Altria Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Altria Group Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Altria positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Altria Group Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Altria buy-and-hold prospective. Please see also Altria Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Investment Horizon

  

Risk Tolerance

  
Symbol
Execute Advice
Altria Group Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 64.37  0.44  0.68%

Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Altria Group Inc is 'Cautious Hold'.
For the selected time horizon Altria Group Inc has a mean deviation of 0.8485, semi deviation of 0.6535, standard deviation of 1.07, variance of 1.15, downside variance of 0.8297 and semi variance of 0.4271
Macroaxis provides unbiased buy, hold, or sell recommendation on Altria Group Inc that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Altria Group Inc. Our buy or sell advice engine determines the organization potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Altria is not overpriced, please confirm all Altria Group Inc fundamentals including its Gross Profit, Short Ratio, Current Liabilities, as well as the relationship between Total Debt and Market Capitalization . Given that Altria Group Inc has Price to Earning of 8.58 times, we suggest you validate Altria Group Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.23Value At Risk-1.1996
Potential Upside2.0803Standard Deviation1.072
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Altria Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
= 0.27 
βBeta against DOW=(0.36) 
σ
Overall volatility
= 1.05 
 IrInformation ratio = 0.0932 

Altria Volatility Alert

Altria Group Inc has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of -0.62, Maximum Drawdown of 4.05 and kurtosis of -0.21. However, we advice all investors to further analyze Altria Group Inc to make certain all market information is desiminated and is consistent with the current expectations about Altria upside potential.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Altria to competition
FundamentalsAltriaPeer Average
Return On Equity188.85 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset15.99 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin75.37 % (5.5) %
Operating Margin49.03 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation133.91 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding1.92 B1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders0.1 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions62.73 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted9.02 M3.24 M
Price to Earning8.58 times40.69 times
Price to Book10.1 times14.44 times
Price to Sales6.37 times17.81 times
Revenue19.58 B9.85 B
Gross Profit11.59 B21.75 B
EBITDA9.81 B1.41 B
Net Income14.73 B517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents2.26 B3.89 B
Cash per Share1.17 times5.17 times
Total Debt13.89 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity111.4 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio0.83 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share6.44 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations4.65 B1.25 B
Short Ratio1.46 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share7.58 times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth2.47 times1.22 times
Number of Employees8.8 K10.67 K
Beta0.440.34
Market Capitalization124.8 B29.78 B
Total Asset32.46 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings27.26 B38.24 B
Working Capital(992 M)3.58 B
Current Asset6.09 B36.8 B
SellBuy
Cautious Hold

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Altria exotic insider transaction detected [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.0578
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.61)
Mean Deviation0.8485
Semi Deviation0.6535
Downside Deviation0.9109
Coefficient Of Variation458.52
Standard Deviation1.07
Variance1.15
Information Ratio0.0932
Jensen Alpha0.2682
Total Risk Alpha(0.36)
Sortino Ratio0.1096
Treynor Ratio(0.62)
Maximum Drawdown4.05
Value At Risk(1.2)
Potential Upside2.08
Downside Variance0.8297
Semi Variance0.4271
Expected Short fall(1.08)
Skewness0.1577
Kurtosis(0.21)

Current Valuation

Altria Current Valuation Analysis
Altria Group Inc is rated below average in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Tobacco industry is now estimated at about 516.68 Billion. Altria totals roughly 133.91 Billion in current valuation claiming about 26% of equities listed under Tobacco industry.