Semileds Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| LEDS Stock | USD 1.55 0.03 1.90% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding SemiLEDS is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides SemiLEDS buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SemiLEDS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of SemiLEDS's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting SemiLEDS's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 1.27 | Hype Value 1.53 | Market Value 1.55 | Naive Value 1.46 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell SemiLEDS given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards SemiLEDS. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for SemiLEDS, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
SemiLEDS |
Execute SemiLEDS Buy or Sell Advice
The SemiLEDS recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on SemiLEDS. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in SemiLEDS or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute SemiLEDS's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Extremely Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
SemiLEDS Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| SemiLEDS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| SemiLEDS may become a speculative penny stock | |
| SemiLEDS has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company currently holds 7.74 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 2.53, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. SemiLEDS has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist SemiLEDS until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SemiLEDS's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SemiLEDS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SemiLEDS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SemiLEDS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 5.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.4 M. | |
| SemiLEDS currently holds about 3.02 M in cash with (984 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.67. | |
| SemiLEDS has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 53.0% of SemiLEDS outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: SemiLEDs Coverage Initiated by Analysts at StockNews.com - Defense World |
SemiLEDS Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of SemiLEDS's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of SemiLEDS's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of SemiLEDS daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use SemiLEDS price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of SemiLEDS returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for SemiLEDS.
| Mean Return | 0.55 | Value At Risk | -8.09 | Potential Upside | 12.88 | Standard Deviation | 7.01 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of SemiLEDS historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
SemiLEDS Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as SemiLEDS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SemiLEDS backward and forwards among themselves. SemiLEDS's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase SemiLEDS's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Schonfeld Strategic Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 18.9 K | Cambridge Trust Co | 2023-12-31 | 12.3 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 599 | Ubs Group Ag | 2023-12-31 | 100.0 | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 |
SemiLEDS Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (988K) | (2.0M) | (940K) | (1.0M) | (1.2M) | (1.2M) | |
| Change In Cash | 1.5M | 2.0M | (576K) | (1.7M) | (1.5M) | (1.5M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (1.3M) | (1.9M) | (1.8M) | (1.2M) | (1.4M) | (1.5M) | |
| Depreciation | 843K | 897K | 938K | 1.0M | 902.7K | 857.6K | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (594K) | 150K | 746K | (368K) | (331.2K) | (314.6K) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 291K | 132K | 293K | 228K | 205.2K | 194.9K | |
| Net Income | (547K) | (2.9M) | (2.7M) | (2.7M) | (3.1M) | (3.2M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 3.0M | 5.0M | 4.5M | 2.7M | 2.5M | 2.3M | |
| Net Borrowings | 4.1M | 1.7M | (173K) | (482K) | (554.3K) | (526.6K) | |
| Change To Netincome | 604K | (493K) | 1.2M | 1.2M | 1.1M | 1.0M |
SemiLEDS Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to SemiLEDS or Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that SemiLEDS's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a SemiLEDS stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.48 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
SemiLEDS Volatility Alert
SemiLEDS is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure SemiLEDS's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact SemiLEDS's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.SemiLEDS Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing SemiLEDS's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze SemiLEDS's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between SemiLEDS and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as SemiLEDS or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of SemiLEDS's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SemiLEDS by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare SemiLEDS to competition |
| Fundamentals | SemiLEDS | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.97 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.17 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.49) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.94) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 15.41 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 7.18 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 53.46 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.50 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 9.19 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (0.45) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 12.97 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.61 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 5.98 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.4 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (2.35 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (2.69 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.02 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.67 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 7.74 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.53 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.97 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.42 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (984 K) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.44 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.57) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 3.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 152 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.1 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 11.34 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 13.46 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (186.65 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (2.11 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 11.64 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Trung Doan of 200000 shares of SemiLEDS subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
SemiLEDS Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as SemiLEDS . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About SemiLEDS Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell SemiLEDS? Buying financial instruments such as SemiLEDS Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 8.5M | 7.7M | 8.9M | 6.3M | Total Assets | 16.1M | 13.5M | 12.1M | 11.5M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having SemiLEDS in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Automobiles and Trucks Thematic Idea Now
Automobiles and Trucks
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Automobiles and Trucks theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Automobiles and Trucks Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out SemiLEDS Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy SemiLEDS Stock please use our How to Invest in SemiLEDS guide.Note that the SemiLEDS information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other SemiLEDS's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for SemiLEDS Stock analysis
When running SemiLEDS's price analysis, check to measure SemiLEDS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SemiLEDS is operating at the current time. Most of SemiLEDS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SemiLEDS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SemiLEDS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SemiLEDS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is SemiLEDS's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SemiLEDS. If investors know SemiLEDS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SemiLEDS listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.57) | Revenue Per Share 1.153 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.23) | Return On Assets (0.17) | Return On Equity (0.97) |
The market value of SemiLEDS is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SemiLEDS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SemiLEDS's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SemiLEDS's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SemiLEDS's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SemiLEDS's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SemiLEDS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SemiLEDS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SemiLEDS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.