Federated National Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Federated National Holding Company buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Federated National positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Federated National Holding Company available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Federated National buy-and-hold prospective. Additionally see Federated National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Investment Horizon

  

Risk Tolerance

  
Symbol
Execute Advice
Federated National Holding Company -- USA Stock  

USD 16.46  0.26  1.6%

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Federated National Holding Company is 'Cautious Hold'.
For the selected time horizon Federated National Holding Company has a mean deviation of 1.45, semi deviation of 0.7719, standard deviation of 1.94, variance of 3.76, downside variance of 2.23 and semi variance of 0.5958
This buy or sell advice tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Federated National H and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Federated National is not overpriced, please confirm all Federated National H fundamentals including its Price to Book, Cash and Equivalents and the relationship between Shares Owned by Institutions and Gross Profit . Given that Federated National H has Number of Shares Shorted of 195.62 K, we urge you verify Federated National Holding Company market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.68Value At Risk-1.265
Potential Upside3.8765Standard Deviation1.938
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Federated National Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
= 0.97 
βBeta against DOW=(2.46) 
σ
Overall volatility
= 1.9 
 IrInformation ratio = 0.28 

Federated National Volatility Alert

Federated National Holding Company has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.53 and kurtosis of 0.31. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Federated National Holding Company to ensure market all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future risk-adjusted return.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Federated National to competition
FundamentalsFederated NationalPeer Average
Return On Equity(1.14) % (15.17) %
Return On Asset0.01 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin(0.72) % (5.5) %
Operating Margin0.03 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation107.94 M152.14 B
Shares Outstanding12.98 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders22.03 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions62.8 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted195.62 K3.24 M
Price to Earning(81.23) times40.69 times
Price to Book0.93 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.56 times17.81 times
Revenue366.5 M9.85 B
Gross Profit20.27 M21.75 B
EBITDA870 K1.41 B
Net Income(2.63 M)517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents99.53 M3.89 B
Cash per Share7.67 times5.17 times
Total Debt4.92 M7.36 B
Debt to Equity2 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio0.88 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share16.97 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations73.05 M1.25 B
Short Ratio5.53 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share(0.19) times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth1.12 times1.22 times
Number of Employees29710.67 K
Beta0.790.34
Market Capitalization205.54 M29.78 B
Total Asset749.46 M126.86 B
Retained Earnings96.46 M38.24 B
Z Score24.6708.73
Last Dividend Paid0.32
SellBuy
Cautious Hold

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
   Federated National exotic insider transaction detected [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.0887
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.26)
Mean Deviation1.45
Semi Deviation0.7719
Downside Deviation1.49
Coefficient Of Variation286.34
Standard Deviation1.94
Variance3.76
Information Ratio0.2801
Jensen Alpha0.9712
Total Risk Alpha(0.38)
Sortino Ratio0.3638
Treynor Ratio(0.27)
Maximum Drawdown8.13
Value At Risk(1.26)
Potential Upside3.88
Downside Variance2.23
Semi Variance0.5958
Expected Short fall(1.79)
Skewness0.5298
Kurtosis0.3076

Current Valuation

Federated National Current Valuation Analysis
Federated National Holding Company is rated # 2 in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Insurance industry is currently estimated at about 156.89 Billion. Federated National adds roughly 107.94 Million in current valuation claiming only tiny portion of equities under Insurance industry.