Ag Mortgage Investment Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MITT Stock | USD 5.68 0.11 1.97% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding AG Mortgage Investment is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides AG Mortgage buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MITT positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of AG Mortgage's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting AG Mortgage's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 6.51 | Target Price 7.25 | Hype Value 5.67 | Market Value 5.68 | Naive Value 5.52 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell AG Mortgage Investment given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards AG Mortgage. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for AG Mortgage Investment, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
MITT |
Execute AG Mortgage Buy or Sell Advice
The MITT recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AG Mortgage Investment. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AG Mortgage Investment or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AG Mortgage's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
AG Mortgage Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| AG Mortgage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AG Mortgage has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AG Mortgage Investment Trust Stock Passes Above 200 Day Moving Average of 5.80 - Defense World |
AG Mortgage Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of AG Mortgage's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AG Mortgage's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AG Mortgage daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AG Mortgage Investment price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AG Mortgage returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AG Mortgage.
| Mean Return | -0.08 | Value At Risk | -2.39 | Potential Upside | 3.18 | Standard Deviation | 1.85 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AG Mortgage historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
MITT Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as AG Mortgage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AG Mortgage Investment backward and forwards among themselves. AG Mortgage's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase AG Mortgage's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 147.6 K | Wolverine Asset Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 132.4 K | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 123.5 K | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 117.5 K | Jane Street Group, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 109.6 K | Gsa Capital Partners Llp | 2023-12-31 | 97.5 K | Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership | 2023-12-31 | 95.3 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 85.9 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 82.9 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.5 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 630.9 K |
AG Mortgage Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 41.0M | (63.1M) | 37.9M | (1.4M) | 26.8M | 25.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 65.2M | 4.2M | 26.3M | 22.5M | 49.0M | 49.5M | |
| Depreciation | (4.7M) | (5.2M) | 6.1M | 5.5M | 8.9M | 8.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (31.0M) | 429.9M | (72.6M) | 68.7M | (7.0M) | (6.6M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 77.6M | 35.3M | 29.6M | 37.8M | 35.8M | 45.0M | |
| Net Income | 97.3M | (421.6M) | 104.2M | (53.1M) | 53.8M | 56.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 125.4M | 62.3M | 100.2M | 98.8M | 125.6M | 88.6M | |
| Investments | 368.8M | 527.7M | 462.9M | (1.5B) | (470.3M) | (446.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 47.6B | 14.8B | 20.3B | 1.5B | 1.4B | 1.3B | |
| Change To Netincome | (31.7M) | 8.7M | 306K | 74.5M | 85.7M | 90.0M |
AG Mortgage Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AG Mortgage or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AG Mortgage's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MITT stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
AG Mortgage Volatility Alert
AG Mortgage Investment exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.48 and kurtosis of 2.3. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AG Mortgage's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AG Mortgage's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.AG Mortgage Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing AG Mortgage's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AG Mortgage's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AG Mortgage and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AG Mortgage or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AG Mortgage's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AG Mortgage by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare AG Mortgage to competition |
| Fundamentals | AG Mortgage | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0102 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.84 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.75 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.84 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 29.45 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 6.44 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 28.51 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 105.1 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 3.12 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.54 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.61 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 274.71 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (9.07 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 248.56 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 53.78 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 92.54 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.11 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 5.56 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 7.06 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.00 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 10.46 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 49.01 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.45 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.68 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (6.53) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 7.25 | |
| Beta | 2.0 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 167.29 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 6.13 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (516.11 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (1.94 B) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 132.33 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Dianne Hurley of 3311 shares of AG Mortgage subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
AG Mortgage Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MITT . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About AG Mortgage Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell AG Mortgage Investment? Buying financial instruments such as MITT Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 2.8B | 3.9B | 5.6B | 5.8B | Total Assets | 3.4B | 4.4B | 6.1B | 3.9B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having AG Mortgage in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Recreation Thematic Idea Now
Recreation
Companies involved in production and services of recreational goods, foods, and accessories. The Recreation theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Recreation Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out AG Mortgage Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Complementary Tools for MITT Stock analysis
When running AG Mortgage's price analysis, check to measure AG Mortgage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AG Mortgage is operating at the current time. Most of AG Mortgage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AG Mortgage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AG Mortgage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AG Mortgage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AG Mortgage's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AG Mortgage. If investors know MITT will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AG Mortgage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.13 | Dividend Share 0.72 | Earnings Share 1.68 | Revenue Per Share 3.018 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.24) |
The market value of AG Mortgage Investment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MITT that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AG Mortgage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AG Mortgage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AG Mortgage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AG Mortgage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AG Mortgage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AG Mortgage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AG Mortgage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.