Iteris Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ITI Stock  USD 4.64  0.03  0.65%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Iteris Inc is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Iteris buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Iteris positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Iteris' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Iteris' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
5.4
Target Price
6
Hype Value
4.64
Market Value
4.64
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Iteris Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Iteris. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Iteris Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Iteris Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Iteris and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Iteris Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Iteris Buy or Sell Advice

The Iteris recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Iteris Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Iteris Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Iteris' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell IterisBuy Iteris
Strong Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Iteris Inc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0116, Jensen Alpha of (0.08), Total Risk Alpha of (0.17), Sortino Ratio of (0.02) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0031
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Iteris. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Iteris Inc is not overpriced, please check out all Iteris fundamentals, including its cash per share, number of employees, and the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Iteris Inc has a price to earning of 11.58 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Iteris Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Iteris Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the last year's revenue of 156.05 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (14.86 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 42.02 M.
Iteris Inc has about 14.84 M in cash with (4.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.35.
Iteris Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Iteris Chosen by Port of Long Beach to Complete a Multimodal Transportation Study

Iteris Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Iteris' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Iteris' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Iteris daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Iteris Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Iteris returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Iteris.
Mean Return
0.02
Value At Risk
-3.28
Potential Upside
3.47
Standard Deviation
2.28
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Iteris historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Iteris Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Iteris is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Iteris Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Iteris' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Iteris' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bard Associates Inc2023-12-31
359.4 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
354.1 K
Royce & Associates, Lp2023-12-31
342.5 K
Bouvel Investment Partners, Llc2023-12-31
294.9 K
Worth Venture Partners, Llc2023-12-31
278.8 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2023-12-31
268 K
Tiaa Trust National Association2023-12-31
249.4 K
Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd2023-12-31
170.7 K
Dynamic Advisor Solutions Llc2023-12-31
169.4 K
Samjo Management Llc2023-12-31
6.5 M
Samjo Capital, Llc2023-09-30
6.5 M
Note, although Iteris' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Iteris Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(124K)(1.1M)(2.9M)(2.9M)(3.3M)(3.1M)
Change In Cash7.3M11.1M(1.7M)(7.1M)(6.4M)(6.1M)
Free Cash Flow(4.9M)5.1M(7.8M)(6.7M)(7.7M)(7.3M)
Depreciation2.3M2.8M4.1M3.8M3.4M1.8M
Other Non Cash Items1.7M(10.5M)6.1M1.8M1.6M972.3K
Capital Expenditures1.1M1.4M2.1M1.9M1.7M1.5M
Net Income(5.6M)10.1M(7.1M)(14.9M)(17.1M)(16.2M)
End Period Cash Flow14.4M25.5M23.8M16.7M19.2M9.7M
Change Receivables(4.1M)265K(227K)(6.6M)(5.9M)(5.6M)
Change To Netincome2.1M2.8M1.2M9.1M10.4M10.9M
Investments(9.6M)8.4M3.1M(1.9M)(2.2M)(2.0M)

Iteris Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Iteris or Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Iteris' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Iteris stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.85
σ
Overall volatility
2.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Iteris Volatility Alert

Iteris Inc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.02 and Jensen Alpha of -0.08. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Iteris' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Iteris' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Iteris Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Iteris' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Iteris' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Iteris and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Iteris or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Iteris' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Iteris by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Iteris to competition
FundamentalsIterisPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0376-0.31
Return On Asset0.0129-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.01 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation184.57 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding42.76 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.06 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions51.03 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted209.43 K4.71 M
Price To Earning11.58 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.93 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.17 X11.42 X
Revenue156.05 M9.43 B
Gross Profit42.02 M27.38 B
EBITDA(10.48 M)3.9 B
Net Income(14.86 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents14.84 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.35 X5.01 X
Total Debt7.64 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.17 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.87 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share1.61 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(4.84 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio1.62 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.06 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(3.69) X4.89 X
Target Price6.88
Number Of Employees45018.84 K
Beta0.67-0.15
Market Capitalization197.11 M19.03 B
Total Asset111.79 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(130.57 M)9.33 B
Working Capital24.82 M1.48 B
Note: Purchase by Valentineposka Kimberly of 10000 shares of Iteris [view details]

Iteris Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Iteris . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Iteris Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Iteris Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Iteris Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total10.8M7.6M6.9M12.3M
Total Assets126.4M111.8M128.6M74.2M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Iteris in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Office Supplies Thematic Idea Now

Office Supplies
Office Supplies Theme
Companies producing and selling office supplies, and accessories. The Office Supplies theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Office Supplies Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Iteris Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Iteris' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Iteris Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Iteris Inc Stock:
Check out Iteris Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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When running Iteris' price analysis, check to measure Iteris' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Iteris is operating at the current time. Most of Iteris' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Iteris' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Iteris' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Iteris to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Iteris' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Iteris. If investors know Iteris will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Iteris listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.96)
Earnings Share
0.06
Revenue Per Share
4.019
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.035
Return On Assets
0.0129
The market value of Iteris Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Iteris that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Iteris' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Iteris' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Iteris' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Iteris' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Iteris' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Iteris is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Iteris' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.