China Mengniu Dairy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CIADF Stock | USD 2.50 0.00 0.00% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding China Mengniu Dairy is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides China Mengniu buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CIADF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of China Mengniu's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting China Mengniu's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 2.52 | Hype Value 2.5 | Market Value 2.5 | Naive Value 2.49 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell China Mengniu Dairy given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards China Mengniu. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for China Mengniu Dairy, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
China |
Execute China Mengniu Buy or Sell Advice
The China recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on China Mengniu Dairy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in China Mengniu Dairy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute China Mengniu's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
China Mengniu Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| China Mengniu Dairy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
China Mengniu Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of China Mengniu's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of China Mengniu's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of China Mengniu daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use China Mengniu Dairy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of China Mengniu returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for China Mengniu.
| Mean Return | -0.05 | Value At Risk | 0.00 | Potential Upside | 0.00 | Standard Deviation | 0.38 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of China Mengniu historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
China Mengniu Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to China Mengniu or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that China Mengniu's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a China pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.27 |
China Mengniu Volatility Alert
China Mengniu Dairy exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -8.12 and kurtosis of 66.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure China Mengniu's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact China Mengniu's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.China Mengniu Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing China Mengniu's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze China Mengniu's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between China Mengniu and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as China Mengniu or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of China Mengniu's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Mengniu by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare China Mengniu to competition |
| Fundamentals | China Mengniu | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0259 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 19.99 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 3.96 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 24.04 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 51.80 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 30.43 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.98 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.20 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 88.14 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 32.21 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 9.01 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 5.03 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 15.31 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.87 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 22.41 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.82 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.08 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 9.83 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 7.54 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.22 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.85 X | 4.89 X |
| Number Of Employees | 44.28 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.66 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 18.64 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 98.1 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 12.76 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 4.44 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 21.71 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 17.27 B | 7.9 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % |
China Mengniu Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as China . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About China Mengniu Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell China Mengniu Dairy? Buying financial instruments such as China Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having China Mengniu in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Aircraft Thematic Idea Now
Aircraft
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Aircraft theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aircraft Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out China Mengniu Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the China Mengniu Dairy information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other China Mengniu's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Complementary Tools for China Pink Sheet analysis
When running China Mengniu's price analysis, check to measure China Mengniu's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Mengniu is operating at the current time. Most of China Mengniu's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Mengniu's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Mengniu's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Mengniu to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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