Twitter Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides Twitter Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Twitter positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Twitter Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from Twitter buy-and-hold prospective. Also please take a look at Twitter Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Twitter Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 24.04  0.52  2.12%

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Twitter Inc is 'Strong Hold'.
For the selected time horizon Twitter Inc has a risk adjusted performance of 0.0673, jensen alpha of 0.2014, total risk alpha of (1.49), sortino ratio of 0.0625 and treynor ratio of 0.5879
Macroaxis buy or sell recommendation module can be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Twitter Inc. Our recommendation engine harnesses analyzes the organization potential to grow using all fundamental data market data available at the time. To make sure Twitter Inc is not overpriced, please validate all Twitter fundamentals including its Cash per Share, and the relationship between Price to Sales and Short Ratio . Given that Twitter Inc has Number of Shares Shorted of 35.78 M, we advise you double-check Twitter Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.39Value At Risk2.36
Potential Upside4.35Standard Deviation2.89
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Twitter Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.2
β
Beta against DOW=0.65
σ
Overall volatility
=1.68
Ir
Information ratio =0.0362

Twitter Volatility Alert

Twitter Inc has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.53 and kurtosis of 8.56. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Twitter Inc to ensure market all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future risk-adjusted return.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Twitter to competition
FundamentalsTwitterPeer Average
Return On Equity(7.74) % (15.17) %
Return On Asset(1.1) % (15.64) %
Profit Margin(15.08) % (5.5) %
Operating Margin(5.03) % (10.91) %
Current Valuation16.29 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding739.64 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders12.97 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions52.61 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted35.78 M3.24 M
Price to Earning(27.34) times40.69 times
Price to Book3.89 times14.44 times
Price to Sales7.74 times17.81 times
Revenue2.43 B9.85 B
Gross Profit1.6 B21.75 B
EBITDA225.95 M1.41 B
Net Income(366.2 M)517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents4.26 B3.89 B
Cash per Share5.76 times5.17 times
Total Debt1.77 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity36.7 % 0.72 %
Current Ratio10.4 times3.3 times
Book Value Per Share6.54 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations829.64 M1.25 B
Short Ratio1.55 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share(0.5) times2.3 times
Price to Earnings To Growth3.43 times1.22 times
Number of Employees3.9 K10.67 K
Beta1.270.34
Market Capitalization18.79 B29.78 B
Total Asset6.44 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings(2.55 B)38.24 B
Working Capital3.88 B3.58 B
Current Asset4.38 B36.8 B
SellBuy
Strong Hold

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
   Sale by Alexander Roetter of 27451 shares of Twitter [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance0.0673
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.5979
Mean Deviation1.75
Semi Deviation1.32
Downside Deviation1.67
Coefficient Of Variation733.02
Standard Deviation2.89
Variance8.37
Information Ratio0.0362
Jensen Alpha0.2014
Total Risk Alpha(1.49)
Sortino Ratio0.0625
Treynor Ratio0.5879
Maximum Drawdown13.97
Value At Risk(2.36)
Potential Upside4.35
Downside Variance2.8
Semi Variance1.74
Expected Short fall(2.31)
Skewness2.53
Kurtosis8.56

Current Valuation

Twitter Current Valuation Analysis
Twitter Inc is rated second in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Advertising - Marketing - Media - E-commerce industry is at this time estimated at about 73.74 Billion. Twitter totals roughly 16.29 Billion in current valuation claiming about 22% of stocks in Advertising - Marketing - Media - E-commerce industry.