United Parcel Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

UPS -- USA Stock  

USD 101.21  2.55  2.58%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding United Parcel Service is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides United Parcel buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding UPS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of United Parcel Service available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from UPS buy-and-hold prospective. Also please take a look at United Parcel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell United ParcelBuy United Parcel
Strong Buy

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon United Parcel Service has a risk adjusted performance of (0.22), jensen alpha of (0.22), total risk alpha of (0.18), sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of (0.31)
Macroaxis provides recommendation on United Parcel Service to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on United Parcel Service. Our buy or sell recommendation engine determines the firm potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure United Parcel Service is not overpriced, please validate all United Parcel fundamentals including its Price to Sales, Short Ratio, Five Year Return, as well as the relationship between Cash per Share and Total Asset . Given that United Parcel Service has Price to Earning of 16.13X, we advise you double-check United Parcel Service market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

United Parcel Thematic Classifications

Dividend Beast IdeaDividend Beast
Solid, dividend paying stocks and ETFs
Baby Boomer Prospects IdeaBaby Boomer Prospects
Mega stocks, funds and ETFs that tend to appeal to people considering retirement from the work force
Giant Impact IdeaGiant Impact
Public companies with mega capitalization

United Parcel Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.34Value At Risk2.78
Potential Upside1.83Standard Deviation1.94
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares52.2 M6.1 B
Blackrock IncCommon Shares42.5 M5 B
State Street CorpCommon Shares27.7 M3.2 B
Wellington Management Group LlpCommon Shares19.2 M2.2 B
Massachusetts Financial Services CoCommon Shares17.1 M2 B
Capital World InvestorsCommon Shares14 M1.6 B
Bank Of America CorpCommon Shares13.6 M1.6 B
Susquehanna International Group LlpCall Options4.7 M545.8 M

United Parcel Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.22
β
Beta against DOW=1.14
σ
Overall volatility
=1.96
Ir
Information ratio =0.12

United Parcel Volatility Alert

United Parcel Service exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.5 and kurtosis of 3.42. However, we advise investors to further study United Parcel Service technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare United Parcel to competition

United Parcel Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsUnited ParcelPeer Average
Return On Equity233.18% (15.17)%
Return On Asset10.96% (15.64)%
Profit Margin7.74% (5.50)%
Operating Margin14.20% (10.91)%
Current Valuation109.04B152.14B
Shares Outstanding695M1.43B
Shares Owned by Insiders0.01% 6.91%
Shares Owned by Institutions68.91% 18.37%
Number of Shares Shorted9.55M3.24M
Price to Earning16.13X40.69X
Price to Book27.98X14.44X
Price to Sales1.23X17.81X
Revenue70.27B9.85B
Gross Profit14.85B21.75B
EBITDA9.98B1.41B
Net Income5.44B517.71M
Cash and Equivalents4.85B3.89B
Cash per Share5.64X5.17X
Total Debt23.37B7.36B
Debt to Equity747.40% 0.72%
Current Ratio1.14X3.30X
Book Value Per Share3.60X13.64X
Cash Flow from Operations2.04B1.25B
Short Ratio3.11X2.09X
Earnings Per Share6.25X2.30X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.21X1.22X
Number of Employees238.83K10.67K
Beta1.30.34
Market Capitalization86.57B29.78B
Total Asset38.31B126.86B
Retained Earnings4.88B38.24B
Working Capital2.51B3.58B
Current Asset13.21B36.8B
   Acquisition or disposition of United Parcel securities by Teri McClure [view details]

United Parcel Alerts

Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

United Parcel generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
United Parcel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Latest Analysts View

United Parcel Current Analysts Recommendations

Target Median Price125.00
Target Mean Price123.87
Recommendation Mean2.60
Target High Price145.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions23
Target Low Price87.00
Also please take a look at United Parcel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool. Please also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
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