Serco Group Plc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SCGPY Stock | USD 2.27 0.03 1.34% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Serco Group PLC is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Serco Group buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SCGPY positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Serco Group's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Serco Group's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 1.9 | Hype Value 2.27 | Market Value 2.27 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Serco Group PLC given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Serco Group. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Serco Group PLC, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Serco |
Execute Serco Group Buy or Sell Advice
The Serco recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Serco Group PLC. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Serco Group PLC or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Serco Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Serco Group Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Serco Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Serco Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Serco Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Serco Group PLC price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Serco Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Serco Group.
| Mean Return | 0.15 | Value At Risk | -4.22 | Potential Upside | 5.21 | Standard Deviation | 2.75 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Serco Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Serco Group Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Serco Group or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Serco Group's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Serco pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Serco Group Volatility Alert
Serco Group PLC shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Serco Group's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Serco Group's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Serco Group Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Serco Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Serco Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Serco Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Serco Group or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Serco Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Serco Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Serco Group to competition |
| Fundamentals | Serco Group | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.16 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0481 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.98 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.16 B | 571.82 M |
| Price To Earning | 11.22 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.48 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.51 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.42 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 468 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 371.5 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 303.9 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 178.9 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.15 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 312.1 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.73 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.01 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.88 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 349.9 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.16 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 57 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.37 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.24 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.73 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 5.2 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |
| Net Asset | 2.73 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.025 |
Serco Group Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Serco . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.27 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.27 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.015 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.03 |
About Serco Group Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Serco Group PLC? Buying financial instruments such as Serco Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Serco Group in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Investing Thematic Idea Now
Investing
Companies involved in money management and investment banking services. The Investing theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Investing Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Serco Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for Serco Pink Sheet analysis
When running Serco Group's price analysis, check to measure Serco Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Serco Group is operating at the current time. Most of Serco Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Serco Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Serco Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Serco Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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