Deutsche Bank Ag Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
DB Stock | USD 14.63 0.19 1.28% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Deutsche Bank AG is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Deutsche Bank buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding DB positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Deutsche Bank's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Osisko Gold Ro's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 12.94 | Target Price 11.71 | Hype Value 14.63 | Market Value 14.63 | Naive Value 15.05 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Deutsche Bank AG given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Deutsche Bank. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Deutsche Bank AG, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Deutsche |
Execute Deutsche Bank Buy or Sell Advice
The Deutsche recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Deutsche Bank AG. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Deutsche Bank AG or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Deutsche Bank's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Buy
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Deutsche Bank Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Deutsche Bank AG has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
Latest headline from fnlondon.com: Deutsche Bank cuts top investment banker bonuses by 20 |
Deutsche Bank Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Deutsche Bank's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Deutsche Bank's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Deutsche Bank stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Deutsche Bank AG price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Deutsche Bank returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Deutsche Bank.
Mean Return | 0.23 | Value At Risk | -2.53 | Potential Upside | 2.29 | Standard Deviation | 1.66 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Deutsche Bank historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Deutsche Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Deutsche Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Deutsche Bank AG backward and forwards among themselves. Deutsche Bank's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Deutsche Bank's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Cigna Investments Inc | 2023-12-31 | 36.1 K | Nalls Sherbakoff Group, Llc | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 |
Deutsche Bank Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change In Cash | (52.0B) | 27.5B | 23.6B | (14.3B) | (1.9B) | (1.8B) | |
Free Cash Flow | (40.8B) | 30.2B | (3.5B) | (2.5B) | 5.2B | 5.4B | |
Other Non Cash Items | 5.0B | 3.7B | 3.9B | 4.6B | 5.3B | 6.1B | |
Capital Expenditures | 327M | 512M | 550M | 337M | 422M | 400.9M | |
Net Income | (5.3B) | 624M | 2.5B | 5.7B | 6.5B | 6.8B | |
End Period Cash Flow | 128.9B | 156.3B | 179.9B | 165.6B | 163.8B | 172.0B | |
Depreciation | 4.0B | 2.2B | 2.2B | 3.5B | 4.1B | 3.6B | |
Investments | (10.3B) | (1.9B) | 25.0B | (17.2B) | (2.6B) | (2.7B) | |
Net Borrowings | (2.0B) | (813M) | (79M) | 2.0B | 2.3B | 2.4B | |
Change To Netincome | 5.1B | 1.5B | 783M | 475M | 427.5M | 406.1M |
Deutsche Bank Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Deutsche Bank or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Deutsche Bank's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Deutsche stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Deutsche Bank Volatility Alert
Deutsche Bank AG has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.01 and kurtosis of 2.17. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Deutsche Bank AG to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Deutsche Bank's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Deutsche Bank's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.Deutsche Bank Implied Volatility
Deutsche Bank's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Deutsche Bank AG stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Deutsche Bank's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Deutsche Bank stock will not fluctuate a lot when Deutsche Bank's options are near their expiration.
Deutsche Bank Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Deutsche Bank's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Deutsche Bank's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Deutsche Bank and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Deutsche Bank or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Deutsche Bank's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Deutsche Bank by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Deutsche Bank to competition |
Fundamentals | Deutsche Bank | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.0665 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.0037 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.17 % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.17 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | (84.66 B) | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 1.99 B | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 8.03 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 41.47 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 9.43 M | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 14.26 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 0.36 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 1.08 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 27.38 B | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 25.98 B | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | (1.07 B) | 3.9 B |
Net Income | 6.45 B | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 621.02 B | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 305.47 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 144.22 B | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 24.91 % | 48.70 % |
Book Value Per Share | 36.67 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 5.61 B | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 2.81 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | 3.03 X | 3.12 X |
Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.12 X | 4.89 X |
Target Price | 13.46 | |
Number Of Employees | 90.13 K | 18.84 K |
Beta | 1.19 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 29.54 B | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 1.32 T | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | 22.84 B | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | (277.38 B) | 1.48 B |
Current Asset | 1.09 T | 9.34 B |
Deutsche Bank Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Deutsche . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution | 47559.35 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | (1.36) | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
Day Median Price | 14.68 | |||
Day Typical Price | 14.66 | |||
Price Action Indicator | (0.14) | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | (0.19) |
About Deutsche Bank Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Deutsche Bank AG? Buying financial instruments such as Deutsche Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 156.2B | 146.4B | 144.2B | 164.2B | Total Assets | 1.3T | 1.3T | 1.3T | 1.4T |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Deutsche Bank in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Single Stock ETFs theme has 58 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Single Stock ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Deutsche Bank Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Deutsche Bank AG information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Deutsche Bank's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Complementary Tools for Deutsche Stock analysis
When running Deutsche Bank's price analysis, check to measure Deutsche Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Deutsche Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Deutsche Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Deutsche Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Deutsche Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Deutsche Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Deutsche Bank's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Deutsche Bank. If investors know Deutsche will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Deutsche Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Dividend Share 0.45 | Earnings Share 3.03 | Revenue Per Share 13.264 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.062 |
The market value of Deutsche Bank AG is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Deutsche that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Deutsche Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Deutsche Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Deutsche Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Deutsche Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Deutsche Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Deutsche Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deutsche Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.