Dollar General Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| DG Stock | USD 142.73 0.12 0.08% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Dollar General is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Dollar General buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding DG positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Dollar General's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Dollar General's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 140.09 | Target Price 135.65 | Hype Value 143.38 | Market Value 142.73 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Dollar General given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Dollar General. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Dollar General, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Dollar |
Execute Dollar General Buy or Sell Advice
The Dollar recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Dollar General. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Dollar General or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Dollar General's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Dollar General Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 23rd of April 2024 Dollar General paid $ 0.59 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Q4 Earnings Highs And Lows Sprouts Vs The Rest Of The Non-Discretionary Retail Stocks |
Dollar General Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Dollar General's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Dollar General's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Dollar General daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Dollar General price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Dollar General returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Dollar General.
| Mean Return | 0.1 | Value At Risk | -2.78 | Potential Upside | 2.99 | Standard Deviation | 1.87 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Dollar General historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Dollar Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Dollar General is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dollar General backward and forwards among themselves. Dollar General's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Dollar General's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Macquarie Group Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 2.4 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 2.3 M | Fmr Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.3 M | Alecta Pensionsforsakring, Omsesidigt | 2023-12-31 | 2.1 M | Manufacturers Life Insurance Co | 2023-12-31 | 2 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 1.7 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Jane Street Group, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 25.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 19.4 M |
Dollar General Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (578.8M) | (575.8M) | (550.1M) | (1.7B) | (299.1M) | (314.0M) | |
| Change In Cash | 4.8M | 1.1B | (1.0B) | 36.7M | 155.7M | 163.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.5B | 2.8B | 1.8B | 424.0M | 691.6M | 542.7M | |
| Depreciation | 504.8M | 574.2M | 641.3M | 724.9M | 848.8M | 891.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 8.3M | 11.6M | 191.0M | 530.5M | 89.0M | 50.0M | |
| Dividends Paid | 327.6M | 355.9M | 392.2M | 493.7M | 518.0M | 543.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 784.8M | 1.0B | 1.1B | 1.6B | 1.7B | 1.8B | |
| Net Income | 1.7B | 2.7B | 2.4B | 2.4B | 1.7B | 1.7B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 240.3M | 1.4B | 344.8M | 381.6M | 537.3M | 564.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | 112.3M | 115.2M | 383.6M | 838.5M | 964.3M | 1.0B | |
| Net Borrowings | 55.2M | 1.1B | 45.6M | 2.8B | 3.2B | 3.4B | |
| Investments | (782.5M) | (1.0B) | (1.1B) | (1.6B) | (1.7B) | (1.6B) |
Dollar General Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Dollar General or Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Dollar General's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Dollar stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.006 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Dollar General Volatility Alert
Dollar General has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.03 and kurtosis of 0.73. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Dollar General's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Dollar General's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Dollar General Implied Volatility
Dollar General's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dollar General stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dollar General's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dollar General stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dollar General's options are near their expiration.
Dollar General Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Dollar General's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Dollar General's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Dollar General and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Dollar General or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Dollar General's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dollar General by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Dollar General to competition |
| Fundamentals | Dollar General | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.27 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0512 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 48.93 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 219.67 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.25 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 93.81 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 6.32 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 306.23 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 4.81 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.84 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 38.69 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 11.82 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3.3 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.66 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 381.58 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.45 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 18.09 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.50 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.01 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 30.73 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.39 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.26 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 7.56 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.52 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 157.41 | |
| Number Of Employees | 185.8 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.41 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 31.38 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 33.74 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.8 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.29 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Emily Taylor of 26017 shares of Dollar General at 154.21 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Dollar General Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Dollar . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 21215.49 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.06) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 143.28 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 143.1 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.61) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.12) |
About Dollar General Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Dollar General? Buying financial instruments such as Dollar Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 14.2B | 17.7B | 18.1B | 19.0B | Total Assets | 26.3B | 29.1B | 33.7B | 35.4B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Dollar General in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Companies that are involved with the development and processing of raw materials such as silver or forestry. The Raw Materials theme has 15 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Raw Materials Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Dollar General Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Dollar Stock please use our How to Invest in Dollar General guide.Note that the Dollar General information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Dollar General's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Complementary Tools for Dollar Stock analysis
When running Dollar General's price analysis, check to measure Dollar General's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dollar General is operating at the current time. Most of Dollar General's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dollar General's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dollar General's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dollar General to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Dollar General's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dollar General. If investors know Dollar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dollar General listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.39) | Dividend Share 2.36 | Earnings Share 7.56 | Revenue Per Share 176.34 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of Dollar General is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dollar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dollar General's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dollar General's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dollar General's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dollar General's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dollar General's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dollar General is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dollar General's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.