Fncb Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FNCB Stock | USD 5.40 0.14 2.66% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding FNCB Bancorp is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides FNCB Bancorp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FNCB positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of FNCB Bancorp's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting FNCB Bancorp's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 5.71 | Hype Value 5.32 | Market Value 5.4 | Naive Value 5.3 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell FNCB Bancorp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards FNCB Bancorp. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for FNCB Bancorp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
FNCB |
Execute FNCB Bancorp Buy or Sell Advice
The FNCB recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on FNCB Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in FNCB Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute FNCB Bancorp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
FNCB Bancorp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| FNCB Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FNCB Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 15th of March 2024 FNCB Bancorp paid $ 0.09 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Louis DeNaples of 2454 shares of FNCB Bancorp at 6.1129 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
FNCB Bancorp Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of FNCB Bancorp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of FNCB Bancorp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of FNCB Bancorp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use FNCB Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of FNCB Bancorp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for FNCB Bancorp.
| Mean Return | -0.3 | Value At Risk | -3.99 | Potential Upside | 4.97 | Standard Deviation | 2.87 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of FNCB Bancorp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
FNCB Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as FNCB Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FNCB Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. FNCB Bancorp's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase FNCB Bancorp's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2023-12-31 | 70.7 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 70.2 K | Css Llc | 2023-12-31 | 62 K | Boothbay Fund Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 57.2 K | Lpl Financial Corp | 2023-12-31 | 55.1 K | The Colony Group Llc | 2023-12-31 | 55 K | Colony Group Llc | 2023-09-30 | 55 K | Rbf Llc | 2023-12-31 | 50 K | Jacobi Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 47.5 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 290.9 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 243.5 K |
FNCB Bancorp Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (1.9M) | 121.2M | (56.8M) | (57.1M) | 66.0M | 69.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 10.1M | 17.9M | 22.9M | 19.1M | 15.5M | 9.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (106K) | (1.5M) | (3.4M) | 4.5M | 4.5M | 3.2M | |
| Dividends Paid | 4.0M | 4.4M | 5.4M | 6.5M | (7.1M) | (6.8M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 4.5M | 1.7M | 1.3M | 871K | 245K | 232.8K | |
| Net Income | 11.1M | 15.3M | 21.4M | 20.4M | 13.0M | 8.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 34.6M | 155.8M | 99.0M | 41.9M | 107.9M | 56.9M | |
| Depreciation | 3.0M | 1.6M | 1.6M | 1.6M | 1.3M | 1.5M | |
| Investments | 40.3M | (200.0M) | (261.9M) | (180.2M) | (69.0M) | (72.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 15.5M | (32.8M) | 20M | 12.7M | 11.4M | 12.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | 3.6M | 4.2M | 2.8M | (475K) | (546.3K) | (518.9K) |
FNCB Bancorp Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to FNCB Bancorp or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that FNCB Bancorp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a FNCB stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.37 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
FNCB Bancorp Volatility Alert
FNCB Bancorp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.39 and kurtosis of 0.51. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure FNCB Bancorp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact FNCB Bancorp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.FNCB Bancorp Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing FNCB Bancorp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze FNCB Bancorp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between FNCB Bancorp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as FNCB Bancorp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of FNCB Bancorp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FNCB Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare FNCB Bancorp to competition |
| Fundamentals | FNCB Bancorp | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.1 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0072 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.25 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.35 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 203.07 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 20.05 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 19.20 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 13.59 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 58.54 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 8.47 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.79 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.05 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 88.67 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 59.79 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (2.6 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 12.98 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 27.39 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.39 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 203.47 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 11.66 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.80 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 15.76 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.70 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.66 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 201 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.33 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 108.26 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.88 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 71.78 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.07 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.76 % | |
| Net Asset | 1.88 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.36 |
Note: Acquisition by Louis DeNaples of 2454 shares of FNCB Bancorp at 6.1129 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
FNCB Bancorp Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as FNCB . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About FNCB Bancorp Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell FNCB Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as FNCB Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 30.3M | 182.4M | 203.5M | 126.5M | Total Assets | 1.7B | 1.7B | 1.9B | 1.2B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having FNCB Bancorp in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Broad Market ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Broad Market ETFs theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Broad Market ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out FNCB Bancorp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade FNCB Stock refer to our How to Trade FNCB Stock guide.Note that the FNCB Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FNCB Bancorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
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When running FNCB Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure FNCB Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FNCB Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of FNCB Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FNCB Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FNCB Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FNCB Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is FNCB Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FNCB Bancorp. If investors know FNCB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FNCB Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.29) | Dividend Share 0.36 | Earnings Share 0.66 | Revenue Per Share 2.668 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of FNCB Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FNCB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FNCB Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FNCB Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FNCB Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FNCB Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FNCB Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FNCB Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FNCB Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.