Mach Natural Resources Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MNR Stock | USD 20.27 0.49 2.36% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Mach Natural Resources is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Mach Natural buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MNR positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Mach Natural's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Mach Natural's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 18.41 | Hype Value 20.31 | Market Value 20.27 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Mach Natural Resources given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Mach Natural. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Mach Natural Resources, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Mach |
Execute Mach Natural Buy or Sell Advice
The Mach recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mach Natural Resources. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mach Natural Resources or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mach Natural's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Mach Natural Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| On 14th of March 2024 Mach Natural paid $ 0.95 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Mach Natural Resources Executive VP Announces Amicable Departure - TipRanks.com - TipRanks |
Mach Natural Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Mach Natural's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mach Natural's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mach Natural daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mach Natural Resources price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mach Natural returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mach Natural.
| Mean Return | 0.39 | Value At Risk | -2.22 | Potential Upside | 3.13 | Standard Deviation | 1.67 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mach Natural historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Mach Natural Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 10.9M | 3.3M | (865K) | (29.9M) | 123.4M | 129.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 95.8M | 99.2M | 157.5M | 310.5M | (577.9M) | (549.0M) | |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 9.3M | 20.2M | 60.1M | 59.3M | 29.4M | 30.9M | |
| Other Cashflows From Financing Activities | 154.6M | 231.2M | 70.8M | (372.7M) | (101.4M) | (96.3M) | |
| Depreciation | 47.1M | 51.3M | 56.4M | 124.8M | 137.6M | 144.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 22.8M | 74.2M | 55.9M | 48.6M | 507.0M | 532.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 65.3M | 84.7M | 72.9M | 274.8M | 316.1M | 331.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 5.8M | 330K | 41.0M | 243.0M | 1.1B | 1.1B | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 101.6M | 98.8M | 198.5M | 553.5M | 491.7M | 516.3M | |
| Net Income | 29.8M | (22.1M) | 138.4M | 516.8M | 68.5M | 35.1M | |
| Total Cash From Financing Activities | 123.7M | 85.2M | (4.6M) | (210.7M) | 638.8M | 670.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 20.2M | 23.5M | 59.3M | 29.4M | 152.8M | 160.4M | |
| Change In Working Capital | 1.1M | (4.9M) | (41.1M) | (19.5M) | 53.8M | 56.5M | |
| Stock Based Compensation | 784K | 452K | 45.3M | 7.5M | 3.4M | 4.5M |
Mach Natural Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mach Natural or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mach Natural's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mach stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.19 |
Mach Natural Volatility Alert
Mach Natural Resources has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.51 and kurtosis of 1.42. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mach Natural's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mach Natural's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Mach Natural Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Mach Natural's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mach Natural's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mach Natural and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mach Natural or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mach Natural's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mach Natural by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Mach Natural to competition |
| Fundamentals | Mach Natural | Peer Average |
| Price To Earning | 46.62 X | 28.72 X |
| Revenue | 705.04 M | 9.43 B |
| EBITDA | 439.49 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 68.52 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 48.62 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.49 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 824.49 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.99 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 7.45 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.54 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 491.74 M | 971.22 M |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 8.81 X | 4.89 X |
| Number Of Employees | 442 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.73 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.73 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.3 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 794.52 K | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 68.69 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 108.94 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 57.49 M | 7.9 B |
| Five Year Return | 4.38 % | |
| Net Asset | 2.3 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.72 |
Note: Insider Trading [view details]
Mach Natural Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mach . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Mach Natural Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Mach Natural Resources? Buying financial instruments such as Mach Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 85.8M | 99.7M | 824.5M | 421.4M | Total Assets | 525.4M | 887.4M | 2.3B | 2.4B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Mach Natural in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Transportation Thematic Idea Now
Transportation
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Transportation theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Transportation Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Mach Natural Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
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When running Mach Natural's price analysis, check to measure Mach Natural's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mach Natural is operating at the current time. Most of Mach Natural's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mach Natural's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mach Natural's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mach Natural to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mach Natural's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mach Natural. If investors know Mach will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mach Natural listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Mach Natural Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mach that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mach Natural's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mach Natural's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mach Natural's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mach Natural's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mach Natural's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mach Natural is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mach Natural's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.