Delta Air Lines Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
DAL Stock | USD 47.85 0.03 0.06% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Delta Air Lines is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Delta Air buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding DAL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Delta Air's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Delta Air's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 53.85 | Target Price 53.94 | Hype Value 48.23 | Market Value 47.85 | Naive Value 47.32 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Delta Air Lines given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Delta Air. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Delta Air Lines, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Delta |
Execute Delta Air Buy or Sell Advice
The Delta recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Delta Air Lines. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Delta Air Lines or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Delta Air's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Delta Air Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
The company has 27.28 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 6.96, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Delta Air Lines has a current ratio of 0.56, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Delta Air until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Delta Air's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Delta Air Lines sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Delta to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Delta Air's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Delta Air Lines has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
About 70.0% of Delta Air shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
On 18th of March 2024 Delta Air paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from zerohedge.com: Inside The Disinformation Industry |
Delta Air Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Delta Air's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Delta Air's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Delta Air daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Delta Air Lines price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Delta Air returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Delta Air.
Mean Return | 0.39 | Value At Risk | -2.13 | Potential Upside | 3.01 | Standard Deviation | 1.62 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Delta Air historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Delta Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Delta Air is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Delta Air Lines backward and forwards among themselves. Delta Air's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Delta Air's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Fmr Inc | 2023-12-31 | 7.4 M | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 6.9 M | Gmt Capital Corp | 2023-12-31 | 6.8 M | Royal London Asset Management Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 6.5 M | Gallagher Fiduciary Advisors, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 5.5 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 4.9 M | Par Capital Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4.5 M | Us Global Investors Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4.4 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 4.3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 72 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 40 M |
Delta Air Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change In Cash | 982M | 6.3B | (1.5B) | (5.1B) | (78M) | (74.1M) | |
Free Cash Flow | 3.5B | (5.7B) | 16M | (2M) | 1.1B | 1.2B | |
Depreciation | 2.6B | 2.3B | 2.0B | 2.1B | 2.3B | 1.3B | |
Other Non Cash Items | (615M) | 4.7B | 62M | 392M | (33M) | (31.4M) | |
Dividends Paid | 731M | 909M | 980M | 260M | (128M) | (121.6M) | |
Capital Expenditures | 4.9B | 1.9B | 3.2B | 6.4B | 5.3B | 5.6B | |
Net Income | 4.8B | (12.4B) | 280M | 1.3B | 4.6B | 4.8B | |
End Period Cash Flow | 3.7B | 10.1B | 8.6B | 3.5B | 3.4B | 2.7B | |
Change To Inventory | (139M) | 354M | (318M) | (158M) | 121M | 127.1M | |
Investments | 206M | (5.8B) | (897M) | (6.9B) | (7.3B) | (7.0B) | |
Change Receivables | (775M) | 1.2B | (981M) | (728M) | (655.2M) | (622.4M) | |
Net Borrowings | 487M | 17.5B | (3.9B) | (4.5B) | (5.1B) | (4.9B) | |
Change To Netincome | 858M | (2.6B) | 172M | 1.6B | 1.9B | 1.9B |
Delta Air Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Delta Air or Passenger Airlines sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Delta Air's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Delta stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
Delta Air Volatility Alert
Delta Air Lines has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.48 and kurtosis of 0.2. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Delta Air's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Delta Air's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Delta Air Implied Volatility
Delta Air's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Delta Air Lines stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Delta Air's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Delta Air stock will not fluctuate a lot when Delta Air's options are near their expiration.
Delta Air Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Delta Air's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Delta Air's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Delta Air and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Delta Air or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Delta Air's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Delta Air by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Delta Air to competition |
Fundamentals | Delta Air | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.58 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.0517 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 52.79 B | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 645.31 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.34 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 70.09 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 17.69 M | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 34.29 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 2.71 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 0.51 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 58.05 B | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 9.68 B | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 7.58 B | 3.9 B |
Net Income | 4.61 B | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 3.27 B | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 13.11 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 27.28 B | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 6.96 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 0.57 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 17.39 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 6.46 B | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 1.99 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | 7.80 X | 3.12 X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | 39.29 X | 4.89 X |
Target Price | 59.5 | |
Number Of Employees | 103 K | 18.84 K |
Beta | 1.43 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 30.04 B | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 73.64 B | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | 5.65 B | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | (16.15 B) | 1.48 B |
Note: Purchase by David Taylor of 10000 shares of Delta Air [view details]
Delta Air Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Delta . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution | 348566.0 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | (0.02) | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
Day Median Price | 48.51 | |||
Day Typical Price | 48.29 | |||
Price Action Indicator | (0.68) | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) | |||
Relative Strength Index | 74.65 |
About Delta Air Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Delta Air Lines? Buying financial instruments such as Delta Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 34.6B | 30.6B | 27.3B | 28.6B | Total Assets | 72.5B | 72.3B | 73.6B | 77.3B |
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In addition to having Delta Air in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Delta Air Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Delta Air Lines information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Delta Air's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Complementary Tools for Delta Stock analysis
When running Delta Air's price analysis, check to measure Delta Air's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Delta Air is operating at the current time. Most of Delta Air's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Delta Air's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Delta Air's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Delta Air to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Delta Air's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Delta Air. If investors know Delta will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Delta Air listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.436 | Dividend Share 0.3 | Earnings Share 7.8 | Revenue Per Share 92.354 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.078 |
The market value of Delta Air Lines is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Delta that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Delta Air's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Delta Air's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Delta Air's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Delta Air's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Delta Air's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Delta Air is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Delta Air's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.