Constellium Nv Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CSTM Stock  USD 20.61  0.12  0.58%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Constellium Nv is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Constellium buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CSTM positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Constellium's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Constellium's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
22.48
Target Price
23.15
Hype Value
20.86
Market Value
20.61
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Constellium Nv given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Constellium. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Constellium Nv, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Constellium Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Constellium and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Constellium Nv. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Constellium Buy or Sell Advice

The Constellium recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Constellium Nv. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Constellium Nv or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Constellium's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ConstelliumBuy Constellium
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Constellium Nv has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0772, Jensen Alpha of 0.0784, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0258, Sortino Ratio of 0.0879 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0957
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Constellium. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Constellium is not overpriced, please confirm all Constellium Nv fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that Constellium Nv has a price to earning of 25.18 X, we suggest you to validate Constellium Nv market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Constellium Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Constellium Nv has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: Constellium SE Is a Trending Stock Facts to Know Before Betting on It

Constellium Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Constellium's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Constellium's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Constellium daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Constellium Nv price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Constellium returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Constellium.
Mean Return
0.21
Value At Risk
-2.65
Potential Upside
3.39
Standard Deviation
1.86
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Constellium historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Constellium Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Constellium is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Constellium Nv backward and forwards among themselves. Constellium's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Constellium's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Cannell Peter B & Co Inc2023-12-31
2.6 M
Lancaster Investment Management Llp2023-12-31
2.3 M
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
2.1 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
2.1 M
Samlyn Capital, Llc2023-12-31
M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2023-12-31
1.7 M
Highland Peak Capital Llc2023-12-31
1.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
1.4 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.4 M
Bpifrance Sa2023-12-31
16.4 M
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2023-12-31
14.9 M
Note, although Constellium's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Constellium Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory57M63M(435M)(241M)190.0M199.5M
Change In Cash20M255M(292M)19M36.6M38.5M
Free Cash Flow176M152M125M178M165.5M173.8M
Depreciation256M259M267M287M288.0M179.1M
Other Non Cash Items191M125M135M(25M)580.8M609.9M
Capital Expenditures271M182M232M273M330.1M263.3M
Net Income64M(17M)262M308M122.4M128.6M
End Period Cash Flow184M439M147M166M202.2M238.5M
Investments(353M)(176M)(221M)(270M)(268M)(281.4M)
Net Borrowings(77M)118M(377M)(157M)(141.3M)(134.2M)
Change To Netincome(80M)(7M)45M(105M)(94.5M)(89.8M)

Constellium Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Constellium or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Constellium's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Constellium stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.11
σ
Overall volatility
1.87
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Constellium Volatility Alert

Constellium Nv has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.23 and kurtosis of 0.3. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Constellium's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Constellium's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Constellium Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Constellium's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Constellium's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Constellium and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Constellium or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Constellium's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Constellium by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Constellium to competition
FundamentalsConstelliumPeer Average
Return On Equity0.16-0.31
Return On Asset0.0378-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.02 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.71 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding146.82 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.51 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions92.07 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.85 M4.71 M
Price To Earning25.18 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.43 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.43 X11.42 X
Revenue7.1 B9.43 B
Gross Profit672 M27.38 B
EBITDA642.55 M3.9 B
Net Income122.44 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents171 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.18 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.87 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.73 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.23 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.74 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations495.63 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.79 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.89 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.06 X4.89 X
Target Price24.02
Number Of Employees11.1 K18.84 K
Beta1.99-0.15
Market Capitalization3.03 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.66 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings274.23 M9.33 B
Working Capital432 M1.48 B

Constellium Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Constellium . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Constellium Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Constellium Nv? Buying financial instruments such as Constellium Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total2.1B2.1B1.9B1.8B
Total Assets4.6B4.9B4.7B3.9B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Constellium in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Services Thematic Idea Now

Services
Services Theme
Companies involved in delivering services to business or consumers across different industries and sectors. The Services theme has 30 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Services Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Constellium Nv is a strong investment it is important to analyze Constellium's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Constellium's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Constellium Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Constellium Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for Constellium Stock analysis

When running Constellium's price analysis, check to measure Constellium's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Constellium is operating at the current time. Most of Constellium's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Constellium's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Constellium's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Constellium to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Portfolio Comparator
Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Commodity Channel
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Is Constellium's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Constellium. If investors know Constellium will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Constellium listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.65)
Earnings Share
0.89
Revenue Per Share
49.538
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
Return On Assets
0.0378
The market value of Constellium Nv is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Constellium that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Constellium's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Constellium's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Constellium's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Constellium's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Constellium's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Constellium is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Constellium's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.