Mdu Resources Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MDU Stock | USD 24.69 0.19 0.78% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding MDU Resources Group is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides MDU Resources buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MDU positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of MDU Resources' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting MDU Resources' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 26.1 | Target Price 24.38 | Hype Value 24.75 | Market Value 24.69 | Naive Value 24.14 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell MDU Resources Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards MDU Resources. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for MDU Resources Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
MDU |
Execute MDU Resources Buy or Sell Advice
The MDU recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on MDU Resources Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in MDU Resources Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute MDU Resources' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
MDU Resources Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 1st of April 2024 MDU Resources paid $ 0.125 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Are Strong Financial Prospects The Force That Is Driving The Momentum In MDU Resources Group, Inc.s NYSEMDU Stock |
MDU Resources Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of MDU Resources' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of MDU Resources' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of MDU Resources daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use MDU Resources Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of MDU Resources returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for MDU Resources.
| Mean Return | 0.40 | Value At Risk | -1.49 | Potential Upside | 2.43 | Standard Deviation | 1.26 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of MDU Resources historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
MDU Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as MDU Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MDU Resources Group backward and forwards among themselves. MDU Resources' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase MDU Resources' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 2.6 M | Frontier Capital Management Co Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.1 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 2.1 M | American Century Companies Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.1 M | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 2 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.9 M | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 1.9 M | J. Goldman & Co Lp | 2023-12-31 | 1.8 M | 59 North Capital Management, Lp | 2023-09-30 | 1.8 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 20.8 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 19 M |
MDU Resources Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 9.3M | (7.2M) | (42.3M) | (46.6M) | (27.6M) | (26.2M) | |
| Change In Cash | 12.5M | (6.9M) | (5.4M) | 26.3M | (3.5M) | (3.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (33.8M) | 210.4M | (163.6M) | (146.6M) | (187.1M) | (177.8M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 195.7M | 296.0M | (54.5M) | (12.7M) | (383.6M) | (364.4M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 160.3M | 166.4M | 171.4M | 176.9M | 161.3M | 114.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 576.1M | 558.0M | 659.4M | 656.6M | 519.7M | 508.5M | |
| Net Income | 335.2M | 390.5M | 377.7M | 367.3M | 480.4M | 504.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 66.5M | 59.6M | 54.2M | 80.5M | 77.0M | 81.7M | |
| Investments | (2.0M) | (1.8M) | (885.9M) | (638.9M) | (589.2M) | (559.8M) | |
| Change Receivables | (104.4M) | 7.8M | (60.0M) | (363.3M) | (327.0M) | (310.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 130.5M | 18.3M | 478.1M | 344.5M | 396.2M | 416.0M | |
| Depreciation | 256.0M | 285.1M | 274.3M | 327.8M | 213.6M | 233.5M | |
| Change To Netincome | 63.9M | (3.2M) | (181.5M) | 31.4M | 28.3M | 26.9M |
MDU Resources Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MDU Resources or Multi-Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MDU Resources' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MDU stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.28 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.24 |
MDU Resources Volatility Alert
MDU Resources Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.02 and kurtosis of 0.05. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure MDU Resources' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact MDU Resources' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.MDU Resources Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing MDU Resources' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze MDU Resources' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between MDU Resources and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as MDU Resources or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of MDU Resources' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MDU Resources by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare MDU Resources to competition |
| Fundamentals | MDU Resources | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0309 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.13 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 7.34 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 203.89 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.63 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 72.88 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.77 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 16.15 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.70 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.06 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.66 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.15 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 639.6 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 480.4 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 80.52 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.32 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.39 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.93 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.35 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 14.26 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 332.6 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.78 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.36 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.18 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 25.17 | |
| Number Of Employees | 9.14 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.69 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 5 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 7.83 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.25 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 287.99 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by David Sparby of 1308 shares of MDU Resources subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
MDU Resources Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MDU . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About MDU Resources Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell MDU Resources Group? Buying financial instruments such as MDU Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 16.3M | 255.2M | 363.2M | 381.4M | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 2.9B | 3.2B | 2.4B | 1.6B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having MDU Resources in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Manufacturing Thematic Idea Now
Manufacturing
Companies that provide goods across residential, commercial and industrial construction such as machinery, tools, or lumber production. The Manufacturing theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Manufacturing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out MDU Resources Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the MDU Resources Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other MDU Resources' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Complementary Tools for MDU Stock analysis
When running MDU Resources' price analysis, check to measure MDU Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MDU Resources is operating at the current time. Most of MDU Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MDU Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MDU Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MDU Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is MDU Resources' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MDU Resources. If investors know MDU will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MDU Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.46 | Dividend Share 0.695 | Earnings Share 2.36 | Revenue Per Share 22.87 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) |
The market value of MDU Resources Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MDU that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MDU Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MDU Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MDU Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MDU Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MDU Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MDU Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MDU Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.