United Parcel Buy or Sell Recommendation

United Parcel Service -- USA Stock  

USD 108.22  5.06  4.47%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding United Parcel Service is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides United Parcel Service buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding United Parcel positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of United Parcel Service available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from United Parcel buy-and-hold prospective. Also please take a look at United Parcel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice

United Parcel Current Recommendation

SellBuy
Cautious Hold

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon United Parcel Service has a mean deviation of 1.22, semi deviation of 1.35, standard deviation of 1.56, variance of 2.44, downside variance of 2.23 and semi variance of 1.83
Macroaxis provides recommendation on United Parcel Service to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on United Parcel Service. Our buy or sell recommendation engine determines the firm potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure United Parcel Service is not overpriced, please validate all United Parcel fundamentals including its Price to Sales, Earnings Per Share, Last Dividend Paid, as well as the relationship between Cash per Share and Retained Earnings . Given that United Parcel Service has Price to Earning of 19.35 times, we advise you double-check United Parcel Service market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

United Parcel Thematic Classifications

Dividend Beast IdeaDividend Beast
Solid, dividend paying stocks and ETFs
Baby Boomer Prospects IdeaBaby Boomer Prospects
Mega stocks, funds and ETFs that tend to appeal to people considering retirement from the work force
Giant Impact IdeaGiant Impact
Public companies with mega capitalization

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.17Value At Risk2.21
Potential Upside2.33Standard Deviation1.56
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Jensen Investment Management IncCommon Shares1.6 M169.7 M
Acadian Asset Management LlcCommon Shares1.2 M128.8 M
Everett Harris CoCommon Shares939.8 K98.4 M
Bank Of MontrealCommon Shares771.4 K80.7 M
Marathon Asset Management LlpCommon Shares721.6 K75.5 M
National Pension ServiceCommon Shares597 K62.5 M
Chevy Chase Trust Holdings IncCommon Shares589.4 K61.7 M

United Parcel Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.16
β
Beta against DOW=0.0045
σ
Overall volatility
=1.54
Ir
Information ratio =0.12

United Parcel Volatility Alert

United Parcel Service has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.32 and kurtosis of 0.31. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate United Parcel Service to ensure market all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future risk-adjusted return.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare United Parcel to competition

United Parcel Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsUnited ParcelPeer Average
Return On Equity673.06 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset10.97 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin7.45 % (5.50) %
Operating Margin14.89 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation112.43 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding688.69 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders0.01 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions55.33 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted8.06 M3.24 M
Price to Earning19.35 times40.69 times
Price to Book93.34 times14.44 times
Price to Sales1.42 times17.81 times
Revenue65.87 B9.85 B
Gross Profit49.44 B21.75 B
EBITDA9.81 B1.41 B
Net Income4.91 B517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents4.07 B3.89 B
Cash per Share4.72 times5.17 times
Total Debt24.32 B7.36 B
Current Ratio1.22 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share1.16 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations514.5 M1.25 B
Short Ratio3.01 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share5.61 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth1.34 times1.22 times
Number of Employees238.83 K10.67 K
Beta0.910.34
Market Capitalization93.51 B29.78 B
Total Asset38.31 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings4.88 B38.24 B
Working Capital2.51 B3.58 B
Current Asset13.21 B36.8 B
Current Liabilities10.7 B33.34 B
   Acquisition or disposition of United Parcel securities by Winestock James F Jr [view details]

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Also please take a look at United Parcel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus. Please also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.