Guess Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Guess Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Guess positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Guess Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Guess buy-and-hold prospective. Please also check Guess Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Guess Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 14.82  0.04  0.27%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Guess Inc is 'Cautious Hold'.
For the selected time horizon Guess Inc has a mean deviation of 3.64, semi deviation of 0.0, standard deviation of 5.14, variance of 26.42, downside variance of 0.0 and semi variance of 0.0
This buy, hold, or sell suggestion tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Guess and to analyze the organization potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Guess Inc is not overpriced, please check out all Guess fundamentals including its Cash per Share, Beta and the relationship between Revenue and Cash Flow from Operations . Given that Guess Inc has Price to Earning of 147.96 times, we strongly advise you confirm Guess Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.94Value At Risk7.22
Potential Upside5.31Standard Deviation5.14
 Return Density 

Guess Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.48
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.14

Guess Volatility Alert

Guess Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.69 and kurtosis of 4.48. However, we advise investors to further study Guess Inc technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Guess to competition
FundamentalsGuessPeer Average
Return On Equity0.17 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset2.82 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin(0.10) % (5.50) %
Operating Margin5.98 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation1.09 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding82.27 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders30.09 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions85.50 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted12.06 M3.24 M
Price to Earning147.96 times40.69 times
Price to Book1.30 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.53 times17.81 times
Revenue2.27 B9.85 B
Gross Profit745.04 M21.75 B
EBITDA135.48 M1.41 B
Net Income(3.06 M)517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents233.09 M3.89 B
Cash per Share2.83 times5.17 times
Total Debt40.9 M7.36 B
Debt to Equity4.30 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio2.58 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share11.18 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations(8.07 M)1.25 B
Short Ratio12.49 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share0.04 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth5.91 times1.22 times
Number of Employees14.3 K10.67 K
Market Capitalization1.2 B29.78 B
Total Asset1.54 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings1.27 B38.24 B
Working Capital709.19 M3.58 B
Current Asset1.04 B36.8 B
Cautious Hold

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Acquisition by Gianluca Bolla of 4207 shares of Guess subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.31
Market Risk Adjusted Performance1.95
Mean Deviation3.64
Coefficient Of Variation549.39
Standard Deviation5.14
Information Ratio0.14
Jensen Alpha0.84
Total Risk Alpha0.30
Treynor Ratio1.96
Maximum Drawdown20.71
Value At Risk7.22
Potential Upside5.31

Current Valuation

Guess Current Valuation Analysis
Guess Inc is rated below average in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Clothing Wholesale And Retail industry is currently estimated at about 33.2 Billion. Guess holds roughly 1.09 Billion in current valuation claiming about 3% of stocks in Clothing Wholesale And Retail industry.