Hertz Global Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HTZ Stock | USD 5.90 0.07 1.17% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hertz Global Holdings is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Hertz Global buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HTZ positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Hertz Global's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Hertz Global's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 8.99 | Target Price 18.8 | Hype Value 6.01 | Market Value 5.9 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Hertz Global Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Hertz Global. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Hertz Global Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Hertz |
Execute Hertz Global Buy or Sell Advice
The Hertz recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hertz Global Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hertz Global Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hertz Global's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Hertz Global Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Hertz Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hertz Global has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Hertz Global has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Little Excitement Around Hertz Global Holdings, Inc.s Earnings |
Hertz Global Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Hertz Global's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hertz Global's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hertz Global daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hertz Global Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hertz Global returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hertz Global.
| Mean Return | -0.44 | Value At Risk | -6.26 | Potential Upside | 5.48 | Standard Deviation | 3.75 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hertz Global historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Hertz Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Hertz Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hertz Global Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Hertz Global's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Hertz Global's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Cpv Partners, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 3.2 M | Man Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 3.2 M | Allianz Asset Management Ag | 2023-12-31 | 2.6 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 2.4 M | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 2.3 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 2.3 M | Squarepoint Ops Llc | 2023-12-31 | 2.3 M | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 1.9 M | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | Knighthead Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 181.5 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 12.2 M |
Hertz Global Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (50M) | 218M | 1.1B | (1.2B) | (212M) | (201.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (11.0B) | (4.7B) | (5.4B) | (8.2B) | (7.2B) | (7.6B) | |
| Depreciation | 3.0B | 2.5B | 796M | 951M | 2.6B | 2.5B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 70M | 360M | 783M | (699M) | (49M) | (46.6M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 13.9B | 5.6B | 7.2B | 10.7B | 9.7B | 8.4B | |
| Net Income | (50M) | (1.7B) | 365M | 2.1B | 616M | 646.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 495M | 1.6B | 2.7B | 1.4B | 1.2B | 1.1B | |
| Net Borrowings | 767M | (5.2B) | (262M) | 3.0B | 2.7B | 2.8B | |
| Change To Netincome | 71M | (63M) | 627M | (210M) | (241.5M) | (229.4M) |
Hertz Global Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hertz Global or Ground Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hertz Global's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hertz stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.71 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 3.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Hertz Global Volatility Alert
Hertz Global Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.32 and kurtosis of 1.03. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hertz Global's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hertz Global's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Hertz Global Implied Volatility
Hertz Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hertz Global Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hertz Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hertz Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hertz Global's options are near their expiration.
Hertz Global Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Hertz Global's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hertz Global's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hertz Global and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hertz Global or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hertz Global's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hertz Global by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Hertz Global to competition |
| Fundamentals | Hertz Global | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0201 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.15) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 18.88 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 305.61 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.59 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.57 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 25.52 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 20.51 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.68 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.22 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 9.37 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.18 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3.33 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 616 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.15 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.45 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 17.83 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 5.30 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.84 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 11.61 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.47 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.96 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.39 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.24) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 8.17 | |
| Number Of Employees | 27 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.0 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.82 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 24.61 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 360 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (699 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Vougessis Evangeline of 1597 shares of Hertz Global at 7.83 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Hertz Global Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hertz . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 156620.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.32) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5.93 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.92 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.07) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.07) |
About Hertz Global Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Hertz Global Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Hertz Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Stockholder Equity | 3.0B | 2.6B | 3.1B | 1.7B | Total Assets | 19.8B | 22.5B | 24.6B | 20.9B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Hertz Global in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Banks
Large and small money and credit banks and credit services. The Banks theme has 39 constituents at this time.
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Check out Hertz Global Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Hertz Stock analysis
When running Hertz Global's price analysis, check to measure Hertz Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hertz Global is operating at the current time. Most of Hertz Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hertz Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hertz Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hertz Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hertz Global's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hertz Global. If investors know Hertz will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hertz Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.31) | Earnings Share 1.39 | Revenue Per Share 29.939 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.073 | Return On Assets 0.0201 |
The market value of Hertz Global Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hertz that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hertz Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hertz Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hertz Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hertz Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hertz Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hertz Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hertz Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.