Federated National Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Federated National Holding Company buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Federated National positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Federated National Holding Company available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Federated National buy-and-hold prospective. Additionally see Federated National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

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Federated National Holding Company -- USA Stock  

USD 16.03  0.24  1.52%

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Federated National Holding Company is 'Strong Hold'.
For the selected time horizon Federated National Holding Company has a risk adjusted performance of 0.059026, jensen alpha of 0.0153, total risk alpha of 0.3109, sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of 0.22
This buy or sell advice tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Federated National H and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Federated National is not overpriced, please confirm all Federated National H fundamentals including its Price to Book, Cash and Equivalents and the relationship between Shares Owned by Institutions and Gross Profit . Given that Federated National H has Number of Shares Shorted of 230.1 K, we urge you verify Federated National Holding Company market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.11Value At Risk4.93
Potential Upside3.64Standard Deviation2.97
 Return Density 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares1 M16.8 M
Capital Returns Management LlcCommon Shares1 M16.7 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares891 K14.8 M
Renaissance Technologies LlcCommon Shares750.8 K12.4 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares482.8 K8 M
Thompson Siegel Walmsley LlcCommon Shares446.6 K7.4 M
Heartland Advisors IncCommon Shares400 K6.6 M

Federated National Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.54
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.0432

Federated National Volatility Alert

Federated National Holding Company exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.89 and kurtosis of 2.56. However, we advise investors to further study Federated National Holding Company technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Federated National to competition
FundamentalsFederated NationalPeer Average
Return On Equity(4.68) % (15.17) %
Return On Asset(0.83) % (15.64) %
Profit Margin(2.50) % (5.50) %
Operating Margin(3.37) % (10.91) %
Current Valuation113.97 M152.14 B
Shares Outstanding13.05 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders21.90 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions70.30 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted230.1 K3.24 M
Price to Earning82.92 times40.69 times
Price to Book0.88 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.49 times17.81 times
Revenue380.89 M9.85 B
Gross Profit20.27 M21.75 B
EBITDA(12.27 M)1.41 B
Net Income(9.54 M)517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents81.53 M3.89 B
Cash per Share6.25 times5.17 times
Total Debt4.92 M7.36 B
Debt to Equity2.10 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio1.56 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share16.26 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations12.73 M1.25 B
Short Ratio4.01 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share0.72 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth4.07 times1.22 times
Number of Employees29710.67 K
Market Capitalization186.14 M29.78 B
Total Asset749.46 M126.86 B
Retained Earnings96.46 M38.24 B
Z Score22.2708.73
Five Year Return1.00 %
Strong Hold

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Purchase by Bruce Simberg of 1388 shares of Federated National [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.059026
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.21
Mean Deviation2.1
Coefficient Of Variation2,702
Standard Deviation2.97
Information Ratio0.0432
Jensen Alpha0.0153
Total Risk Alpha0.3109
Treynor Ratio0.22
Maximum Drawdown10.83
Value At Risk4.93
Potential Upside3.64

Current Valuation

Federated National Current Valuation Analysis
Federated National Holding Company is rated as one of the top companies in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Insurance industry is currently estimated at about 158.93 Billion. Federated National adds roughly 113.97 Million in current valuation claiming only tiny portion of equities under Insurance industry.