Southwestern Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| SWN Stock | USD 7.59 0.20 2.71% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Southwestern Energy is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Southwestern Energy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SWN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Southwestern Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Southwestern Energy's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 7.98 | Target Price 8.28 | Hype Value 7.39 | Market Value 7.59 | Naive Value 7.17 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Southwestern Energy given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Southwestern Energy. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Southwestern Energy, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Southwestern |
Execute Southwestern Energy Buy or Sell Advice
The Southwestern recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Southwestern Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Southwestern Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Southwestern Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Southwestern Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company has 4.1 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 5.06, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Southwestern Energy has a current ratio of 0.37, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Southwestern Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Southwestern Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Southwestern Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Southwestern to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Southwestern Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 87.0% of Southwestern Energy shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Stifel reevaluates Southwestern Energy post-Chesapeake merger, raises stock PT |
Southwestern Energy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Southwestern Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Southwestern Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Southwestern Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Southwestern Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Southwestern Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Southwestern Energy.
| Mean Return | 0.23 | Value At Risk | -1.62 | Potential Upside | 2.23 | Standard Deviation | 1.46 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Southwestern Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Southwestern Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Southwestern Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Southwestern Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Southwestern Energy's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Southwestern Energy's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Kimmeridge Energy Management Company, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 18.4 M | Neuberger Berman Group Llc | 2023-12-31 | 18.4 M | Key Group Holdings (cayman), Ltd. | 2023-12-31 | 17.5 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 17.2 M | Ridgemont Partners Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 17.2 M | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 16.3 M | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 14.7 M | Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 14.4 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 14 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 110.7 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 96.2 M |
Southwestern Energy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 2M | (8M) | (7M) | (3M) | (27M) | (25.7M) | |
| Change In Cash | (196M) | 8M | 15M | 22M | (29M) | (27.6M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (135M) | (368M) | 331M | 1.0B | 346M | 363.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 18M | 15M | 1.6B | 1.2B | (348M) | (330.6M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.1B | 896M | 1.0B | 2.1B | 2.2B | 1.3B | |
| Net Income | 891M | (3.1B) | (25M) | 1.8B | 1.6B | 1.6B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 5M | 13M | 28M | 50M | 21M | 20.0M | |
| Depreciation | 387M | 3.3B | 546M | 1.2M | 1.3B | 1.4B | |
| Change To Netincome | (475M) | 3.4B | 1.0B | (4M) | (4.6M) | (4.4M) | |
| Change Receivables | 234M | 50M | (425M) | (240M) | (216M) | (205.2M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 54M | 935M | 1.3B | (757M) | (681.3M) | (647.2M) | |
| Investments | (1.0B) | (881M) | (2.6B) | (2.0B) | (2.1B) | (2.3B) |
Southwestern Energy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Southwestern Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Southwestern Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Southwestern stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Southwestern Energy Volatility Alert
Southwestern Energy has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.96 and kurtosis of 8.36. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Southwestern Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Southwestern Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Southwestern Energy Implied Volatility
Southwestern Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Southwestern Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Southwestern Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Southwestern Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Southwestern Energy's options are near their expiration.
Southwestern Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Southwestern Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Southwestern Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Southwestern Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Southwestern Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Southwestern Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Southwestern Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Southwestern Energy to competition |
| Fundamentals | Southwestern Energy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.3 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.16 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.24 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.47 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 12.23 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.70 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 87.27 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 39.43 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 1.90 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.39 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.25 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 6.52 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 8.99 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.04 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.56 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 50 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.05 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 4.1 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 5.06 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.38 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.35 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.52 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.75 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.41 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.36 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 8.17 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.17 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.16 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 8.14 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 663 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (982 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (314 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 4183 shares by Obeirne Colin P of Southwestern Energy at 6.91 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Southwestern Energy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Southwestern . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Southwestern Energy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Southwestern Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Southwestern Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 5.6B | 4.6B | 4.1B | 4.3B | Total Assets | 11.8B | 12.9B | 663M | 629.9M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Southwestern Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Electronic Equipment Thematic Idea Now
Electronic Equipment
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Electronic Equipment theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Electronic Equipment Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Southwestern Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Southwestern Stock, please use our How to Invest in Southwestern Energy guide.You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Southwestern Stock analysis
When running Southwestern Energy's price analysis, check to measure Southwestern Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Southwestern Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Southwestern Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Southwestern Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Southwestern Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Southwestern Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments | |
| Risk-Return Analysis View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume | |
| USA ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA | |
| Options Analysis Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
| My Watchlist Analysis Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like | |
| Portfolio Center All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios | |
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital | |
| Global Markets Map Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes |
Is Southwestern Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Southwestern Energy. If investors know Southwestern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Southwestern Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | Earnings Share 1.41 | Revenue Per Share 5.924 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.50) | Return On Assets 0.1589 |
The market value of Southwestern Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Southwestern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Southwestern Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Southwestern Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Southwestern Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Southwestern Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Southwestern Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Southwestern Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Southwestern Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.