ASOS PLC (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| DYQ Stock | EUR 4.02 0.04 0.99% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding ASOS PLC is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides ASOS PLC buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ASOS PLC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of ASOS PLC's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting ASOS PLC's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 3.5 | Hype Value 4.02 | Market Value 4.02 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell ASOS PLC given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards ASOS PLC. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for ASOS PLC, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
ASOS |
Execute ASOS PLC Buy or Sell Advice
The ASOS recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ASOS PLC. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ASOS PLC or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ASOS PLC's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Unstable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Above Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
ASOS PLC Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| ASOS PLC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| ASOS PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has accumulated 474.5 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.36, which is about average as compared to similar companies. ASOS PLC has a current ratio of 0.97, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist ASOS PLC until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, ASOS PLC's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like ASOS PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ASOS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about ASOS PLC's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 3.94 B. Net Loss for the year was (30.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.72 B. | |
| ASOS PLC has accumulated about 92 M in cash with (120.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.92. | |
| Roughly 56.0% of ASOS PLC shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
ASOS PLC Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of ASOS PLC's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ASOS PLC's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ASOS PLC daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ASOS PLC price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ASOS PLC returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ASOS PLC.
| Mean Return | -0.02 | Value At Risk | -5.71 | Potential Upside | 6.81 | Standard Deviation | 3.61 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ASOS PLC historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
ASOS PLC Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ASOS PLC or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ASOS PLC's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ASOS stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
ASOS PLC Volatility Alert
ASOS PLC exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.7 and kurtosis of 1.84. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ASOS PLC's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ASOS PLC's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.ASOS PLC Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing ASOS PLC's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ASOS PLC's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ASOS PLC and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ASOS PLC or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ASOS PLC's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ASOS PLC by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare ASOS PLC to competition |
| Fundamentals | ASOS PLC | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0301 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0023 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.01) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.29 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 100.02 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 35.30 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 56.27 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 14.76 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.56 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.15 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.94 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.72 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 140.9 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (30.8 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 92 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.92 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 474.5 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.36 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.99 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 10.18 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (120.4 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.36) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.61 X | 4.89 X |
| Number Of Employees | 3.35 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.9 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 999.74 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 2.2 | 8.72 |
| Net Asset | 3 B |
ASOS PLC Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ASOS . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About ASOS PLC Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell ASOS PLC? Buying financial instruments such as ASOS Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having ASOS PLC in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out ASOS PLC Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Complementary Tools for ASOS Stock analysis
When running ASOS PLC's price analysis, check to measure ASOS PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ASOS PLC is operating at the current time. Most of ASOS PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ASOS PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ASOS PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ASOS PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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