Guess Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Guess Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Guess positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Guess Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Guess buy-and-hold prospective. Please also check Guess Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Investment Horizon

  

Risk Tolerance

  
Symbol
Execute Advice
Guess Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 16.34  0.08  0.49%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Guess Inc is 'Strong Sell'.
For the selected time horizon Guess Inc has a mean deviation of 1.36, semi deviation of 1.39, standard deviation of 1.69, variance of 2.87, downside variance of 2.79 and semi variance of 1.92
This buy, hold, or sell suggestion tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Guess and to analyze the organization potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Guess Inc is not overpriced, please check out all Guess fundamentals including its Cash per Share, Beta and the relationship between Revenue and Cash Flow from Operations . Given that Guess Inc has Price to Earning of 146.15 times, we strongly advise you confirm Guess Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.16Value At Risk-2.6911
Potential Upside2.7896Standard Deviation1.6929
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Smith Graham Co Investment Advisors LpCommon Shares280.2 K4.8 M
Louisiana State Employees Retirement SystemCommon Shares24.3 K414 K
Nisa Investment Advisors LlcCommon Shares23.6 K402 K
Quantitative Systematic Strategies LlcCommon Shares16.5 K281 K
State Of Alaska Department Of RevenueCommon Shares12.1 K205 K
Bank Of The WestCommon Shares10.9 K186 K
Trust Department Mb Financial Bank N ACommon Shares10 K170 K
Cutler Group LpCall Options12.3 K29 K
Cutler Group LpPut Options15.3 K0.0

Guess Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
= 0.52 
βBeta against DOW=(2.63) 
σ
Overall volatility
= 1.66 
 IrInformation ratio = 0.0063 

Guess Volatility Alert

Guess Inc has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.04 and kurtosis of -0.66. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Guess Inc to ensure market all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future risk-adjusted return.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Guess to competition
FundamentalsGuessPeer Average
Return On Equity1.3 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset2.84 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin0.43 % (5.5) %
Operating Margin3.18 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation1.14 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding83.27 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders29.08 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions82.51 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted11.82 M3.24 M
Price to Earning146.15 times40.69 times
Price to Book1.37 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.59 times17.81 times
Revenue2.25 B9.85 B
Gross Profit745.04 M21.75 B
EBITDA137.42 M1.41 B
Net Income8.96 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents316.54 M3.89 B
Cash per Share3.8 times5.17 times
Total Debt41.25 M7.36 B
Debt to Equity4.2 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio2.78 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share11.6 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations79.2 M1.25 B
Short Ratio8.65 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share0.11 times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth6.14 times1.22 times
Number of Employees13.5 K10.67 K
Beta-0.070.34
Market Capitalization1.33 B29.78 B
Total Asset1.54 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings1.27 B38.24 B
Working Capital709.19 M3.58 B
Current Asset1.04 B36.8 B
SellBuy
Strong Sell

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
   Sale by Kay IsaacsonLeibowitz of 6000 shares of Guess [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.0331
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.047417)
Mean Deviation1.36
Semi Deviation1.39
Downside Deviation1.67
Coefficient Of Variation1052.93
Standard Deviation1.69
Variance2.87
Information Ratio0.0063
Jensen Alpha0.5188
Total Risk Alpha(0.76)
Sortino Ratio0.0064
Treynor Ratio(0.057417)
Maximum Drawdown5.92
Value At Risk(2.69)
Potential Upside2.79
Downside Variance2.79
Semi Variance1.92
Expected Short fall(1.65)
Skewness(0.041132)
Kurtosis(0.66)

Current Valuation

Guess Current Valuation Analysis
Guess Inc is rated # 5 in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Clothing Wholesale And Retail industry is currently estimated at about 28.99 Billion. Guess holds roughly 1.14 Billion in current valuation claiming about 4% of stocks in Clothing Wholesale And Retail industry.