Fossil Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Fossil Group Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Fossil positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Fossil Group Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Fossil buy-and-hold prospective. Additionally see Fossil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Investment Horizon


Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Fossil Group Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 6.8  0.06  0.87%

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Fossil Group Inc is 'Strong Sell'.
For the selected time horizon Fossil Group Inc has a mean deviation of 2.76, semi deviation of 0.0, standard deviation of 3.89, variance of 15.1, downside variance of 0.0 and semi variance of 0.0
We provide buy or sell advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Fossil Group Inc. Our dynamic recommendation engine makes use of multi - dimensional algorithm to analyze the company potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Fossil is not overpriced, please confirm all Fossil Group Inc fundamentals including its Revenue, Cash Flow from Operations, Current Asset, as well as the relationship between Cash per Share and Beta . Given that Fossil Group Inc has Number of Shares Shorted of 17.83 M, we urge you verify Fossil Group Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.12Value At Risk6.64
Potential Upside5.1Standard Deviation3.89
 Return Density 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Fmr LlcCommon Shares7.3 M67.9 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares5.5 M51.7 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares3.8 M35.5 M
Connor Clark Lunn Investment Management Ltd4Common Shares2.2 M20.7 M
Southpoint Capital Advisors LpCommon Shares2.1 M20 M
Ancient Art LpCommon Shares1.6 M14.6 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares1.5 M13.6 M
Folger Hill Asset Management LpPut Options1.2 M11 M

Fossil Greeks

Alpha over DOW
βBeta against DOW=2.5
Overall volatility
 IrInformation ratio =0.1

Fossil Volatility Alert

Fossil Group Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.72 and kurtosis of 0.38. However, we advise investors to further study Fossil Group Inc technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Fossil to competition
FundamentalsFossilPeer Average
Return On Equity(42.08) % (15.17) %
Return On Asset1.77 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin(12.33) % (5.5) %
Operating Margin2.01 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation631.47 M152.14 B
Shares Outstanding48.53 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders11.64 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions106.15 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted17.83 M3.24 M
Price to Earning(1.39) times40.69 times
Price to Book0.51 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.12 times17.81 times
Revenue2.83 B9.85 B
Gross Profit1.58 B21.75 B
EBITDA134.54 M1.41 B
Net Income(348.6 M)517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents167.03 M3.89 B
Cash per Share3.44 times5.17 times
Total Debt484.53 M7.36 B
Debt to Equity74.2 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio2.32 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share13.22 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations210.94 M1.25 B
Short Ratio7.22 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share(7.21) times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth(0.45) times1.22 times
Number of Employees15.1 K10.67 K
Market Capitalization329.99 M29.78 B
Total Asset380.86 M126.86 B
Retained Earnings813.96 M38.24 B
Working Capital163.28 M3.58 B
Current Asset269.52 M36.8 B
Strong Sell

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Exercise or conversion by Jennifer Pritchard of 3000 shares of Fossil subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance(0.00599)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.0623
Mean Deviation2.76
Coefficient Of Variation(3,215)
Standard Deviation3.89
Information Ratio(0.098881)
Jensen Alpha0.5027
Total Risk Alpha(2.2)
Treynor Ratio0.0523
Maximum Drawdown15.66
Value At Risk(6.64)
Potential Upside5.1

Current Valuation

Fossil Current Valuation Analysis
Fossil Group Inc is rated below average in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Diversified Wholesale And Retail industry is currently estimated at about 314.84 Billion. Fossil adds roughly 631.47 Million in current valuation claiming only tiny portion of equities under Diversified Wholesale And Retail industry.