Pure Cycle Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| PCYO Stock | USD 9.53 0.24 2.58% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Pure Cycle is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Pure Cycle buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PCYO positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Pure Cycle's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Pure Cycle's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 8.06 | Target Price 6.55 | Hype Value 9.25 | Market Value 9.53 | Naive Value 9.06 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Pure Cycle given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Pure Cycle. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Pure Cycle, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Pure |
Execute Pure Cycle Buy or Sell Advice
The Pure recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Pure Cycle. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Pure Cycle or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Pure Cycle's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Pure Cycle Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Pure Cycle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pure Cycle currently holds about 34.89 M in cash with (2.34 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.46. | |
| Pure Cycle has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Pure Cycle Corporation Q2 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Pure Cycle Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Pure Cycle's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Pure Cycle's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Pure Cycle daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Pure Cycle price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Pure Cycle returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Pure Cycle.
| Mean Return | -0.1 | Value At Risk | -2.97 | Potential Upside | 3.09 | Standard Deviation | 1.77 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Pure Cycle historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Pure Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Pure Cycle is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pure Cycle backward and forwards among themselves. Pure Cycle's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Pure Cycle's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 383 K | Bard Associates Inc | 2023-12-31 | 370.5 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 278.4 K | Rmb Capital Management, Llc | 2023-09-30 | 229.9 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 180.6 K | Blair William & Co | 2023-12-31 | 180.5 K | Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc | 2023-12-31 | 154.4 K | Tealwood Asset Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 119.5 K | Cannell Peter B & Co Inc | 2023-12-31 | 114 K | Magnolia Group, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.8 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.3 M |
Pure Cycle Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 17.3M | 647K | 14.8M | (8.7M) | (10.0M) | (9.5M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 12.1M | 560K | 11.6M | (10.2M) | (9.1M) | (8.7M) | |
| Depreciation | 3.1M | 1.8M | 2.1M | (2.6M) | (3.0M) | (2.8M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 4.2M | (47K) | (13.5M) | (1.2M) | (1.1M) | (1.0M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 8.6M | 2.9M | 5.8M | 7.8M | 9.0M | 9.4M | |
| Net Income | 6.8M | 20.1M | 9.6M | 4.7M | 5.4M | 5.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 21.8M | 22.4M | 37.2M | 28.5M | 32.8M | 34.4M | |
| Change To Inventory | 6.5M | (522K) | 608K | (4.5M) | (5.1M) | (5.4M) | |
| Investments | 5.2M | (2.9M) | (6.7M) | (9.2M) | (10.6M) | (10.1M) | |
| Change Receivables | (35.5K) | (68.8K) | (414K) | (893K) | (1.0M) | (975.6K) | |
| Change To Netincome | (978.5K) | 4.1M | 1.2M | 223K | 256.5K | 243.6K |
Pure Cycle Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Pure Cycle or Water Utilities sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Pure Cycle's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Pure stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Pure Cycle Volatility Alert
Pure Cycle exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.26 and kurtosis of 0.65. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Pure Cycle's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Pure Cycle's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Pure Cycle Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Pure Cycle's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Pure Cycle's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Pure Cycle and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Pure Cycle or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Pure Cycle's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pure Cycle by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Pure Cycle to competition |
| Fundamentals | Pure Cycle | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0558 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0249 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.35 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.12) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 210.29 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 24.09 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.73 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 67.45 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 237.69 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 26.55 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.93 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 12.36 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 14.59 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 18.11 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 4.23 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 4.7 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 34.89 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.46 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 7.28 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.04 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.49 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.00 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (2.34 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.69 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.27 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 6.55 | |
| Number Of Employees | 38 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.97 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 223.78 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 133.22 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (56.53 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 23.22 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 29.09 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 2073 shares by Harrison Augur of Pure Cycle at 9.88 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Pure Cycle Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Pure . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1208.38 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8276 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.41 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9.45 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.23 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.24 |
About Pure Cycle Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Pure Cycle? Buying financial instruments such as Pure Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 4.1M | 7.3M | 8.4M | 6.4M | Total Assets | 129.2M | 133.2M | 153.2M | 78.6M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Pure Cycle in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run ISP Thematic Idea Now
ISP
Internet Service Providers (ISP) companies and IT providers specializing in internet technologies. The ISP theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize ISP Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Pure Cycle Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Pure Stock, please use our How to Invest in Pure Cycle guide.You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
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When running Pure Cycle's price analysis, check to measure Pure Cycle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pure Cycle is operating at the current time. Most of Pure Cycle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pure Cycle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pure Cycle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pure Cycle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Pure Cycle's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pure Cycle. If investors know Pure will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pure Cycle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | Earnings Share 0.27 | Revenue Per Share 0.782 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.066 | Return On Assets 0.0249 |
The market value of Pure Cycle is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pure that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pure Cycle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pure Cycle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pure Cycle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pure Cycle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pure Cycle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pure Cycle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pure Cycle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.