Mesa Royalty Trust Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MTR Stock | USD 11.19 0.09 0.80% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Mesa Royalty Trust is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Mesa Royalty buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MTR positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Mesa Royalty's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Mesa Royalty's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 9 | Hype Value 11.18 | Market Value 11.19 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Mesa Royalty Trust given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Mesa Royalty. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Mesa Royalty Trust, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Mesa |
Execute Mesa Royalty Buy or Sell Advice
The Mesa recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mesa Royalty Trust. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mesa Royalty Trust or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mesa Royalty's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Mesa Royalty Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Mesa Royalty Trust has about 1.27 M in cash with (78.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.5. | |
| Latest headline from scmp.com: MTR fare adjustment formula should include broader profits Hong Kong lawmakers |
Mesa Royalty Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Mesa Royalty's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mesa Royalty's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mesa Royalty daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mesa Royalty Trust price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mesa Royalty returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mesa Royalty.
| Mean Return | -0.0094 | Value At Risk | -5.05 | Potential Upside | 3.76 | Standard Deviation | 2.74 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mesa Royalty historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Mesa Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Mesa Royalty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mesa Royalty Trust backward and forwards among themselves. Mesa Royalty's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Mesa Royalty's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Creekmur Asset Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 100.0 | Main Street Group Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 100.0 | U.s. Bancorp | 2023-12-31 | 100.0 | Creative Planning Inc | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 | Acadian Asset Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 | Tower Research Capital Llc | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 | Newsquare Capital, Llc | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 | Fayez Sarofim & Company | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-12-31 | 104.7 K | Significant Wealth Partners Llc | 2023-12-31 | 42.1 K |
Mesa Royalty Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (207.5K) | 99.3K | 83.6K | (78.6M) | (70.8M) | (67.2M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.6M | 565.8K | 83.6K | (78.6M) | (70.8M) | (67.2M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (99.3K) | 982.9K | (715.0K) | (82.4M) | 78.6M | 82.6M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 1.6M | 565.8K | 83.6K | (78.6M) | (70.8M) | (67.2M) | |
| Net Income | 1.6M | 565.8K | 756.8K | 3.7M | 2.9M | 4.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 1.4M | 1.1M | 1.2M | 2.4B | 2.8B | 2.9B | |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.6M | 977.2K | 1.1M | 2.5B | 2.9B | 3.0B | |
| Dividends Paid | 2.2M | 1.7M | 544.7K | 787.0K | 708.3K | 672.9K | |
| Total Cash From Financing Activities | (2.4M) | (1.8M) | (638.3K) | (828.9K) | (953.2K) | (1.0M) | |
| Other Cashflows From Financing Activities | (224.6K) | (146.3K) | (93.6K) | (41.8K) | (48.1K) | (50.5K) | |
| Change In Working Capital | (81.3K) | (61.2K) | 99.3K | (1.1M) | (968.8K) | (920.4K) |
Mesa Royalty Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mesa Royalty or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mesa Royalty's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mesa stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Mesa Royalty Volatility Alert
Mesa Royalty Trust exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.49 and kurtosis of 2.78. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mesa Royalty's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mesa Royalty's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Mesa Royalty Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Mesa Royalty's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mesa Royalty's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mesa Royalty and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mesa Royalty or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mesa Royalty's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mesa Royalty by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Mesa Royalty to competition |
| Fundamentals | Mesa Royalty | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 1.0 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.56 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.84 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.89 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 21.3 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.86 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 12.70 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 8.01 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 54.42 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 6.96 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 6.24 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.38 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 4.14 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.92 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 2.86 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.27 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.50 X | 5.01 X |
| Current Ratio | 2.21 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.63 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (78.62 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.91 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.53 X | 3.12 X |
| Beta | 0.73 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 21.02 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.41 M | 29.47 B |
| Working Capital | 1.73 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 1.15 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 146 K | 7.9 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.10 % | |
| Five Year Return | 9.39 % | |
| Net Asset | 3.41 M | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 1.49 |
Note: Disposition of 1400 shares by Alpine Capital Lp of Mesa Royalty at 69.1 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Mesa Royalty Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mesa . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 634.57 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.15) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.31 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.27 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.17) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.09) |
About Mesa Royalty Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Mesa Royalty Trust? Buying financial instruments such as Mesa Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Stockholder Equity | 2.5M | 2.7M | 3.0M | 2.9M | Total Assets | 2.7M | 3.7M | 3.4M | 3.2M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Mesa Royalty in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Compulsion
Companies involved in research, development, and manufacturing of products with compulsion characteristics such as cigarettes, addictive drugs and alcohol. The Compulsion theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Compulsion Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Mesa Royalty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Complementary Tools for Mesa Stock analysis
When running Mesa Royalty's price analysis, check to measure Mesa Royalty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mesa Royalty is operating at the current time. Most of Mesa Royalty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mesa Royalty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mesa Royalty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mesa Royalty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mesa Royalty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mesa Royalty. If investors know Mesa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mesa Royalty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.77) | Dividend Share 1.488 | Earnings Share 1.53 | Revenue Per Share 1.821 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.71) |
The market value of Mesa Royalty Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mesa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mesa Royalty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mesa Royalty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mesa Royalty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mesa Royalty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mesa Royalty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mesa Royalty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mesa Royalty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.