Graphic Packaging Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Graphic Packaging Holding Company buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Graphic Packaging positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Graphic Packaging Holding Company available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Graphic Packaging buy-and-hold prospective. Please also check Graphic Packaging Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Investment Horizon


Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Graphic Packaging Holding Company is 'Strong Sell'.
For the selected time horizon Graphic Packaging Holding Company has a mean deviation of 0.7971, semi deviation of 0.9826, standard deviation of 1.11, variance of 1.23, downside variance of 1.5 and semi variance of 0.9656
This buy, hold, or sell suggestion tool can be used to cross verify current analyst consensus on Graphic Packaging and to analyze the organization potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Graphic Packaging Holding Company is not overpriced, please check out all Graphic Packaging fundamentals including its Shares Outstanding, Net Income, Price to Earnings To Growth, as well as the relationship between Price to Book and Current Ratio . Given that Graphic Packaging Ho has Price to Earning of 3.82 times, we strongly advise you confirm Graphic Packaging Ho market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.12Value At Risk-1.7751
Potential Upside1.4695Standard Deviation1.1084
 Return Density 

Graphic Packaging Greeks

Alpha over DOW
= 0.18 
βBeta against DOW=(1.95) 
Overall volatility
= 1.08 
 IrInformation ratio = 0.06 

Graphic Packaging Volatility Alert

Graphic Packaging Holding Company has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.18 and kurtosis of 0.73. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Graphic Packaging Holding Company to ensure market all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future risk-adjusted return.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Graphic Packaging to competition
FundamentalsGraphic PackagingPeer Average
Return On Equity19.03 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset5.40 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin4.80 % (5.50) %
Operating Margin9.34 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation6.12 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding310.56 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders1.36 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions96.60 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted3.24 M3.24 M
Price to Earning3.82 times40.69 times
Price to Book3.86 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.95 times17.81 times
Revenue4.33 B9.85 B
Gross Profit791.9 M21.75 B
EBITDA707.8 M1.41 B
Net Income207.5 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents37.4 M3.89 B
Cash per Share0.12 times5.17 times
Total Debt2.25 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity208.40 times0.72 times
Current Ratio1.51 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share3.47 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations611.4 M1.25 B
Short Ratio0.97 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share0.65 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth0.99 times1.22 times
Number of Employees12 K10.67 K
Market Capitalization4.11 B29.78 B
Total Asset4.26 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings(268 M)38.24 B
Working Capital334.6 M3.58 B
Current Asset1.07 B36.8 B
Strong Sell

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Acquisition by David Campbell of 8190 shares of Graphic Packaging subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.0388
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.04)
Mean Deviation0.7971
Semi Deviation0.9826
Downside Deviation1.22
Coefficient Of Variation956.65
Standard Deviation1.11
Information Ratio0.0596
Jensen Alpha0.1834
Total Risk Alpha(0.04)
Sortino Ratio0.0539
Treynor Ratio(0.05)
Maximum Drawdown3.5
Value At Risk(1.78)
Potential Upside1.47
Downside Variance1.5
Semi Variance0.9656
Expected Short fall(0.84)

Current Valuation

Graphic Packaging Current Valuation Analysis
Graphic Packaging Holding Company is rated # 3 in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Packaging industry is currently estimated at about 65.68 Billion. Graphic Packaging holds roughly 6.12 Billion in current valuation claiming about 9% of equities listed under Packaging industry.