Lake Shore Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LSBK Stock  USD 10.69  0.20  1.91%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Lake Shore Bancorp is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Lake Shore buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding LSBK positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Lake Shore's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Lake Shore's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
10.89
Hype Value
10.69
Market Value
10.69
Naive Value
10.42
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Lake Shore Bancorp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Lake Shore. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Lake Shore Bancorp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Lake Shore Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Lake and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Lake Shore Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Execute Lake Shore Buy or Sell Advice

The Lake recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lake Shore Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lake Shore Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lake Shore's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Lake ShoreBuy Lake Shore
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Lake Shore Bancorp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), Jensen Alpha of (0.21), Total Risk Alpha of (0.38) and Treynor Ratio of (0.38)
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Lake Shore Bancorp and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Lake Shore Bancorp is not overpriced, please verify all Lake Shore Bancorp fundamentals, including its cash per share, beta, and the relationship between the gross profit and cash flow from operations . Given that Lake Shore Bancorp has a shares owned by institutions of 8.97 %, we recommend you to check Lake Shore market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Lake Shore Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Lake Shore Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from investorplace.com: LSBK Stock Earnings Lake Shore Bancorp Reported Results for Q1 2024

Lake Shore Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Lake Shore's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lake Shore's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lake Shore daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lake Shore Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lake Shore returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lake Shore.
Mean Return
-0.16
Value At Risk
-2.94
Potential Upside
2.07
Standard Deviation
1.57
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lake Shore historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Lake Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Lake Shore is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lake Shore Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Lake Shore's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Lake Shore's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
9.1 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
4.8 K
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
4.5 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2023-12-31
261
Royal Bank Of Canada2023-12-31
127
Wells Fargo & Co2023-12-31
14.0
Capital Advisors, Ltd. Llc2023-12-31
6.0
Advisor Group Holdings, Inc.2023-12-31
0.0
M3f, Inc.2023-12-31
102.3 K
Stilwell Value Llc2023-12-31
100 K
Hbk Sorce Advisory Llc2023-12-31
62.5 K
Note, although Lake Shore's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Lake Shore Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Capital Expenditures818K810K399K406K13.0M13.6M
Net Income4.1M4.6M6.2M5.7M4.8M3.7M
End Period Cash Flow30.3M43.0M67.6M9.6M53.7M31.7M
Change In Cash(462K)12.7M24.6M(58.0M)44.1M46.3M
Free Cash Flow5.0M5.2M7.9M7.7M(6.8M)(6.4M)
Depreciation774K809K840K856K807K789.0K
Other Non Cash Items1.6M2.3M1.1M890K(1.1M)(1.0M)
Dividends Paid1.3M1.0M1.1M1.4M462K798.1K
Investments(64.0M)(62.1M)(5.7M)(57.2M)7.7M8.1M
Change Receivables(201K)(112K)(240K)(834K)(750.6K)(713.1K)
Net Borrowings(2.3M)10M(4.9M)(7.8M)(9.0M)(8.5M)
Change To Netincome746K871K1.6M1.2M1.3M674.4K

Lake Shore Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lake Shore or Thrifts & Mortgage Finance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lake Shore's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lake stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.21
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.44
σ
Overall volatility
1.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Lake Shore Volatility Alert

Lake Shore Bancorp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.06 and kurtosis of 0.4. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lake Shore's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lake Shore's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Lake Shore Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Lake Shore's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lake Shore's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lake Shore and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lake Shore or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lake Shore's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lake Shore by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Lake Shore to competition
FundamentalsLake ShorePeer Average
Return On Equity0.0489-0.31
Return On Asset0.0057-0.14
Profit Margin0.16 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.19 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation34.06 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding5.68 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders67.80 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions8.97 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.1 K4.71 M
Price To Earning13.34 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.69 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.17 X11.42 X
Revenue36.45 M9.43 B
Gross Profit26.32 M27.38 B
EBITDA807 K3.9 B
Net Income4.82 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents19.68 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.33 X5.01 X
Total Debt35.97 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity5.41 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share14.50 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations6.21 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.62 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.82 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees11518.84 K
Beta0.5-0.15
Market Capitalization60.77 M19.03 B
Total Asset725.12 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings78.96 M9.33 B
Five Year Return3.21 %
Net Asset725.12 M
Note: Acquisition by Beverly Sutton of 1468 shares of Lake Shore subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Lake Shore Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lake . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Lake Shore Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Lake Shore Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Lake Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total22.0M37.5M36.0M23.8M
Total Assets714.1M699.9M725.1M518.8M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Lake Shore in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

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Natural Foods
Natural Foods Theme
Companies producing natural foods including dairy products and different types of meets. The Natural Foods theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Natural Foods Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Lake Shore Bancorp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Lake Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Lake Shore Bancorp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Lake Shore Bancorp Stock:
Check out Lake Shore Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Lake Shore Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lake Shore's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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Is Lake Shore's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lake Shore. If investors know Lake will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lake Shore listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.41)
Earnings Share
0.82
Revenue Per Share
4.539
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
Return On Assets
0.0057
The market value of Lake Shore Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lake that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lake Shore's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lake Shore's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lake Shore's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lake Shore's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lake Shore's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lake Shore is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lake Shore's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.