Federal National Mortgage Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FNMAN Stock  USD 6.25  0.05  0.81%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Federal National Mortgage is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Federal National buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FNMAN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Federal National's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Federal National's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
5.11
Hype Value
6.25
Market Value
6.25
Naive Value
6.24
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Federal National Mortgage given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Federal National. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Federal National Mortgage, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Federal National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Federal and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Federal National Mortgage. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Federal National Buy or Sell Advice

The Federal recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Federal National Mortgage. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Federal National Mortgage or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Federal National's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Federal NationalBuy Federal National
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Relatively riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Federal National Mortgage has a Mean Deviation of 2.32, Semi Deviation of 3.37, Standard Deviation of 4.35, Variance of 18.95, Downside Variance of 39.46 and Semi Variance of 11.34
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Federal National Mortgage. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Federal National is not overpriced, please confirm all Federal National Mortgage fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, number of employees, and the relationship between the price to sales and book value per share . Given that Federal National Mortgage has a shares owned by institutions of 0.03 %, we urge you to verify Federal National Mortgage market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Federal National Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Federal National had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Federal National Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Federal National's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Federal National's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Federal National daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Federal National Mortgage price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Federal National returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Federal National.
Mean Return
0.17
Value At Risk
-8.8
Potential Upside
8.18
Standard Deviation
4.35
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Federal National historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Federal National Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Federal National or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Federal National's price will be affected by overall otc stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Federal otc's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.51
σ
Overall volatility
4.34
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Federal National Volatility Alert

Federal National Mortgage shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Federal National's otc stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Federal National's otc stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Federal National Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Federal National's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Federal National's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Federal National and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Federal National or determine the otc stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Federal National's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Federal National by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Federal National to competition
FundamentalsFederal NationalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.33-0.31
Return On Asset0.0039-0.14
Profit Margin0.57 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.74 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.07 T16.62 B
Shares Outstanding5.74 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions0.03 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.09 K4.71 M
Price To Earning395.00 X28.72 X
Price To Sales0.11 X11.42 X
Revenue36.59 B9.43 B
Gross Profit36.61 B27.38 B
Net Income22.18 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents118.91 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share20.72 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.16 T5.32 B
Current Ratio242.68 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(14.14) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations47.21 B971.22 M
Short Ratio0.24 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.01 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees7.4 K18.84 K
Beta2.06-0.15
Market Capitalization2.72 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.23 T29.47 B
Five Year Return22.81 %
Net Asset4.23 T

Federal National Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Federal . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Federal National Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Federal National Mortgage? Buying financial instruments such as Federal OTC Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Federal National in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Momentum Thematic Idea Now

Momentum
Momentum Theme
Large corporations operating in software, education, financial and car manufacturing industries. The Momentum theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Momentum Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Federal National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Federal National Mortgage information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Federal National's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Federal National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Federal National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Federal National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.