Origin Agritech Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SEED -- USA Stock  

Earnings Call  In Three Weeks

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Origin Agritech Limited is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Origin Agritech buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SEED positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Origin Agritech available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from SEED buy-and-hold prospective. Also please take a look at Origin Agritech Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell Origin AgritechBuy Origin Agritech
Sell

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Analyst Consensus

Not Available
For the selected time horizon Origin Agritech Limited has a mean deviation of 2.38, semi deviation of 0.0, standard deviation of 3.01, variance of 9.04, downside variance of 0.0 and semi variance of 0.0
We provide buy or sell recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Origin Agritech. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises multi - dimensional algorithm to analyze the firm potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Origin Agritech is not overpriced, please check all Origin Agritech fundamentals including its Cash and Equivalents, Cash Flow from Operations and the relationship between Gross Profit and Debt to Equity . Given that Origin Agritech has Price to Book of 0.88 , we recommend you check out Origin Agritech market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Origin Agritech Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Origin Agritech generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Origin Agritech has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Origin Agritech has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company currently holds 13.87 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 180.2 indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Origin Agritech has Current Ratio of 0.33 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when they are due.
The entity reported previous year revenue of 52.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.88 M.
ORIGIN AGRITECH L currently holds about 579.42 K in cash with (18.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2.
Roughly 26.0% of Origin Agritech outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from www.surveydone.info: Analysis of Stocks Origin Agritech Ltd. - Stock Trends on Market

Origin Agritech current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price5.00
Target Mean Price5.00
Target High Price5.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions1
Target Low Price5.00

Origin Agritech Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.3Value At Risk4.84
Potential Upside3.97Standard Deviation3.01
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Origin Agritech Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.3
β
Beta against DOW=0.11
σ
Overall volatility
=3.02
Ir
Information ratio =0.12

Origin Agritech Volatility Alert

Origin Agritech Limited exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.45 and kurtosis of 0.41. However, we advise investors to further study Origin Agritech Limited technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Origin Agritech to competition

Origin Agritech Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsOrigin AgritechPeer Average
Return On Equity(164.10) (0.31) 
Return On Asset(2.78) (0.14) 
Profit Margin(138.88) (1.27) 
Current Valuation17.83 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.2 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders25.70 10.09 
Shares Owned by Institutions11.09 39.21 
Number of Shares Shorted84.16 K4.71 M
Price to Book0.88 9.51 
Price to Sales0.44 11.42 
Revenue52.29 M9.43 B
Gross Profit5.88 M27.38 B
EBITDA(3.64 M)3.9 B
Net Income(4.79 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents579.42 K2.7 B
Cash per Share0.20 5.01 
Total Debt13.87 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity180.20 48.70 
Current Ratio0.34 2.16 
Book Value Per Share5.76 1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(18.27 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio8.68 4.00 
Earnings Per Share(2.95) 3.12 
Number of Employees5918.84 K
Beta0.89-0.15
Market Capitalization16.06 M19.03 B
Total Asset880.63 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(182.39 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(136.4 M)1.48 B
Current Asset478.1 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities614.5 M7.9 B
Z Score0.68.72
   Exercise of in-the-money or at-the-money derivative position by Feinberg Jeff of 910100 shares of Origin Agritech [view details]

Origin Agritech Market Momentum

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