Fox Factory Holding Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FOXF Stock | USD 40.74 0.45 1.09% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Fox Factory Holding is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Fox Factory buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FOXF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Fox Factory's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Fox Factory's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 60.45 | Target Price 123.25 | Hype Value 38.94 | Market Value 40.74 | Naive Value 35.79 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Fox Factory Holding given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Fox Factory. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Fox Factory Holding, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Fox |
Execute Fox Factory Buy or Sell Advice
The Fox recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Fox Factory Holding. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Fox Factory Holding or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Fox Factory's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Fox Factory Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Fox Factory Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Fox Factory Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from accesswire.com: Contact Levi Korsinsky by April 22, 2024 Deadline to Join Class Action Against Fox Factory Holding Corp. |
Fox Factory Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Fox Factory's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Fox Factory's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Fox Factory daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Fox Factory Holding price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Fox Factory returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Fox Factory.
| Mean Return | -0.61 | Value At Risk | -6.82 | Potential Upside | 3.75 | Standard Deviation | 4.24 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Fox Factory historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Fox Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Fox Factory is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fox Factory Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Fox Factory's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Fox Factory's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 950.4 K | Bamco Inc | 2023-12-31 | 900 K | Van Berkom And Associates Inc | 2023-12-31 | 844.5 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 821.9 K | Macquarie Group Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 634 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 512.8 K | Fmr Inc | 2023-12-31 | 496.4 K | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 465.8 K | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2023-12-31 | 457.8 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4.2 M |
Fox Factory Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (17.0M) | 7.9M | (146.5M) | (78.5M) | 31.6M | 33.2M | |
| Change In Cash | 15.8M | 202.0M | (66.1M) | (34.4M) | (61.6M) | (58.5M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 21.3M | 26.0M | 10.4M | 143.4M | 131.9M | 138.5M | |
| Depreciation | 17.7M | 33.9M | 45.1M | 49.2M | 58.6M | 61.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 516K | 1.5M | 1.6M | (1.9M) | 17.3M | 18.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 53.5M | 56.7M | 54.8M | 43.7M | 46.9M | 27.1M | |
| Net Income | 94.5M | 91.7M | 163.8M | 205.3M | 120.8M | 75.1M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 43.7M | 245.8M | 179.7M | 145.3M | 83.6M | 63.7M | |
| Change Receivables | 3.6M | (19.0M) | (12.1M) | (18.8M) | (16.9M) | (16.0M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 7.6M | (73M) | (12.5M) | (184.5M) | (166.0M) | (157.7M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (3.2M) | (5.5M) | (3.2M) | (7.0M) | (6.3M) | (6.0M) | |
| Investments | (60.3M) | (388.5M) | (106.7M) | (44.7M) | (750.4M) | (712.9M) |
Fox Factory Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Fox Factory or Automobile Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Fox Factory's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Fox stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.76 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Fox Factory Volatility Alert
Fox Factory Holding exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.81 and kurtosis of 22.24. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Fox Factory's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Fox Factory's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Fox Factory Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Fox Factory's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Fox Factory's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Fox Factory and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Fox Factory or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Fox Factory's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fox Factory by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Fox Factory to competition |
| Fundamentals | Fox Factory | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.1 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0574 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.5 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 41.99 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.37 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.63 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.09 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 47.88 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.45 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.21 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.46 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 531.34 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 216.59 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 120.85 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 108.64 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.57 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 757.64 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.45 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.38 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 29.12 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 178.74 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.48 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.85 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.72 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 58.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 4.3 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.63 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.76 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.24 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 878.09 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 560.5 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Sale by Christopher Tutton of 5260 shares of Fox Factory [view details]
Fox Factory Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Fox . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Fox Factory Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Fox Factory Holding? Buying financial instruments such as Fox Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 378.5M | 210.3M | 757.6M | 795.5M | Total Assets | 1.5B | 1.6B | 2.2B | 2.4B |
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Check out Fox Factory Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Fox Stock analysis
When running Fox Factory's price analysis, check to measure Fox Factory's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fox Factory is operating at the current time. Most of Fox Factory's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fox Factory's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fox Factory's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fox Factory to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fox Factory's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fox Factory. If investors know Fox will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fox Factory listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.92) | Earnings Share 2.85 | Revenue Per Share 34.61 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.19) | Return On Assets 0.0574 |
The market value of Fox Factory Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fox that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fox Factory's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fox Factory's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fox Factory's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fox Factory's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fox Factory's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fox Factory is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fox Factory's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.