Fossil Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FOSL -- USA Stock  

USD 26.63  0.26  0.97%

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Fossil Group is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Fossil buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Fossil positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Fossil Group available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Fossil buy-and-hold prospective. Additionally see Fossil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell FossilBuy Fossil
Strong Sell

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
For the selected time horizon Fossil Group has a mean deviation of 2.68, semi deviation of 0.0, standard deviation of 3.62, variance of 13.07, downside variance of 0.0 and semi variance of 0.0
Macroaxis buy, hold, or sell recommendation module can be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Fossil. Our buy, hold, or sell suggestion engine makes use of analyzes the corporation potential to grow using all fundamental data market data available at the time. To make sure Fossil is not overpriced, please confirm all Fossil Group fundamentals including its Revenue, Cash Flow from Operations, Current Asset, as well as the relationship between Cash per Share and Beta . Given that Fossil Group has Number of Shares Shorted of 10.62 M, we urge you verify Fossil Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Fossil Thematic Classifications

Consumer Goods IdeaConsumer Goods
USA Equities from Consumer Goods industry as classified by Fama & French

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.31Value At Risk7.85
Potential Upside4.00Standard Deviation3.62
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Winslow Asset Management IncCommon Shares355.5 K9.6 M
Bank Of MontrealPut Options62.5 K1.7 M
Bank Of MontrealCommon Shares59.9 K1.6 M
Louisiana State Employees Retirement SystemCommon Shares19.6 K527 K
State Of Alaska Department Of RevenueCommon Shares14.3 K384 K
Municipal Employees Retirement System Of MichiganCommon Shares12.3 K332 K
Xact Kapitalforvaltning AbCommon Shares7.7 K207 K
Ls Investment Advisors LlcCommon Shares1.4 K37 K
Fny Investment Advisers LlcCall Options50.01000

Fossil Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.25
β
Beta against DOW=0.68
σ
Overall volatility
=3.47
Ir
Information ratio =0.12

Fossil Volatility Alert

Fossil Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.73 and kurtosis of 0.6. However, we advise investors to further study Fossil Group technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Fossil to competition

Fossil Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsFossilPeer Average
Return On Equity(62.87) % (15.17) %
Return On Asset1.54 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin(17.23) % (5.50) %
Operating Margin1.61 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation1.64 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding49.24 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders9.37 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions105.10 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted10.62 M3.24 M
Price to Earning1.39 times40.69 times
Price to Book2.52 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.48 times17.81 times
Revenue2.78 B9.85 B
Gross Profit1.36 B21.75 B
EBITDA120.83 M1.41 B
Net Income(478.26 M)517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents230 M3.89 B
Cash per Share4.67 times5.17 times
Total Debt462.64 M7.36 B
Debt to Equity87.80 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio2.21 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share10.66 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations123.86 M1.25 B
Short Ratio6.13 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share9.85 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth6.34 times1.22 times
Number of Employees12.3 K10.67 K
Beta-0.540.34
Market Capitalization1.32 B29.78 B
Total Asset380.86 M126.86 B
Retained Earnings813.96 M38.24 B
Working Capital163.28 M3.58 B
Current Asset269.52 M36.8 B
   Fossil exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Fossil Market Momentum

Fossil Alerts

Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Fossil Group generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Fossil Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Fossil Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported previous year revenue of 2.78 B. Net Loss for the year was (478.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.36 B.
Over 105.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Fossil exotic insider transaction detected
Additionally see Fossil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus. Please also try Cryptocurrency Arbitrage module to find pairs of digital assets on multiple exchanges that are traded at a risk free arbitrage.
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