Simpson Manufacturing Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SSD Stock | USD 182.05 3.25 1.82% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Simpson Manufacturing is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Simpson Manufacturing buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SSD positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Simpson Manufacturing's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Simpson Manufacturing's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 182.67 | Target Price 176 | Hype Value 182 | Market Value 182.05 | Naive Value 178.37 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Simpson Manufacturing given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Simpson Manufacturing. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Simpson Manufacturing, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Simpson |
Execute Simpson Manufacturing Buy or Sell Advice
The Simpson recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Simpson Manufacturing. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Simpson Manufacturing or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Simpson Manufacturing's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Simpson Manufacturing Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Simpson Manufacturing generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Acquisition by Michael Olosky of 9453 shares of Simpson Manufacturing subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Simpson Manufacturing Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Simpson Manufacturing's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Simpson Manufacturing's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Simpson Manufacturing daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Simpson Manufacturing price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Simpson Manufacturing returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Simpson Manufacturing.
| Mean Return | 0.03 | Value At Risk | -3.2 | Potential Upside | 2.66 | Standard Deviation | 1.89 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Simpson Manufacturing historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Simpson Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Simpson Manufacturing is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Simpson Manufacturing backward and forwards among themselves. Simpson Manufacturing's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Simpson Manufacturing's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 713.3 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 617.5 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 609.5 K | Burgundy Asset Management Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 589.5 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 582.1 K | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-12-31 | 560 K | Td Asset Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 555.2 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 468.2 K | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2023-12-31 | 426.5 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.2 M | Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 4.6 M |
Simpson Manufacturing Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 23.7M | (27.2M) | (164.2M) | (28.4M) | 15.7M | 16.4M | |
| Change In Cash | 70.0M | 44.4M | 26.5M | (413K) | 129.1M | 135.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 168.1M | 169.7M | 101.7M | 332.6M | 338.2M | 355.1M | |
| Depreciation | 38.4M | 38.8M | 42.5M | 60.9M | 74.7M | 78.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 2.1M | 6.6M | 12.1M | 21.1M | 10.8M | 11.3M | |
| Dividends Paid | 40.2M | 40.4M | 41.6M | 43.9M | (45.2M) | (42.9M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 37.5M | 37.9M | 49.6M | 67.2M | 88.8M | 93.3M | |
| Net Income | 134.0M | 187M | 266.4M | 334.0M | 354.0M | 371.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 230.2M | 274.6M | 301.2M | 300.7M | 429.8M | 451.3M | |
| Investments | (28.0M) | (39.9M) | (9.8M) | (870.2M) | (91.3M) | (95.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (1.2M) | (2.2M) | 344K | 583.1M | 670.6M | 704.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 7.9M | 16.3M | 28.9M | 22.9M | 26.4M | 27.7M | |
| Change Receivables | (12.6M) | 6.1M | (22.1M) | (68.0M) | (61.2M) | (58.1M) |
Simpson Manufacturing Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Simpson Manufacturing or Building Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Simpson Manufacturing's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Simpson stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Simpson Manufacturing Volatility Alert
Simpson Manufacturing currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.02 and Jensen Alpha of -0.09. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Simpson Manufacturing's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Simpson Manufacturing's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Simpson Manufacturing Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Simpson Manufacturing's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Simpson Manufacturing's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Simpson Manufacturing and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Simpson Manufacturing or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Simpson Manufacturing's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Simpson Manufacturing by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Simpson Manufacturing to competition |
| Fundamentals | Simpson Manufacturing | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.23 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.12 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.16 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 7.85 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 42.44 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.68 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 94.73 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 820.91 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 20.21 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 4.67 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.54 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.21 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 954.87 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 554.37 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 353.99 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 300.74 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 7.22 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 551.57 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.54 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.56 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 39.69 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 427.02 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.72 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 8.26 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.47 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 196.67 | |
| Number Of Employees | 5.5 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.3 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 7.73 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.7 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.43 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 951.18 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 2700 shares by Roger Dankel of Simpson Manufacturing at 158.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Simpson Manufacturing Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Simpson . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Simpson Manufacturing Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Simpson Manufacturing? Buying financial instruments such as Simpson Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 37.1M | 623.9M | 551.6M | 579.1M | Total Assets | 1.5B | 2.5B | 2.7B | 2.8B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Simpson Manufacturing in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Money Market Funds
Funds or Etfs investing in various types of short-term (less than one year) fixed income instruments of high-quality and liquidity. The Money Market Funds theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Money Market Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Simpson Manufacturing Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Simpson Stock refer to our How to Trade Simpson Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Simpson Stock analysis
When running Simpson Manufacturing's price analysis, check to measure Simpson Manufacturing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Simpson Manufacturing is operating at the current time. Most of Simpson Manufacturing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Simpson Manufacturing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Simpson Manufacturing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Simpson Manufacturing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Simpson Manufacturing's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Simpson Manufacturing. If investors know Simpson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Simpson Manufacturing listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.06) | Dividend Share 1.07 | Earnings Share 8.26 | Revenue Per Share 51.97 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.055 |
The market value of Simpson Manufacturing is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Simpson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Simpson Manufacturing's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Simpson Manufacturing's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Simpson Manufacturing's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Simpson Manufacturing's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Simpson Manufacturing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Simpson Manufacturing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Simpson Manufacturing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.