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Blackbaud's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Blackbaud Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Blackbaud generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company currently holds 819.75 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.38, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Blackbaud has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Blackbaud until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Blackbaud's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Blackbaud sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Blackbaud to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Blackbaud's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 96.0% of Blackbaud shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: London Marathon Runners Raise More Than 50 Million for Charity on Blackbauds JustGiving Platform |
Blackbaud Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Blackbaud's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Blackbaud's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Blackbaud daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Blackbaud price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Blackbaud returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Blackbaud.
| Mean Return | -0.02 | Value At Risk | -3.24 | Potential Upside | 3.01 | Standard Deviation | 2.56 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Blackbaud historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Blackbaud Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Blackbaud is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Blackbaud backward and forwards among themselves. Blackbaud's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Blackbaud's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Fmr Inc | 2023-12-31 | 996.8 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 976.3 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 690.4 K | Van Berkom And Associates Inc | 2023-12-31 | 662.6 K | Palisade Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 613.1 K | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 502.8 K | American Capital Management Inc | 2023-09-30 | 485.6 K | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2023-12-31 | 456.4 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 423.3 K | Clearlake Capital Group, L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 9.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.6 M |
Blackbaud Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Depreciation | 85.7M | 92.7M | 82.4M | 102.4M | 109.5M | 115.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 14.4M | 17.0M | 23.5M | 14.1M | 11.3M | 7.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 58.4M | 71.8M | 52.2M | 71.1M | 64.1M | 32.4M | |
| Net Income | 11.9M | 7.7M | 5.7M | (45.4M) | 1.8M | 1.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 577.3M | 645.0M | 651.8M | 733.9M | 728.3M | 764.7M | |
| Change In Cash | 127.4M | 67.7M | 6.8M | 82.2M | 696.6M | 731.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 124.1M | 76.1M | 161.5M | 132.8M | 135.5M | 88.6M | |
| Change To Inventory | (7.2M) | (3.3M) | (26.7M) | (10.2M) | (9.2M) | (8.8M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 23.6M | 6.0M | 303.6M | 37.7M | 43.4M | 39.1M | |
| Investments | (167.2M) | (71.8M) | (471.3M) | (85.5M) | (66.9M) | (70.3M) | |
| Change Receivables | (6.6M) | (18.4M) | (6.5M) | (7.3M) | (6.6M) | (6.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 157.3M | 57.6M | 429.2M | (99.7M) | (114.7M) | (109.0M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 68.7M | 112.3M | 139.9M | 95.4M | 109.7M | 61.8M |
Blackbaud Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Blackbaud or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Blackbaud's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Blackbaud stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Blackbaud Volatility Alert
Blackbaud exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.11 and kurtosis of 16.77. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Blackbaud's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Blackbaud's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Blackbaud Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Blackbaud's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Blackbaud's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Blackbaud and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Blackbaud or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Blackbaud's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blackbaud by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Blackbaud to competition |
| Fundamentals | Blackbaud | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0023 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0237 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.15 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.94 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 53.48 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.07 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 95.77 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 630.21 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 5.07 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.71 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.11 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 557.12 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 154.19 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.82 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 29.03 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.56 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 819.75 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.38 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.73 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 15.40 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 199.63 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.85 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.03 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.12 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 80.6 | |
| Number Of Employees | 3 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.05 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.23 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.91 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 198.87 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (267.38 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 399.11 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 25354 shares by Michael Gianoni of Blackbaud at 68.7748 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Blackbaud Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Blackbaud . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2770.64 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.60) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 78.51 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 78.47 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.53) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.80) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 42.64 |
About Blackbaud Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Blackbaud? Buying financial instruments such as Blackbaud Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Assets | 77.3M | 62.4M | 56.2M | 53.9M | Cash | 55.1M | 31.7M | 728.3M | 764.7M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Blackbaud in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Consumption Thematic Idea Now
Consumption
Companies that deliver final goods such as cars or clothing for consumption by consumers. The Consumption theme has 18 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumption Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Blackbaud Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Blackbaud Stock refer to our How to Trade Blackbaud Stock guide.You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
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When running Blackbaud's price analysis, check to measure Blackbaud's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blackbaud is operating at the current time. Most of Blackbaud's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blackbaud's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blackbaud's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blackbaud to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Blackbaud's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blackbaud. If investors know Blackbaud will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blackbaud listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.3 | Earnings Share 0.03 | Revenue Per Share 21.037 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.074 | Return On Assets 0.0237 |
The market value of Blackbaud is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blackbaud that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blackbaud's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blackbaud's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blackbaud's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blackbaud's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blackbaud's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blackbaud is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blackbaud's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.