United Parcel Buy or Sell Recommendation

Macroaxis provides United Parcel Service Inc buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding United Parcel positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of United Parcel Service Inc available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from United Parcel buy-and-hold prospective. Also please take a look at United Parcel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus

Investment Horizon


Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding United Parcel Service Inc is 'Strong Hold'.
For the selected time horizon United Parcel Service Inc has a risk adjusted performance of (0.07), jensen alpha of (0.14), total risk alpha of (0.16), sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of (0.15)
Macroaxis provides recommendation on United Parcel Service to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on United Parcel Service Inc. Our buy or sell recommendation engine determines the firm potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure United Parcel Service is not overpriced, please validate all United Parcel fundamentals including its Price to Sales, Short Ratio, Last Dividend Paid, as well as the relationship between Cash per Share and Total Asset . Given that United Parcel Service has Price to Earning of 26.42 times, we advise you double-check United Parcel Service Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return-0.12Value At Risk-1.3238
Potential Upside1.114Standard Deviation0.7589
 Return Density 

United Parcel Greeks

Alpha over NYSE
βBeta against NYSE= 0.86 
Overall volatility
= 0.76 
 IrInformation ratio =(0.19) 

United Parcel Volatility Alert

United Parcel Service Inc exhibits ver low volatility with skewness of -0.4 and kurtosis of -0.7. However, we advise investors to further study United Parcel Service Inc technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare United Parcel to competition
FundamentalsUnited ParcelPeer Average
Return On Equity8.50 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset0.13 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin0.08 % (5.50) %
Operating Margin13.26 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation96.84 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding867.76 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders0.06 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions69.10 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted14.67 M3.24 M
Price to Earning26.42 times40.69 times
Price to Book167.52 times14.44 times
Price to Sales1.45 times17.81 times
Revenue58.36 B9.85 B
Gross Profit54.48 B21.75 B
EBITDA7.66 B1.41 B
Net Income4.84 B517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents2.73 B3.89 B
Cash per Share6.14 times5.17 times
Total Debt14.33 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity5.56 times0.72 times
Current Ratio1.18 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share0.62 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations7.43 B1.25 B
Short Ratio2.66 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share3.91 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth2.10 times1.22 times
Number of Employees238.48 K10.67 K
Market Capitalization89.74 B29.78 B
Total Asset38.31 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings4.88 B38.24 B
Working Capital2.51 B3.58 B
Current Asset13.21 B36.8 B
Strong Hold


Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

   Acquisition by Markham Rudy of 1588 shares of United Parcel subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Risk Adjusted Performance(0.07)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.14)
Mean Deviation0.6309
Coefficient Of Variation(651.91)
Standard Deviation0.7589
Information Ratio(0.19)
Jensen Alpha(0.14)
Total Risk Alpha(0.16)
Treynor Ratio(0.15)
Maximum Drawdown2.68
Value At Risk(1.32)
Potential Upside1.11

Current Valuation

United Parcel Current Valuation Analysis
United Parcel Service Inc is rated first in current valuation category among related companies. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Transport Logistics And Distribution industry is at this time estimated at about 199.8 Billion. United Parcel totals roughly 96.84 Billion in current valuation claiming about 48% of equities listed under Transport Logistics And Distribution industry.