American Funds Retirement Fund Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NAARX Fund  USD 11.44  0.06  0.53%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding American Funds Retirement is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides American Funds buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NAARX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of American Funds' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting American Funds' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
11.4
Hype Value
11.44
Market Value
11.44
Naive Value
11.4
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell American Funds Retirement given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards American Funds. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for American Funds Retirement, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out American Funds Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual funds such as American and provide practical buy, sell, or hold recommendation based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards American Funds Retirement. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute American Funds Buy or Sell Advice

The American recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Funds Retirement. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Funds Retirement or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Funds' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell American FundsBuy American Funds
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails
For the selected time horizon American Funds Retirement has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0576, Jensen Alpha of (0.03), Total Risk Alpha of (0.05), Sortino Ratio of (0.23) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0619
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on American Funds Retirement and to analyze the fund potential to grow in the current economic cycle. Use American Funds Retirement number of employees and five year return to ensure your buy or sell decision on American Funds Retirement is adequate.

American Funds Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The fund maintains about 5.18% of its assets in cash

American Funds Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of American Funds' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Funds' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Funds daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Funds Retirement price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Funds returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for American Funds.
Mean Return
0.04
Value At Risk
-0.62
Potential Upside
0.53
Standard Deviation
0.34
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Funds historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

American Funds Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Funds or American Funds sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Funds' price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.48
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

American Funds Volatility Alert

American Funds Retirement exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.63 and kurtosis of 0.72. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Funds' mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Funds' mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

American Funds Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing American Funds' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Funds' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Funds and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Funds or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Funds' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Funds by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare American Funds to competition
FundamentalsAmerican FundsPeer Average
Price To Earning18.83 X6.53 X
Price To Book2.66 X0.74 X
Price To Sales1.96 X0.61 X
Annual Yield0.03 %0.29 %
Year To Date Return1.78 %0.39 %
One Year Return7.80 %4.15 %
Three Year Return1.57 %3.60 %
Five Year Return4.37 %3.24 %
Net Asset1.27 B4.11 B
Last Dividend Paid0.050.65
Cash Position Weight5.18 %10.61 %
Equity Positions Weight36.58 %63.90 %
Bond Positions Weight5.42 %11.24 %

American Funds Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About American Funds Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell American Funds Retirement? Buying financial instruments such as American Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having American Funds in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Long Short Funds Thematic Idea Now

Long Short Funds
Long Short Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that are designed to hedge away market risk by investing in combination of bonds, stocks, derivative instruments as well as short positions to maximize returns irrespective of market conditions. The Long Short Funds theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Long Short Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
Check out American Funds Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

Complementary Tools for American Mutual Fund analysis

When running American Funds' price analysis, check to measure American Funds' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Funds is operating at the current time. Most of American Funds' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Funds' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Funds' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Funds to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Funds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Funds is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Funds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.