Fossil Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Fossil Group Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Fossil positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Fossil Group Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Fossil buy-and-hold prospective. Additionally see Fossil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Fossil Group Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 12.18  0.10  0.83%

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Fossil Group Inc is 'Cautious Hold'.
For the selected time horizon Fossil Group Inc has a mean deviation of 2.49, semi deviation of 0.0, standard deviation of 3.08, variance of 9.49, downside variance of 0.0 and semi variance of 0.0
This buy or sell advice tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Fossil Group Inc and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Fossil is not overpriced, please confirm all Fossil Group Inc fundamentals including its Revenue, Cash Flow from Operations, Current Asset, as well as the relationship between Cash per Share and Beta . Given that Fossil Group Inc has Number of Shares Shorted of 17.83 M, we urge you verify Fossil Group Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.75Value At Risk6.2
Potential Upside2.67Standard Deviation3.08
 Return Density 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Fmr LlcCommon Shares7.3 M56.6 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares5.8 M45.3 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares4 M30.8 M
Contrarius Investment Management LtdCommon Shares3.3 M25.4 M
Connor Clark Lunn Investment Management Ltd4Common Shares2.5 M19.7 M
Ancient Art LpCommon Shares1.6 M12.2 M
Millennium Management LlcCommon Shares1.4 M10.6 M
Folger Hill Asset Management LpPut Options1.2 M9.2 M

Fossil Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.07
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.24

Fossil Volatility Alert

Fossil Group Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.84 and kurtosis of -0.19. However, we advise investors to further study Fossil Group Inc technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Fossil to competition
FundamentalsFossilPeer Average
Return On Equity(59.33) % (15.17) %
Return On Asset1.06 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin(17.15) % (5.50) %
Operating Margin1.17 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation787.18 M152.14 B
Shares Outstanding48.65 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders11.17 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions113.25 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted17.83 M3.24 M
Price to Earning1.39 times40.69 times
Price to Book1.01 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.21 times17.81 times
Revenue2.79 B9.85 B
Gross Profit1.36 B21.75 B
EBITDA113.6 M1.41 B
Net Income(478.17 M)517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents232.92 M3.89 B
Cash per Share4.79 times5.17 times
Total Debt446.09 M7.36 B
Debt to Equity76.70 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio2.54 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share11.84 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations179.54 M1.25 B
Short Ratio7.22 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share9.87 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth16.78 times1.22 times
Number of Employees12.3 K10.67 K
Market Capitalization579.85 M29.78 B
Total Asset380.86 M126.86 B
Retained Earnings813.96 M38.24 B
Working Capital163.28 M3.58 B
Current Asset269.52 M36.8 B
Cautious Hold

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Fossil exotic insider transaction detected [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.26
Market Risk Adjusted Performance10.25
Mean Deviation2.49
Coefficient Of Variation412.07
Standard Deviation3.08
Information Ratio0.24
Jensen Alpha0.76
Total Risk Alpha0.70
Treynor Ratio10.24
Maximum Drawdown10.93
Value At Risk6.20
Potential Upside2.67

Current Valuation

Fossil Current Valuation Analysis
Fossil Group Inc is rated below average in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Diversified Wholesale And Retail industry is currently estimated at about 313.75 Billion. Fossil adds roughly 787.18 Million in current valuation claiming only tiny portion of equities under Diversified Wholesale And Retail industry.