Ellomay Capital Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ELLO Stock | USD 16.28 0.28 1.75% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ellomay Capital is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Ellomay Capital buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ELLO positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Ellomay Capital's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Ellomay Capital's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 13.84 | Hype Value 15.99 | Market Value 16.28 | Naive Value 17.4 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Ellomay Capital given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Ellomay Capital. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Ellomay Capital, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Ellomay |
Execute Ellomay Capital Buy or Sell Advice
The Ellomay recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ellomay Capital. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ellomay Capital or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ellomay Capital's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Ellomay Capital Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company currently holds 443.08 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 4.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ellomay Capital has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Ellomay Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ellomay Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ellomay Capital sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ellomay to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ellomay Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 48.0% of Ellomay Capital shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: WAVE, ELLO, and NRGV are among utility movers |
Ellomay Capital Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Ellomay Capital's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ellomay Capital's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ellomay Capital daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ellomay Capital price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ellomay Capital returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ellomay Capital.
| Mean Return | 0.02 | Value At Risk | -3.91 | Potential Upside | 5.63 | Standard Deviation | 3.04 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ellomay Capital historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Ellomay Capital Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 7.6M | 22.3M | (25.6M) | 5.2M | 4.2M | 4.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (83.1M) | (134.2M) | (67.6M) | (37.3M) | (51.1M) | (48.6M) | |
| Depreciation | 6.4M | 3.0M | 15.1M | 16.1M | 15.9M | 16.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (17.8M) | 741K | 21.2M | (12.6M) | (9.9M) | (9.4M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 86.8M | 128.4M | 82.8M | 48.6M | 60.8M | 63.9M | |
| Net Income | 9.8M | (6.2M) | (20.3M) | 140K | 4.0M | 4.2M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 44.5M | 66.8M | 41.2M | 46.5M | 51.5M | 54.1M | |
| Investments | 28.3M | (2.6M) | (107.4M) | (24.4M) | (58.6M) | (55.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 12.3M | 65.9M | 118.5M | 51.8M | 59.6M | 39.9M | |
| Change To Netincome | (20.4M) | (875K) | 1.7M | (10.2M) | (11.7M) | (11.1M) |
Ellomay Capital Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ellomay Capital or Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ellomay Capital's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ellomay stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Ellomay Capital Volatility Alert
Ellomay Capital currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.02 and Jensen Alpha of 0.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ellomay Capital's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ellomay Capital's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Ellomay Capital Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Ellomay Capital's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ellomay Capital's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ellomay Capital and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ellomay Capital or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ellomay Capital's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ellomay Capital by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Ellomay Capital to competition |
| Fundamentals | Ellomay Capital | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0232 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 2.0E-4 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.54) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 610.2 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 12.85 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 48.26 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 23.44 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 908 | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 32.02 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.62 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.21 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 48.58 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 24.75 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 16.14 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 3.99 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 61.71 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.69 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 443.08 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 4.80 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.75 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 8.94 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 9.68 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.13 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.17 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 11.3 | |
| Beta | 1.3 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 205.64 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 608.28 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (5 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (26.49 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 33.6 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 14.37 M | 7.9 B |
Ellomay Capital Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ellomay . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Ellomay Capital Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Ellomay Capital? Buying financial instruments such as Ellomay Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 32.8M | 42.6M | 32.4M | 34.0M | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 376.3M | 407.0M | 443.1M | 465.2M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Ellomay Capital in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Ellomay Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Ellomay Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ellomay Capital guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Complementary Tools for Ellomay Stock analysis
When running Ellomay Capital's price analysis, check to measure Ellomay Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ellomay Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Ellomay Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ellomay Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ellomay Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ellomay Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ellomay Capital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ellomay Capital. If investors know Ellomay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ellomay Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | Earnings Share 1.17 | Revenue Per Share 3.741 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets 0.0002 |
The market value of Ellomay Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ellomay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ellomay Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ellomay Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ellomay Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ellomay Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ellomay Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ellomay Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ellomay Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.