Graincorp Limited Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
GRCLF Stock | USD 5.17 0.17 3.18% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding GrainCorp Limited is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides GrainCorp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GRCLF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of GrainCorp's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting GrainCorp's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 4.35 | Hype Value 5.17 | Market Value 5.17 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell GrainCorp Limited given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards GrainCorp. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for GrainCorp Limited, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
GrainCorp |
Execute GrainCorp Buy or Sell Advice
The GrainCorp recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on GrainCorp Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in GrainCorp Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute GrainCorp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Relatively risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
GrainCorp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
GrainCorp Limited had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
GrainCorp Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of GrainCorp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of GrainCorp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of GrainCorp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use GrainCorp Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of GrainCorp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for GrainCorp.
Mean Return | 0.15 | Value At Risk | -4.29 | Potential Upside | 7.68 | Standard Deviation | 3.70 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of GrainCorp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
GrainCorp Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to GrainCorp or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that GrainCorp's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a GrainCorp pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
GrainCorp Volatility Alert
GrainCorp Limited shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure GrainCorp's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact GrainCorp's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.GrainCorp Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing GrainCorp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze GrainCorp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between GrainCorp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as GrainCorp or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of GrainCorp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GrainCorp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare GrainCorp to competition |
Fundamentals | GrainCorp | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.29 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.2 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.12 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 1.75 B | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 223.65 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.95 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 37.37 % | 39.21 % |
Price To Earning | 5.02 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 1.22 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 0.15 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 7.85 B | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 1.63 B | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 704.9 M | 3.9 B |
Net Income | 380.4 M | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 311 M | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 1.36 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 150 M | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 1.79 % | 48.70 % |
Current Ratio | 1.24 X | 2.16 X |
Book Value Per Share | 6.52 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 443.7 M | 971.22 M |
Earnings Per Share | 1.13 X | 3.12 X |
Number Of Employees | 34 | 18.84 K |
Beta | 0.95 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 1.13 B | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 3.35 B | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | 358 M | 9.33 B |
Working Capital | 488 M | 1.48 B |
Current Asset | 1.36 B | 9.34 B |
Current Liabilities | 868 M | 7.9 B |
Z Score | 6.2 | 8.72 |
Annual Yield | 0.04 % |
GrainCorp Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as GrainCorp . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About GrainCorp Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell GrainCorp Limited? Buying financial instruments such as GrainCorp Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having GrainCorp in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out GrainCorp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
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When running GrainCorp's price analysis, check to measure GrainCorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GrainCorp is operating at the current time. Most of GrainCorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GrainCorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GrainCorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GrainCorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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