Guess Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GES -- USA Stock  

USD 21.80  0.14  0.65%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Guess is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Guess buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Guess positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Guess available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Guess buy-and-hold prospective. Please also check Guess Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice

Guess Current Recommendation

SellBuy
Cautious Hold

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
For the selected time horizon Guess has a mean deviation of 2.66, semi deviation of 0.0, standard deviation of 5.0, variance of 24.96, downside variance of 0.0 and semi variance of 0.0
Macroaxis buy or sell recommendations module can be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Guess. Our buy, hold, or sell recommendation engine utilizes analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental data market data available at the time. To make sure Guess is not overpriced, please check out all Guess fundamentals including its Cash per Share, Beta and the relationship between Revenue and Cash Flow from Operations . Given that Guess has Price to Earning of 147.96 times, we strongly advise you confirm Guess market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Guess Thematic Classifications

Consumer Goods IdeaConsumer Goods
USA Equities from Consumer Goods industry as classified by Fama & French

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.57Value At Risk7.93
Potential Upside5.27Standard Deviation5.00
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Fmr LlcCommon Shares12.3 M256 M
Blackrock IncCommon Shares7.7 M160.7 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors LpCommon Shares7 M145.6 M
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares5.7 M117.8 M
State Street CorpCommon Shares3.8 M78.4 M
Bank Of New York Mellon CorpCommon Shares3.2 M66.2 M
Marshall Wace North America LpCommon Shares1 M21.3 M
Susquehanna International Group LlpCall Options422.1 K8.8 M

Guess Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.00
β
Beta against DOW=0.00
σ
Overall volatility
=5.22
Ir
Information ratio =0.11

Guess Volatility Alert

Guess exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.75 and kurtosis of 10.05. However, we advise investors to further study Guess technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Guess to competition

Guess Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsGuessPeer Average
Return On Equity(0.41) % (15.17) %
Return On Asset3.88 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin(0.33) % (5.50) %
Operating Margin6.88 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation1.55 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding80.94 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders31.12 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions87.57 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted12.06 M3.24 M
Price to Earning147.96 times40.69 times
Price to Book1.93 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.75 times17.81 times
Revenue2.36 B9.85 B
Gross Profit828.85 M21.75 B
EBITDA162.61 M1.41 B
Net Income(8.66 M)517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents367.44 M3.89 B
Cash per Share4.57 times5.17 times
Total Debt42.04 M7.36 B
Debt to Equity4.40 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio2.37 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share11.31 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations84.89 M1.25 B
Short Ratio12.49 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share0.11 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth5.11 times1.22 times
Number of Employees14.7 K10.67 K
Beta-0.160.34
Market Capitalization1.76 B29.78 B
Total Asset1.54 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings1.27 B38.24 B
Working Capital709.19 M3.58 B
Current Asset1.04 B36.8 B
   Sale by Michael Relich of 118 shares of Guess [view details]

Guess Alerts

Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Guess generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Guess has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Guess has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
The company reported last year revenue of 2.36 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (8.66 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 828.85 M.
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On June 12, 2018 Guess paid $ 0.225 per share dividend to its current shareholders
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Please also check Guess Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus. Please also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.