United Parcel Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

UPS -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding United Parcel Service is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides United Parcel buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding UPS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of United Parcel Service available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from UPS buy-and-hold prospective. Also please take a look at United Parcel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell United ParcelBuy United Parcel
Strong Hold

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon United Parcel Service has a risk adjusted performance of (0.028041), jensen alpha of (0.13), total risk alpha of (0.17), sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of (0.06)
Macroaxis provides recommendation on United Parcel Service to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on United Parcel Service. Our buy or sell recommendation engine determines the firm potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure United Parcel Service is not overpriced, please validate all United Parcel fundamentals including its Price to Sales, Short Ratio, Five Year Return, as well as the relationship between Cash per Share and Total Asset . Given that United Parcel Service has Price to Earning of 20.62 , we advise you double-check United Parcel Service market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

United Parcel Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

United Parcel generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
United Parcel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Exercise or conversion by Mcdevitt John J of 9174 shares of United Parcel subject to Rule 16b-3

United Parcel current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price130.00
Target Mean Price125.54
Recommendation Mean2.40
Target High Price140.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions24
Target Low Price85.00

United Parcel Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.07Value At Risk1.82
Potential Upside1.50Standard Deviation1.23
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

United Parcel Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.13
β
Beta against DOW=1.23
σ
Overall volatility
=1.25
Ir
Information ratio =0.1

United Parcel Volatility Alert

United Parcel Service exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.24 and kurtosis of 1.05. However, we advise investors to further study United Parcel Service technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare United Parcel to competition

United Parcel Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsUnited ParcelPeer Average
Return On Equity114.92 (0.31) 
Return On Asset7.04 (0.14) 
Profit Margin6.81 (1.27) 
Operating Margin10.77 (5.51) 
Current Valuation123.3 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding700.76 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.01 10.09 
Shares Owned by Institutions69.88 39.21 
Number of Shares Shorted11.92 M4.71 M
Price to Earning20.62 28.72 
Price to Book18.30 9.51 
Price to Sales1.39 11.42 
Revenue73.37 B9.43 B
Gross Profit13.13 B27.38 B
EBITDA7.91 B3.9 B
Net Income5 B570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents4.54 B2.7 B
Cash per Share5.29 5.01 
Total Debt26.48 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity475.00 48.70 
Current Ratio1.11 2.16 
Book Value Per Share6.48 1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations766.5 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.17 4.00 
Earnings Per Share5.75 3.12 
Price to Earnings To Growth2.03 4.89 
Number of Employees248.15 K18.84 K
Beta1.22-0.15
Market Capitalization101.69 B19.03 B
Total Asset38.31 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings9.45 B9.33 B
Working Capital2.51 B1.48 B
Current Asset13.21 B9.34 B
   Exercise or conversion by Mcdevitt John J of 9174 shares of United Parcel subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
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