Macys Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

M Stock  USD 21.24  0.05  0.24%   
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Macys Inc is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Macys buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Macys positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Macys' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Osisko Gold Ro's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
17.11
Target Price
14.73
Hype Value
21.18
Market Value
21.24
Naive Value
22.54
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Macys Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Macys. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Macys Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Macys Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Macys and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Macys Inc. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute Macys Buy or Sell Advice

The Macys recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Macys Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Macys Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Macys' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell MacysBuy Macys
Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Macys Inc has a Mean Deviation of 1.97, Semi Deviation of 2.6, Standard Deviation of 2.92, Variance of 8.52, Downside Variance of 7.05 and Semi Variance of 6.74
Our advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Macys Inc. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Macys Inc is not overpriced, please verify all Macys Inc fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, cash per share, beta, as well as the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Macys Inc has a price to earning of 4.95 X, we recommend you to check Macys market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Macys Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Macys stock gains as its open to providing due diligence to bidder group

Macys Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Macys' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Macys' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Macys stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Macys Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Macys returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Macys.
Mean Return
0.1
Value At Risk
-4.18
Potential Upside
3.72
Standard Deviation
2.92
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Macys historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Macys Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Macys is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Macys Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Macys' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Macys' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
3.8 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
3.7 M
Aqr Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
3.7 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
3.6 M
Citadel Advisors Llc2023-09-30
3.4 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
3.3 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
3.1 M
Fmr Inc2023-12-31
2.9 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2023-12-31
2.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
35 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
25.1 M
Note, although Macys' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Macys Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory75M1.4B(610M)116M(99M)(94.1M)
Change In Cash(517M)1.0B(39M)(850M)172M180.6M
Free Cash Flow451M183M2.1B320M312M296.4M
Depreciation981M959M874M857M897M941.2M
Other Non Cash Items285M3.7B139M19M3.5B3.7B
Capital Expenditures1.2B466M597M1.3B993M840.7M
Net Income564M(3.9B)1.4B1.2B105M99.8M
End Period Cash Flow731M1.8B1.7B865M1.0B1.0B
Change To Netincome282M3.4B143M24M27.6M26.2M
Dividends Paid466M117M90M173M181M279.2M
Net Borrowings(662M)912M(1.6B)(472M)(424.8M)(403.6M)
Investments(1.0B)(325M)(370M)(1.2B)(1.1B)(999.5M)

Macys Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Macys or Broadline Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Macys' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Macys stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.12
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.57
σ
Overall volatility
2.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Macys Volatility Alert

Macys Inc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.02 and Jensen Alpha of -0.12. However, we advise investors to further question Macys Inc expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Macys' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Macys' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Macys Implied Volatility

Macys' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Macys Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Macys' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Macys stock will not fluctuate a lot when Macys' options are near their expiration.

Macys Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Macys' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Macys' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Macys and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Macys or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Macys' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Macys by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Macys to competition
FundamentalsMacysPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0256-0.31
Return On Asset0.0513-0.14
Profit Margin0 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation10.76 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding274.2 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.62 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions89.51 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted18.08 M4.71 M
Price To Earning4.95 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.40 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.24 X11.42 X
Revenue23.87 B9.43 B
Gross Profit10 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.25 B3.9 B
Net Income105 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents862 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.20 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.98 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.77 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.09 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.09 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.3 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.28 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.38 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.91 X4.89 X
Target Price19.33
Beta2.16-0.15
Market Capitalization5.81 B19.03 B
Total Asset16.25 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings6.27 B9.33 B
Working Capital992 M1.48 B
Current Asset8.35 B9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Marna Whittington of 4474 shares of Macys subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Macys Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Macys . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Macys Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Macys Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Macys Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total6.8B6.4B6.0B7.0B
Total Assets17.6B16.9B16.2B20.1B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Macys in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Utilities - Regulated Electric Thematic Idea Now

Utilities - Regulated Electric
Utilities - Regulated Electric Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Utilities - Regulated Electric theme has 6 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Utilities - Regulated Electric Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Macys Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Macys' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Macys' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Macys Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Macys Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Macys Stock analysis

When running Macys' price analysis, check to measure Macys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Macys is operating at the current time. Most of Macys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Macys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Macys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Macys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Macys' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Macys. If investors know Macys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Macys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.61)
Dividend Share
0.662
Earnings Share
0.38
Revenue Per Share
87.039
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of Macys Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Macys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Macys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Macys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Macys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Macys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Macys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Macys is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Macys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.