Guess Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Guess Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Guess positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Guess Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Guess buy-and-hold prospective. Please also check Guess Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Investment Horizon

  

Risk Tolerance

  
Symbol
Execute Advice
Guess Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 16.93  0.22  1.32%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Guess Inc is 'Hold'.
For the selected time horizon Guess Inc has a risk adjusted performance of 0.0528, jensen alpha of (0.027887), total risk alpha of (0.95), sortino ratio of 0.0309 and treynor ratio of 0.1538
This buy, hold, or sell suggestion tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Guess and to analyze the organization potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Guess Inc is not overpriced, please check out all Guess fundamentals including its Cash per Share, Beta and the relationship between Revenue and Cash Flow from Operations . Given that Guess Inc has Price to Earning of 147.96 times, we strongly advise you confirm Guess Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.34Value At Risk3.27
Potential Upside4.93Standard Deviation3.81
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Guess Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.03
βBeta against DOW=2.13
σ
Overall volatility
=3.82
 IrInformation ratio =0.0423

Guess Volatility Alert

Guess Inc exhibits above average semi-deviation of 4.56 for selected time horizon. We encourage investors to investigate Guess Inc individually to make sure intended market timing strategies and available technical indicagtors are consistent with their estimates about Guess future systematic risk.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Guess to competition
FundamentalsGuessPeer Average
Return On Equity1.3 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset2.84 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin0.43 % (5.5) %
Operating Margin3.18 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation1.12 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding83.27 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders29.07 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions84.64 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted11.82 M3.24 M
Price to Earning147.96 times40.69 times
Price to Book1.39 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.59 times17.81 times
Revenue2.25 B9.85 B
Gross Profit745.04 M21.75 B
EBITDA137.42 M1.41 B
Net Income8.96 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents316.54 M3.89 B
Cash per Share3.8 times5.17 times
Total Debt41.25 M7.36 B
Debt to Equity4.2 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio2.78 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share11.48 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations79.2 M1.25 B
Short Ratio8.65 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share0.11 times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth6.06 times1.22 times
Number of Employees13.5 K10.67 K
Beta-0.10.34
Market Capitalization1.33 B29.78 B
Total Asset1.54 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings1.27 B38.24 B
Working Capital709.19 M3.58 B
Current Asset1.04 B36.8 B
SellBuy
Hold

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
   Bona fide gift to Maurice Marciano of 66880 shares of Guess subject to Section 16 [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.0528
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.1638
Mean Deviation2.46
Semi Deviation4.56
Downside Deviation5.22
Coefficient Of Variation1125.79
Standard Deviation3.81
Variance14.48
Information Ratio0.0423
Jensen Alpha(0.027887)
Total Risk Alpha(0.95)
Sortino Ratio0.0309
Treynor Ratio0.1538
Maximum Drawdown17.91
Value At Risk(3.27)
Potential Upside4.93
Downside Variance27.26
Semi Variance20.83
Expected Short fall(2.4)
Skewness(1.92)
Kurtosis6.71

Current Valuation

Guess Current Valuation Analysis
Guess Inc is rated # 5 in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Clothing Wholesale And Retail industry is currently estimated at about 33.42 Billion. Guess holds roughly 1.12 Billion in current valuation claiming about 3% of stocks in Clothing Wholesale And Retail industry.