Morguard Real Estate Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MGRUF Stock  USD 3.93  0.00  0.00%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Morguard Real Estate is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Morguard Real buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MGRUF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Morguard Real's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Morguard Real's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
3.94
Hype Value
3.93
Market Value
3.93
Naive Value
3.91
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Morguard Real Estate given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Morguard Real. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Morguard Real Estate, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Morguard Real Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Morguard and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Morguard Real Estate. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Execute Morguard Real Buy or Sell Advice

The Morguard recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Morguard Real Estate. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Morguard Real Estate or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Morguard Real's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Morguard RealBuy Morguard Real
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Morguard Real Estate has a Mean Deviation of 0.0834, Standard Deviation of 0.2903 and Variance of 0.0843
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Morguard Real Estate. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Morguard Real Estate is not overpriced, please verify all Morguard Real Estate fundamentals, including its total debt, and the relationship between the gross profit and earnings per share . Given that Morguard Real Estate has a shares owned by institutions of 1.64 %, we recommend you to check Morguard Real market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Morguard Real Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Morguard Real Estate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has accumulated 1.07 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.11, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Morguard Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.06, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Morguard Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Morguard Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Morguard Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Morguard to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Morguard Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 66.0% of Morguard Real outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Morguard Real Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Morguard Real's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Morguard Real's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Morguard Real daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Morguard Real Estate price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Morguard Real returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Morguard Real.
Mean Return
-0.0073
Value At Risk
0.00
Potential Upside
0.50
Standard Deviation
0.29
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Morguard Real historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Morguard Real Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Morguard Real or Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Morguard Real's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Morguard pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.02
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.33

Morguard Real Volatility Alert

Morguard Real Estate exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.61 and kurtosis of 23.32. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Morguard Real's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Morguard Real's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Morguard Real Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Morguard Real's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Morguard Real's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Morguard Real and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Morguard Real or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Morguard Real's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Morguard Real by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Morguard Real to competition
FundamentalsMorguard RealPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0074-0.31
Return On Asset0.0297-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.48 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.18 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding64.23 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders65.50 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions1.64 %39.21 %
Price To Earning6.01 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.28 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.00 X11.42 X
Revenue241.44 M9.43 B
Gross Profit124.21 M27.38 B
EBITDA56.3 M3.9 B
Net Income4.88 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents10.87 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.17 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.07 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.11 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.06 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share17.91 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations80.19 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.10 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees1918.84 K
Beta1.46-0.15
Market Capitalization267.31 M19.03 B
Total Asset2.49 B29.47 B
Annual Yield0.04 %
Five Year Return8.51 %
Net Asset2.49 B
Last Dividend Paid0.24

Morguard Real Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Morguard . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Morguard Real Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Morguard Real Estate? Buying financial instruments such as Morguard Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Morguard Real in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Macroaxis Index Theme
An experimental equal-weighted index theme of selected equities generated based on Macroaxis rating and scoring system. The Macroaxis Index theme has 52 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Macroaxis Index Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Morguard Real Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Morguard Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Morguard Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Morguard Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.