Origin Agritech Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SEED -- USA Stock  

USD 6.70  0.11  1.62%

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Origin Agritech Limited is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Origin Agritech buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SEED positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Origin Agritech available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from SEED buy-and-hold prospective. Also please take a look at Origin Agritech Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell Origin AgritechBuy Origin Agritech
Strong Buy

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Not Available
For the selected time horizon Origin Agritech Limited has a risk adjusted performance of 0.1092, jensen alpha of 0.2935, total risk alpha of 0.2231, sortino ratio of 0.1034 and treynor ratio of 0.3859
We provide buy or sell recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Origin Agritech. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises multi - dimensional algorithm to analyze the firm potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Origin Agritech is not overpriced, please check all Origin Agritech fundamentals including its Cash and Equivalents, Cash Flow from Operations and the relationship between Gross Profit and Debt to Equity . Given that Origin Agritech has Price to Book of 1.16X, we recommend you check out Origin Agritech market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Origin Agritech Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Origin Agritech has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company currently holds 13.87M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 180.2 indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Origin Agritech has Current Ratio of 0.33 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when they are due.
The entity reported previous year revenue of 52.29M. Net Loss for the year was (4.79M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.88M.
ORIGIN AGRITECH L currently holds about 579.42K in cash with (18.27M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2.
Roughly 26.0% of Origin Agritech outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from todayisrael.com: Latest Technical Analysis For Origin Agritech Limited - Today Israel

Origin Agritech current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price5.00
Target Mean Price5.00
Target High Price5.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions1
Target Low Price5.00

Origin Agritech Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.33Value At Risk3.77
Potential Upside4.60Standard Deviation2.87
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Jane Street Group LlcCommon Shares18.8 K115 K
Creative PlanningCommon Shares10.9 K66 K
Ubs Group AgCommon Shares8396 K
Morgan StanleyCommon Shares4683 K
Group One Trading LpCommon Shares100.01000
Next Financial Group IncCommon Shares100.01000
Reilly Financial Advisors LlcCommon Shares100.01000
Proequities IncPut Options0.00.0
Proequities IncCall Options0.00.0

Origin Agritech Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.29
β
Beta against DOW=0.82
σ
Overall volatility
=2.94
Ir
Information ratio =0.10

Origin Agritech Volatility Alert

Origin Agritech Limited currently demonstrates below average downside deviation of 2.79. It has Information Ratio of 0.1 and Jensen Alpha of 0.29. However, we do advice investors to further question Origin Agritech Limited expected returns to make sure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Origin Agritech to competition

Origin Agritech Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsOrigin AgritechPeer Average
Return On Equity(164.10)% (0.31)%
Return On Asset(2.78)% (0.14)%
Profit Margin(138.88)% (1.27)%
Current Valuation24.24M16.62B
Shares Outstanding3.2M571.82M
Shares Owned by Insiders25.70% 10.09%
Shares Owned by Institutions11.09% 39.21%
Number of Shares Shorted101.12K4.71M
Price to Book1.16X9.51X
Price to Sales0.44X11.42X
Revenue52.29M9.43B
Gross Profit5.88M27.38B
EBITDA(3.64M)3.9B
Net Income(4.79M)570.98M
Cash and Equivalents579.42K2.7B
Cash per Share0.20X5.01X
Total Debt13.87M5.32B
Debt to Equity180.20% 48.70%
Current Ratio0.34X2.16X
Book Value Per Share5.76X1.93K
Cash Flow from Operations(18.27M)971.22M
Short Ratio6.83X4.00X
Earnings Per Share(2.95)X3.12X
Number of Employees5918.84K
Beta0.87-0.15
Market Capitalization21.14M19.03B
Total Asset880.63M29.47B
Retained Earnings(182.39M)9.33B
Working Capital(136.4M)1.48B
Current Asset478.1M9.34B
Current Liabilities614.5M7.9B
Z Score0.68.72
   Exercise of in-the-money or at-the-money derivative position by Feinberg Jeff of 910100 shares of Origin Agritech [view details]
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