Middlefield Banc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MBCN Stock  USD 22.75  0.40  1.79%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Middlefield Banc is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Middlefield Banc buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MBCN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Middlefield Banc's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Middlefield Banc's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
20.34
Target Price
29
Hype Value
22.75
Market Value
22.75
Naive Value
22.54
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Middlefield Banc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Middlefield Banc. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Middlefield Banc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Middlefield Banc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Middlefield Stock, please use our How to Invest in Middlefield Banc guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Middlefield and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Middlefield Banc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.

Execute Middlefield Banc Buy or Sell Advice

The Middlefield recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Middlefield Banc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Middlefield Banc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Middlefield Banc's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Middlefield BancBuy Middlefield Banc
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves totally opposite to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Middlefield Banc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08), Jensen Alpha of (0.60), Total Risk Alpha of (0.76) and Treynor Ratio of (0.17)
Our advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Middlefield Banc. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Middlefield Banc is not overpriced, please verify all Middlefield Banc fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, ebitda, short ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to book and total debt . Given that Middlefield Banc has a number of shares shorted of 151.79 K, we recommend you to check Middlefield Banc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Middlefield Banc Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Middlefield Banc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 15th of March 2024 Middlefield Banc paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Report - News Stock Traders Daily

Middlefield Banc Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Middlefield Banc's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Middlefield Banc's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Middlefield Banc daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Middlefield Banc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Middlefield Banc returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Middlefield Banc.
Mean Return
-0.39
Value At Risk
-3.66
Potential Upside
3.39
Standard Deviation
2.68
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Middlefield Banc historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Middlefield Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Middlefield Banc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Middlefield Banc backward and forwards among themselves. Middlefield Banc's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Middlefield Banc's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Fundamentun, Llc2024-03-31
39.4 K
Lineweaver Wealth Advisors, Llc2023-12-31
38.5 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
35.9 K
Huntington National Bank2023-12-31
33.8 K
Redmont Wealth Advisors Llc2023-12-31
28 K
Ubs Group Ag2023-12-31
21.9 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
21.4 K
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
19.6 K
Riggs Asset Management Co Inc2023-12-31
18.6 K
Castle Creek Capital Partners Vi Lp2023-12-31
560.5 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
484.2 K
Note, although Middlefield Banc's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Middlefield Banc Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(72.8M)77.3M7.1M(65.7M)(53.8M)(51.1M)
Free Cash Flow11.6M14.0M14.8M17.5M(1.1M)(1.0M)
Depreciation2.0M2.0M2.1M1.8M1.2M1.1M
Other Non Cash Items(2.6M)8.0M(6.1M)675K(18.5M)(17.6M)
Dividends Paid3.7M3.8M4.2M5.5M850.0807.5
Capital Expenditures1.9M1.1M605K884K1.1M1.0M
Net Income12.7M8.3M18.6M15.7M17.4M18.2M
End Period Cash Flow35.1M112.4M119.5M53.8M1.3K1.2K
Investments1.8M(135.3M)(57.4M)(27.5M)(69.8M)(66.3M)
Change Receivables(422K)(345K)162K(209K)(188.1K)(178.7K)
Net Borrowings(85.7M)(1.8M)(4.2M)64.8M74.5M78.2M
Change To Netincome1.1M6.8M(6.0M)(185K)(166.5K)(158.2K)

Middlefield Banc Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Middlefield Banc or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Middlefield Banc's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Middlefield stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.6
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.39
σ
Overall volatility
2.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Middlefield Banc Volatility Alert

Middlefield Banc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.77 and kurtosis of 2.8. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Middlefield Banc's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Middlefield Banc's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Middlefield Banc Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Middlefield Banc's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Middlefield Banc's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Middlefield Banc and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Middlefield Banc or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Middlefield Banc's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Middlefield Banc by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Middlefield Banc to competition
FundamentalsMiddlefield BancPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0861-0.31
Return On Asset0.0099-0.14
Profit Margin0.25 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.30 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation294.94 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding8.07 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.13 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions32.27 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted151.79 K4.71 M
Price To Earning9.90 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.87 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.60 X11.42 X
Revenue90.3 M9.43 B
Gross Profit56.92 M27.38 B
EBITDA28.48 M3.9 B
Net Income17.37 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents128.58 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share22.29 X5.01 X
Total Debt175.43 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity10.80 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share25.41 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.14 K971.22 M
Short Ratio18.15 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.14 X3.12 X
Target Price28.67
Number Of Employees25618.84 K
Beta0.64-0.15
Market Capitalization183.57 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.83 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings100.24 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.04 %
Five Year Return2.59 %
Net Asset1.83 B
Note: Acquisition by William Skidmore of 200 shares of Middlefield Banc at 27.56 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Middlefield Banc Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Middlefield . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Middlefield Banc Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Middlefield Banc? Buying financial instruments such as Middlefield Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total12.9M77.1M175.4M184.2M
Total Assets1.3B1.7B1.8B1.9B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Middlefield Banc in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Aluminum Theme
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aluminum Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Middlefield Banc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Middlefield Banc's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Middlefield Banc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Middlefield Banc Stock:
Check out Middlefield Banc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Middlefield Stock, please use our How to Invest in Middlefield Banc guide.
Note that the Middlefield Banc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Middlefield Banc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

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Is Middlefield Banc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Middlefield Banc. If investors know Middlefield will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Middlefield Banc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.17)
Dividend Share
0.8
Earnings Share
2.14
Revenue Per Share
8.502
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
The market value of Middlefield Banc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Middlefield that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Middlefield Banc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Middlefield Banc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Middlefield Banc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Middlefield Banc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Middlefield Banc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Middlefield Banc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Middlefield Banc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.