One Gas Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

OGS Stock  USD 61.45  0.39  0.64%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding One Gas is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides One Gas buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding One Gas positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of One Gas' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting One Gas' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
68.77
Target Price
76.17
Hype Value
61.46
Market Value
61.45
Naive Value
60.61
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell One Gas given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards One Gas. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for One Gas, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out One Gas Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy One Stock please use our How to Invest in One Gas guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as One and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards One Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute One Gas Buy or Sell Advice

The One recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on One Gas. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in One Gas or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute One Gas' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell One GasBuy One Gas
Strong Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon One Gas has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0243, Jensen Alpha of (0.03), Total Risk Alpha of (0.07), Sortino Ratio of (0.01) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0245
Macroaxis provides unbiased recommendation on One Gas that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on One Gas. Our trade recommendations engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure One Gas is not overpriced, please check all One Gas fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, total debt, beta, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that One Gas has a price to earning of 23.53 X, we recommend you to check out One Gas market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

One Gas Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company has 3.07 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.7, which is OK given its current industry classification. One Gas has a current ratio of 0.9, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist One Gas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, One Gas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like One Gas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for One to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about One Gas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 95.0% of One Gas shares are owned by institutional investors
On 8th of March 2024 One Gas paid $ 0.66 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres Why You Should Add ONE Gas to Your Portfolio Now

One Gas Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of One Gas' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of One Gas' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of One Gas daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use One Gas price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of One Gas returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for One Gas.
Mean Return
0.04
Value At Risk
-2.18
Potential Upside
2.55
Standard Deviation
1.47
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of One Gas historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

One Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as One Gas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading One Gas backward and forwards among themselves. One Gas' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase One Gas' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Btim Corp2023-12-31
M
Silvercrest Asset Management Group Llc2023-12-31
845.1 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-12-31
830.7 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
817.2 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
752.6 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
736.5 K
Energy Income Partners, Llc2023-12-31
692.3 K
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2023-12-31
686.1 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
658.7 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
6.4 M
Note, although One Gas' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

One Gas Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(8.4M)13.3M(87.8M)(105.5M)75.3M79.1M
Change In Cash(3.5M)(9.9M)859K9.3M21.3M22.3M
Free Cash Flow(107.0M)(106.8M)(2.0B)961.4M272.9M286.5M
Depreciation180.4M194.9M207.2M228.5M279.8M184.1M
Other Non Cash Items(38.8M)(25.4M)(39.9M)1.3B207.1M217.4M
Dividends Paid105.4M114.4M123.9M134.0M(144.1M)(136.9M)
Capital Expenditures417.3M471.3M495.2M609.5M666.6M419.1M
Net Income186.7M196.4M206.4M221.7M231.2M167.8M
End Period Cash Flow17.9M8.0M8.9M18.1M39.4M41.4M
Change To Netincome31.6M43.7M63.1M(5.3M)(6.1M)(5.8M)
Change Receivables26.4M(58.4M)(57.9M)(213.7M)(192.3M)(182.7M)
Net Borrowings217M197.3M2.2B(1.3B)(1.2B)(1.1B)
Investments(422.9M)(470.4M)(501.1M)(614.1M)(691.3M)(725.8M)

One Gas Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to One Gas or Gas Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that One Gas' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a One stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.36
σ
Overall volatility
1.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.0082

One Gas Volatility Alert

One Gas has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.85 and kurtosis of 1.98. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure One Gas' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact One Gas' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

One Gas Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing One Gas' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze One Gas' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between One Gas and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as One Gas or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of One Gas' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing One Gas by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare One Gas to competition
FundamentalsOne GasPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0864-0.31
Return On Asset0.03-0.14
Profit Margin0.1 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.17 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6.55 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding56.57 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.37 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions95.19 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.48 M4.71 M
Price To Earning23.53 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.27 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.48 X11.42 X
Revenue2.37 B9.43 B
Gross Profit646.65 M27.38 B
EBITDA657.42 M3.9 B
Net Income231.23 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents18.13 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.14 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.07 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.70 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.92 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share48.91 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations939.53 M971.22 M
Short Ratio8.78 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.14 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth4.19 X4.89 X
Target Price62.36
Number Of Employees3.9 K18.84 K
Beta0.65-0.15
Market Capitalization3.45 B19.03 B
Total Asset7.98 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings737.74 M9.33 B
Working Capital(712.02 M)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by John Gibson of 1632 shares of One Gas subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

One Gas Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as One . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About One Gas Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell One Gas? Buying financial instruments such as One Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total4.2B2.9B3.1B2.1B
Total Assets8.4B7.8B8.0B6.0B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having One Gas in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Trading Thematic Idea Now

Trading
Trading Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Trading theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Trading Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether One Gas is a strong investment it is important to analyze One Gas' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact One Gas' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding One Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out One Gas Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy One Stock please use our How to Invest in One Gas guide.
Note that the One Gas information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other One Gas' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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When running One Gas' price analysis, check to measure One Gas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy One Gas is operating at the current time. Most of One Gas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of One Gas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move One Gas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of One Gas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is One Gas' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of One Gas. If investors know One will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about One Gas listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.034
Dividend Share
2.6
Earnings Share
4.14
Revenue Per Share
42.662
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.26)
The market value of One Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of One that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of One Gas' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is One Gas' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because One Gas' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect One Gas' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between One Gas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if One Gas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, One Gas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.